Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cipla-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3918:1" rel="noopener">Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN)</a> is a strong play in Indian generic pharmaceutical industry, due to its niche and differentiated respiratory and peptide injectable portfolio, which has less competition.</li>
<li>The company has launched couple of complex respiratory products in the US market, which has accelerated its revenue growth. Multiple high-value launches are also lined up for this year.</li>
<li>Cipla’s India business is on a strong footing, led by core portfolio tailwind in prescription and trade generics businesses. Q2FY23 marked the sixth consecutive quarter of market beating growth.</li>
</ul>



Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN) is a strong play in Indian generic pharmaceutical industry, due to its niche and differentiated respiratory and peptide injectable portfolio, which has less competition.
The company has launched couple of complex respiratory products in the US market, which has accelerated its revenue growth. Multiple high-value launches are also lined up for this year.
Cipla’s India business is on a strong footing, led by core portfolio tailwind in prescription and trade generics businesses. Q2FY23 marked the sixth consecutive quarter of market beating growth.


2023 High Conviction Idea: Cipla (CIPLA IN)- Complex Generics and India Business to Drive Growth

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)</a> reported strong Q2FY23 results, with revenue growing 9% y/y, mainly driven by North America business due to launch of gRevlimid in the US market.</li>
<li>GRevlimid is not a one-off opportunity and will contribute meaningfully over the next few quarters as well. Price erosion in the base business continues to be within normal range.</li>
<li>Adjusted for the covid product sales during Q2 FY22, and the brand divestment income in Q1 FY23, Indian business has grown in mid-teens year-over-year and mid-single digit sequentially.</li>
</ul>



Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN) reported strong Q2FY23 results, with revenue growing 9% y/y, mainly driven by North America business due to launch of gRevlimid in the US market.
GRevlimid is not a one-off opportunity and will contribute meaningfully over the next few quarters as well. Price erosion in the base business continues to be within normal range.
Adjusted for the covid product sales during Q2 FY22, and the brand divestment income in Q1 FY23, Indian business has grown in mid-teens year-over-year and mid-single digit sequentially.


Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): New Launch Aided Q2 Result; Rich Pipeline Lends Visibility

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Dr Reddy Q2FY22 reported revenue growth of 9.4% YoY which stood above our expectations. </li><li>The growth was driven by the launch of gRevlimid in the US and sequential improvement in Russian sales, which was only partially offset by price erosion in the generic business.</li><li>The US sales of $354 Mn, comprising $125 Mn from gRevlimid, are expected to be on the lower side.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Dr Reddy Q2FY22 reported revenue growth of 9.4% YoY which stood above our expectations. The growth was driven by the launch of gRevlimid in the US and sequential improvement in Russian sales, which was only partially offset by price erosion in the generic business.The US sales of $354 Mn, comprising $125 Mn from gRevlimid, are expected to be on the lower side.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories Ltd - New Launches to Add Growth and Profitability!

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) has ordered a meeting of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank</a> shareholders on 25 November to consider and approve the proposed Scheme of Amalgamation.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pidilite-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20573:1" rel="noopener">Pidilite Industries (PIDI IN)</a> is a high probability ad hoc inclusion to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15618:1" rel="noopener">Tata Power (TPWR IN)</a> a lower probability inclusion candidate.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-enterprises-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:245:1" rel="noopener">Adani Enterprises (ADE IN)</a> could be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">SENSEX INDEX</a> in December replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited (HDFC IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) has ordered a meeting of HDFC Limited and HDFC Bank shareholders on 25 November to consider and approve the proposed Scheme of Amalgamation.

Pidilite Industries (PIDI IN) is a high probability ad hoc inclusion to the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) with Tata Power (TPWR IN) a lower probability inclusion candidate.

Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) and Adani Enterprises (ADE IN) could be added to the SENSEX INDEX in December replacing HDFC Limited (HDFC IN) and Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN).


HDFC/HDFCB Merger in the Home Stretch: Potential Changes to NIFTY50, NIFTY100 & SENSEX Indices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In Q2FY23, Pharma sector expected to be benefitted by factors like Currency depreciation, fall in raw material prices, low crude prices and correction in shipping prices could add to revenue growth and improvement in gross margins.</li><li>The Pharma universe under our coverage could report aggregate Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 5.6%/-4.8%/-2.2% YoY.</li><li>Currency (Rs) has depreciated by 5.0% that could add major contribution to overall growth of 6.2% for last quarter.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Q2FY23, Pharma sector expected to be benefitted by factors like Currency depreciation, fall in raw material prices, low crude prices and correction in shipping prices could add to revenue growth and improvement in gross margins.The Pharma universe under our coverage could report aggregate Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 5.6%/-4.8%/-2.2% YoY.Currency (Rs) has depreciated by 5.0% that could add major contribution to overall growth of 6.2% for last quarter.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

Cipla Limited manufactures and sells pharmaceutical and personal care products. The Company offers active pharmaceutical ingredients, and formulations in therapeutic areas, such as allergy, analgesic, anti malarial, anti-infectives, cardiology, dermatology and cosmeceuticals, diabetology, gastroenterology, steroids, iron chelators, nutritional products.

Cadila Healthcare Ltd. manufactures, and markets healthcare solutions ranging from formulations, active pharmaceutical ingredients, vaccines, diagnostics, health and dietetic foods, animal healthcare to cosmeceuticals.  The Company's products are available in tablets, capsules, injections, liquids, dry syrups, powders, granules, and ointments.

Torrent Pharmaceuticals Ltd. manufactures bulk drugs and pharmaceutical formulations. The Company's formulations include cardio-vascular, psychotropic and anti-biotic drugs while its bulk drugs include atenolol, ciprofloxacin and norfloxacin. Torrent Pharmaceuticals has wholly owned subsidiaries in several regulated and less regulated international markets.

Lupin Limited manufactures bulk actives and formulations. The principal bulk actives manufactured by it include Rifampicin, Pyrazinamide, Ethambutol (anti-TB), Cephalosporins (anti-infectives) and cardiovasculars. The company also possesses competencies in phytomedicines, in which medicines are made out of plant and herbal resources supported by the discipline of modern medicine.

Aurobindo Pharma Limited manufactures and markets oral and sterile antibiotics, antibacterials, anti-ulcerants and other generic basic drugs. Products include semi-synthetic penicillin drugs like ampicillin and amoxycillinas well as antibiotics, which include cloxacillin and dicloxacillin. The Company also manufactures formulations like astemizole, domeperidone and omeprazole.

Glaxosmithkline Pharmaceuticals Ltd. manufactures and distributes a wide variety of pharmaceutical drugs, veterinary products and laboratory chemicals. The Company's products include "Phexin" capsules, "Betnesol" tablets and injections, "Becoride" asthma treatment, "Betnovate" ointment, "Cetzine" antihistamine, "Zucox" and "Rizap" anti-tuberculosis products.

Glaxosmithkline Pharmaceuticals (GLXO IN)

Abbott India Limited manufactures a wide range of pharmaceutical and medical products, agrochemicals, and animal health products. The Company's medical and pharmaceutical products include insulin injections, anti-dysentery drugs, vitamin preparations, penicillin preparations, sulfonamide tablets, and a variety of household remedies.

Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd., is a pharmaceutical company. The Company develops generic drugs for inflammation, metabolic disorders, and pain.

Alkem Laboratories Limited operates as a pharmaceutical company. The Company researches, develops, manufactures, and markets generic and branded pharmaceuticals. Alkem also provides nutraceuticals, functional foods, health foods, and herbal products.

Ajanta Pharma Limited is a pharmaceutical company involved in the areas of product research, manufacturing, and marketing. The Company's manufacturing capabilities include segments such as antiretrovirals, antimalarials, cardiovascular, dermatology, and ophthalmology. The Company also markets over the counter products that include some nature-based remedies.

CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pharmaceutical products.  The Company's products include vitamin C, antibiotics and common generic drugs. The Company is also engages in the development of innovative drugs and antibiotics.

Catalent, Inc. provides delivery technologies and development solutions for drugs, biologics and consumer health products. The Company's oral, injectable, and respiratory delivery technologies address the diversity of the pharmaceutical industry including small molecules, large molecule biologics and consumer health products.

Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) Co., Ltd. is a pharmaceutical company. Through its subsidiaries, the Company manufactures genetic medicines, Chinese traditional medicines, diagnostic products, and medical instruments, provides technology, marketing, and advertising services, as well as invests in import and export trading.

Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) (600196 CH)

Kyowa Hakko Kirin Co.,Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets pharmaceuticals. The Company's products include a protein produced by genetic recombination technology, an anti-anemia agent that attaches new sugar chains through partial modification of the amino acid sequence of human erythropoietin (EPO), and a glycoprotein, human erythropoietin.

Yunnan Baiyao Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets traditional Chinese medicines.  The Company also operates in pharmaceutical wholesale and retail trading, empty capsules manufacturing, and hotel operation.

Shionogi & Company Ltd., is a pharmaceutical company. The Company develops prescription & over-the-counter drugs and diagnostics.

Zhejiang NHU Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets organic chemical products and feed additive. The Company's products include EMME, Vitamin E and Vitamin A.

Eisai Co., Ltd. produces prescription drugs and medical equipment and sells mainly to sales agents and subsidiaries.  Through its subsidiary, Sanko Junyaku, the Company produces and sells diagnostic drugs.  Eisai also markets its products through related companies in the US, Europe, and Asia.  The Company also manufactures and sells foods, livestock feeds, chemical, and agrochemicals.

Recordati S.p.A. manufactures pharmaceuticals. The Company researches, develops, manufactures, and markets prescription and non-prescription pharmaceuticals, pharmaceutical chemicals, therapeutic products, and rare disease treatments. The Company sells its products throughout the world.

Ipsen SA manufactures and markets a wide range of medical drugs for targeted disease areas including oncology, endocrinology, and neuromuscular disorders.

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited provides a complete range of pharmaceutical services. The Company manufactures bulk drugs and formulations including verapamil and cephalexin. The Company also manufactures and exports molecules such as norfloxacin, ciprofloxacin, and varieties of semi-synthetic penicillin. The Company markets its products in India and around the world.

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Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)

2023 High Conviction Idea: Cipla (CIPLA IN)- Complex Generics and India Business to Drive Growth

Cipla is a strong play on Indian pharma. Riding on a differentiated product portfolio and new launches gaining market share, Cipla is well...

Tina Banerjee