ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prodia-widyahusada" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23663:1" rel="noopener">Prodia</a> booked a softer set of numbers in 1Q2023 but reflected a higher COVID base plus 1Q2023 was impacted by the fasting month but the testing mix was positive.</li>
<li>The company will significantly increase capex this year with more outlet expansion and more investment into its digital business, which is becoming an increasingly important growth driver. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prodia-widyahusada" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23663:1" rel="noopener">Prodia (PRDA IJ)</a> stands out as the unique diagnostic leader in Indonesia,  which trades at a significant discount to both local healthcare players and Indian diagnostic peers.</li>
</ul>



Prodia booked a softer set of numbers in 1Q2023 but reflected a higher COVID base plus 1Q2023 was impacted by the fasting month but the testing mix was positive.
The company will significantly increase capex this year with more outlet expansion and more investment into its digital business, which is becoming an increasingly important growth driver. 

Prodia (PRDA IJ) stands out as the unique diagnostic leader in Indonesia,  which trades at a significant discount to both local healthcare players and Indian diagnostic peers.


Prodia (PRDA IJ) - Shaking off the COVID Factor

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-lal-pathlabs-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26927:1" rel="noopener">Dr Lal PathLabs Ltd (DLPL IN)</a> reported 2% and 8% revenue and net profit decline in Q3FY23, respectively. Q3 results were dragged by an 80% YoY decline in COVID-19 revenue.</li>
<li>While non-COVID revenue increased 9% YoY to INR4.78 billion, it declined 7% QoQ. In fact, Q3FY23 non-COVID revenue was the lowest over the last three quarters.</li>
<li>Although diagnostics is a big and attractive market opportunity in India, the sector is overcrowded, leading to heated price competition and declining realization per test.</li>
</ul>



Dr Lal PathLabs Ltd (DLPL IN) reported 2% and 8% revenue and net profit decline in Q3FY23, respectively. Q3 results were dragged by an 80% YoY decline in COVID-19 revenue.
While non-COVID revenue increased 9% YoY to INR4.78 billion, it declined 7% QoQ. In fact, Q3FY23 non-COVID revenue was the lowest over the last three quarters.
Although diagnostics is a big and attractive market opportunity in India, the sector is overcrowded, leading to heated price competition and declining realization per test.


Dr Lal PathLabs (DLPL IN): Losing Path Amid Competition; Non-COVID Growth Underwhelming

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Nearly halfway through the review period, we see 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, and 9 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.</li>
<li>Financials are poised to be the biggest gainers in the reshuffle with 6 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and 5 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Over the last 6 months, stocks expected to migrate upward have outperformed stocks that are expected to migrate downward., though there has been a downward drift this year.</li>
</ul>


Nearly halfway through the review period, we see 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, and 9 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.
Financials are poised to be the biggest gainers in the reshuffle with 6 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and 5 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap.
Over the last 6 months, stocks expected to migrate upward have outperformed stocks that are expected to migrate downward., though there has been a downward drift this year.


India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prodia-widyahusada" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23663:1" rel="noopener">Prodia (PRDA IJ)</a> has released a new app called U by Prodia. Initially, U by Prodia users will be able to access laboratory examination, health supplement purchasing, and home services.</li>
<li>Given its expected miniscule contribution of 15–17% to total revenue, digital platform even if being on a higher growth trajectory, cannot be a significant revenue driver.</li>
<li>Declining COVID testing revenue are negatively impacting diagnostic players globally. During 9M2022, Prodia reported revenue of IDR1,580B, representing 21% decline, while net profit plunged 46% to IDR275B.</li>
</ul>



Prodia (PRDA IJ) has released a new app called U by Prodia. Initially, U by Prodia users will be able to access laboratory examination, health supplement purchasing, and home services.
Given its expected miniscule contribution of 15–17% to total revenue, digital platform even if being on a higher growth trajectory, cannot be a significant revenue driver.
Declining COVID testing revenue are negatively impacting diagnostic players globally. During 9M2022, Prodia reported revenue of IDR1,580B, representing 21% decline, while net profit plunged 46% to IDR275B.


Prodia (PRDA IJ): Digital Initiative Cannot Be a Game Changer in Near-Term

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>As we are heading into 2023, let us look back on the performance of some of our global healthcare stocks recommended throughout 2022.</li>
<li>Four stocks on which I am bullish, generated more than 50% return since their recommendations. 10 stocks on which I am bearish plunged more than 20%.</li>
<li>For 2023, investors should continue to focus on established healthcare companies, having strong and flexible balance sheet with muti-year revenue visibility.</li>
</ul>


As we are heading into 2023, let us look back on the performance of some of our global healthcare stocks recommended throughout 2022.
Four stocks on which I am bullish, generated more than 50% return since their recommendations. 10 stocks on which I am bearish plunged more than 20%.
For 2023, investors should continue to focus on established healthcare companies, having strong and flexible balance sheet with muti-year revenue visibility.


2022 in Rear Mirror View: Top Performers From My Global Healthcare Coverage Universe

India

Dr. Lal PathLabs Limited operates clinical laboratories. The Company offers medical diagnostic, cardiology, radiology, pathology and imaging, health checkup, blood test, and customer care services. Dr. Lal PathLabs conducts its business in India.

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Dr Lal PathLabs Ltd (DLPL IN)

Prodia (PRDA IJ) - Shaking off the COVID Factor

Prodia (PRDA IJ) stands out as the unique diagnostic leader in Indonesia, which trades at a significant discount to both local healthcare players...

Angus Mackintosh

Dr Lal PathLabs (DLPL IN): Losing Path Amid Competition; Non-COVID Growth Underwhelming

India diagnostic sector is overcrowded, leading to price competition and declining realization per test. Currently, DLPL’s three-year patient...

Tina Banerjee

India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023)

Nearly halfway through the review period, we see 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, 9 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa....

Brian Freitas

Prodia (PRDA IJ): Digital Initiative Cannot Be a Game Changer in Near-Term

Prodia launched a new digital healthcare platform to augment its growth amid the absence of COVID-related windfall gain. However, this initiative...

Tina Banerjee

2022 in Rear Mirror View: Top Performers From My Global Healthcare Coverage Universe

From my coverage universe, two Taiwanese stocks generated 59% and 71% returns in nearly six months. New product launch and geography expansion are...

Tina Banerjee

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