Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there could be up to 5 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>Hahn&amp;Co now own over 96% of the shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ssangyong-cement-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9345:1" rel="noopener">Ssangyong Cement Industrial (003410 KS)</a> and there could be another change at or before the June rebalance.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade between 0.5-15x ADV on the index changes. There are big shorts in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-f-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14300:1" rel="noopener">L&amp;F (066970 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lotte-tour-development-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5526:1" rel="noopener">Lotte Tour Development Co, Ltd. (032350 KS)</a>. </li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there could be up to 5 changes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the June rebalance.
Hahn&amp;Co now own over 96% of the shares in Ssangyong Cement Industrial (003410 KS) and there could be another change at or before the June rebalance.
Passive trackers will need to trade between 0.5-15x ADV on the index changes. There are big shorts in L&amp;F (066970 KS) and Lotte Tour Development Co, Ltd. (032350 KS). 


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 5-6 Changes Possible from Now to June

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we review the share price performances of the top 13 IPOs (in terms of market cap) in Korea in the past 8 months. </li>
<li>We review the the share price performances over different time periods (1 day, 1 week,  and 1 month). We also analyze the demand ratios and lock-up periods of the IPOs. </li>
<li>On average, 12.7% of the IPO shares are under lockup periods for the 13 companies listed below. HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO has 45.8% of shares under lock-up.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we review the share price performances of the top 13 IPOs (in terms of market cap) in Korea in the past 8 months. 
We review the the share price performances over different time periods (1 day, 1 week,  and 1 month). We also analyze the demand ratios and lock-up periods of the IPOs. 
On average, 12.7% of the IPO shares are under lockup periods for the 13 companies listed below. HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO has 45.8% of shares under lock-up.


A Review of Post IPO Price Performance of Top 13 IPOs in Korea Past 8 Months

<ul>
<li>Around 85% of the way through the review period, we see four changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.4-8 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 1-13 days of ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanmi-semiconductor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15587:1" rel="noopener">Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS)</a> is up 72% in the last two months following its appearance on the list of potential <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> inclusions in June.</li>
</ul>


Around 85% of the way through the review period, we see four changes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the June rebalance.
The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.4-8 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 1-13 days of ADV.

Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS) is up 72% in the last two months following its appearance on the list of potential Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) inclusions in June.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS) Flying High

<ul>
<li>We provide an update of the potential KOSPI200 rebalance candidates in June 2024. </li>
<li>The bottom 5% market caps in KOSPI200 could be excluded from the KOSPI200 rebalance in June 2024. These 10 stocks are down on average 12.6% YTD. </li>
<li>We identified seven potential inclusion candidates. Among them, those that have low PBR multiples including HHI and Dongwon Industries could continue to outperform the market leading up to rebalance announcement. </li>
</ul>


We provide an update of the potential KOSPI200 rebalance candidates in June 2024. 
The bottom 5% market caps in KOSPI200 could be excluded from the KOSPI200 rebalance in June 2024. These 10 stocks are down on average 12.6% YTD. 
We identified seven potential inclusion candidates. Among them, those that have low PBR multiples including HHI and Dongwon Industries could continue to outperform the market leading up to rebalance announcement. 


An Update of the Potential KOSPI200 Rebalance Candidates in June 2024

Angel Robotics   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Angel Robotics reported exceptional IPO bookbuilding results. Angel Robotics' IPO price has been determined at 20,000 won, which is 33% higher than the high end of the IPO price range. </li>
<li>A total of 2,067 institutional investors participated in this IPO book building. The demand ratio was 1,157 to 1. Angel Robotics will start trading on 26 March 2024. </li>
<li>We remain positive on Angel Robotics. There is likely to be a sharp overshooting of its share price relative to its intrinsic value on the first day of trading. </li>
</ul>


Angel Robotics reported exceptional IPO bookbuilding results. Angel Robotics' IPO price has been determined at 20,000 won, which is 33% higher than the high end of the IPO price range. 
A total of 2,067 institutional investors participated in this IPO book building. The demand ratio was 1,157 to 1. Angel Robotics will start trading on 26 March 2024. 
We remain positive on Angel Robotics. There is likely to be a sharp overshooting of its share price relative to its intrinsic value on the first day of trading. 


Angel Robotics: IPO Bookbuilding Results Analysis

South Korea

Doosan Robotics Inc. develops and manufactures industrial equipment. The Company manufactures robots, linear actuation devices, automated production equipment, and other products. Doosan Robotics conducts businesses in South Korea.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Doosan Robotics (454910 KS)

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 5-6 Changes Possible from Now to June

There could be 5-6 changes for the KOSPI200 from now to June. Watch for the HD Hyundai Marine listing too. Impact is between 5-15x ADV and there...

Brian Freitas

A Review of Post IPO Price Performance of Top 13 IPOs in Korea Past 8 Months

In this insight, we review the share price performances of the top 13 IPOs (in terms of market cap) in Korea in the past 8 months. We also analyze...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS) Flying High

There could be 5 changes for the KOSPI200 Index in June. Hanmi Semiconductor is up 72% over the last 2 months following its potential inclusion in...

Brian Freitas

An Update of the Potential KOSPI200 Rebalance Candidates in June 2024

We provide an update of the potential KOSPI200 rebalance candidates in June 2024. We identified seven potential inclusion candidates and 10...

Douglas Kim

Angel Robotics: IPO Bookbuilding Results Analysis

Angel Robotics reported exceptional IPO bookbuilding results. Angel Robotics' IPO price has been determined at 20,000 won, which is 33% higher than...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)