Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The SPX, Nasdaq 100, and DJI breaking out to new all-time highs following 3-week consolidations. Russell 2000 (IWM), S&amp;P 400 (IJH), Vanguard ExtendedMarket (VXF), countless other Sectors/industries breaking out also.</li>
<li>This is classic bull market behavior. Considering market dynamics remain healthy, this is all evidence that supports our ongoing bullish outlook.</li>
<li>Software, Data Storage buys: NTAP, NTNX, DBX, VRNS, and CVLT. Investment Banking &amp; Brokerage, Mid-Cap buys: JEF, SF, EVR, MC, and LAZ</li>
</ul>


The SPX, Nasdaq 100, and DJI breaking out to new all-time highs following 3-week consolidations. Russell 2000 (IWM), S&amp;P 400 (IJH), Vanguard ExtendedMarket (VXF), countless other Sectors/industries breaking out also.
This is classic bull market behavior. Considering market dynamics remain healthy, this is all evidence that supports our ongoing bullish outlook.
Software, Data Storage buys: NTAP, NTNX, DBX, VRNS, and CVLT. Investment Banking &amp; Brokerage, Mid-Cap buys: JEF, SF, EVR, MC, and LAZ


Breakouts Proliferate; Bullish Outlook Intact; Small- And Mid-Caps to Lead?

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Dropbox reported solid results in the last quarter and managed an all-around beat.</li><li>Total revenue increased 8.7% year-over-year to $611.1 million and on a constant currency basis, revenue grew 11.6% year-over-year.</li><li>Dropbox continued its real estate strategy, actively seeking subleases and considering buyouts for their San Francisco headquarters.</li></ul>

Dropbox reported solid results in the last quarter and managed an all-around beat.Total revenue increased 8.7% year-over-year to $611.1 million and on a constant currency basis, revenue grew 11.6% year-over-year.Dropbox continued its real estate strategy, actively seeking subleases and considering buyouts for their San Francisco headquarters.

Dropbox Inc.: The Increasing Net New Paying Users Is An Encouraging Sign – Key Drivers

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Potentia has returned with an improved three-part offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a>. The base offer of A$2.17 is 0.9% higher than Alludo’s A$2.15 offer. </li>
<li>The offer could rise to A$2.20 or A$2.25 per share based on hitting additional conditions. There is a clear path for the final offer to reach A$2.20 per share. </li>
<li>A A$2.25 per share offer is unlikely due to the onerous 25% scrip acceptance condition. At the last close, the gross spread to the likely final A$2.20 offer is 0.5%.</li>
</ul>


Potentia has returned with an improved three-part offer for Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU). The base offer of A$2.17 is 0.9% higher than Alludo’s A$2.15 offer. 
The offer could rise to A$2.20 or A$2.25 per share based on hitting additional conditions. There is a clear path for the final offer to reach A$2.20 per share. 
A A$2.25 per share offer is unlikely due to the onerous 25% scrip acceptance condition. At the last close, the gross spread to the likely final A$2.20 offer is 0.5%.


Nitro (NTO AU): Potentia Comes Good with a Three-Part Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a> has finally granted Potentia due diligence access until 22 February. Subject to satisfactory due diligence, Potentia could increase its offer from A$2.00 to A$2.20-2.30 per share.</li>
<li>Alludo’s A$2.15 off-market takeover offer is its best and final offer. Alludo’s offer is subject to a 50.1% minimum acceptance condition (currently at 12.53%) and closes on 3 March.</li>
<li>Potentia’s dogged pursuit despite the Board's stonewalling suggests a desire to get a deal done. At the last close, the gross spread to Potentia’s potential offer is 2.3% to 7.0%.</li>
</ul>



Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU) has finally granted Potentia due diligence access until 22 February. Subject to satisfactory due diligence, Potentia could increase its offer from A$2.00 to A$2.20-2.30 per share.
Alludo’s A$2.15 off-market takeover offer is its best and final offer. Alludo’s offer is subject to a 50.1% minimum acceptance condition (currently at 12.53%) and closes on 3 March.
Potentia’s dogged pursuit despite the Board's stonewalling suggests a desire to get a deal done. At the last close, the gross spread to Potentia’s potential offer is 2.3% to 7.0%.


Nitro Software (NTO AU): Potentia Finally Secures Due Diligence

<ul><li>Despite a series of macroeconomic challenges, Dropbox had a good last quarter and managed an all-around beat.</li><li>They also continue to return a sizable percentage of their free cash flow to shareholders through share repurchases.</li><li>Although they are experiencing moderate growth in their Sign business, it is important to set Dropbox Sign apart from conventional eSign solutions.</li></ul>

Despite a series of macroeconomic challenges, Dropbox had a good last quarter and managed an all-around beat.They also continue to return a sizable percentage of their free cash flow to shareholders through share repurchases.Although they are experiencing moderate growth in their Sign business, it is important to set Dropbox Sign apart from conventional eSign solutions.

Dropbox Inc: The FormSwift Acquisition & Other Drivers

United States

Dropbox, Inc. operates as a platform as a service company. The Company offers a platform that enables users to store and share files, photos, videos, songs, and spreadsheets. Dropbox serves customers worldwide.

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Dropbox Inc (DBX US)

Breakouts Proliferate; Bullish Outlook Intact; Small- And Mid-Caps to Lead?

Breakouts Proliferate; Bullish Outlook Intact; Small- and Mid-Caps to Outperform? $SPX $QQQ $DJI breakout to all-time highs, $IWM $IJH $VXF,...

Vermilion Research

Dropbox Inc.: The Increasing Net New Paying Users Is An Encouraging Sign – Key Drivers

Dropbox reported solid results in the last quarter and managed an all-around beat. Total revenue increased 8.7% year-over-year to $611.1 million...

Baptista Research

Nitro (NTO AU): Potentia Comes Good with a Three-Part Offer

The base offer of A$2.17 could rise to A$2.20 or A$2.25 per share based on hitting additional conditions. There is a clear path for the final offer...

Arun George

Nitro Software (NTO AU): Potentia Finally Secures Due Diligence

Potentia’s dogged pursuit despite the Board's stonewalling suggests a desire to get a deal done. At the last close, the gross spread to Potentia’s...

Arun George

Dropbox Inc: The FormSwift Acquisition & Other Drivers

Despite a series of macroeconomic challenges, Dropbox had a good last quarter and managed an all-around beat. They also continue to return a...

Baptista Research

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