Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Equity Capital Markets

Doosan Bobcat Inc / Equity Capital Markets

Doosan Bobcat is a holding company for a total of 31 subsidiaries in 20 countries. The company is a manufacturer of farm and construction equipment. Doosan Bobcat's 1H16 sales were US$1.82bil with operating profits of US$198.6mil, down 1.1% YoY and 2.3% YoY, respectively. However, the company has continued to maintain an OPM at about 10%. As of 1H16, Bobcat's debt ratio is 95.0%.Doosan Bobcat's US$3.7-4.5bil (₩4.1-5.0tril) valuation does not really seem to be a total nonsense. This is about 1 to 1.3 times sales and 11 to 13 times OP. Yes, this is not a high-flying tech company. This is a construction equipment manufacturer. We cannot really expect a fancy growth rate. Nonetheless, if we look at how Bobcat's peers are currently valued in the market, Bobcat seems to have a good shot to achieve its target IPO price range. The company has continued to capitalize on the strong US construction market in recent years, so did its peers whose stock prices have been strong as well.Well, Bobcat's management (Doosan Group) factor remains to be seen. That is, we are not sure whether Doosan Group management would serve as a premium or discount factor. Nonetheless, Doosan Infracore seems to be regaining its strength on China's rebounding construction market. So, the expectations on possible synergies with Doosan's affiliates would possibly create a higher valuation premium for Bobcat.

Doosan Bobcat is a holding company for a total of 31 subsidiaries in 20 countries. The company is a manufacturer of farm and construction equipment. Doosan Bobcat's 1H16 sales were US$1.82bil with operating profits of US$198.6mil, down 1.1% YoY and 2.3% YoY, respectively. However, the company has continued to maintain an OPM at about 10%. As of 1H16, Bobcat's debt ratio is 95.0%.Doosan Bobcat's US$3.7-4.5bil (₩4.1-5.0tril) valuation does not really seem to be a total nonsense. This is about 1 to 1.3 times sales and 11 to 13 times OP. Yes, this is not a high-flying tech company. This is a construction equipment manufacturer. We cannot really expect a fancy growth rate. Nonetheless, if we look at how Bobcat's peers are currently valued in the market, Bobcat seems to have a good shot to achieve its target IPO price range. The company has continued to capitalize on the strong US construction market in recent years, so did its peers whose stock prices have been strong as well.Well, Bobcat's management (Doosan Group) factor remains to be seen. That is, we are not sure whether Doosan Group management would serve as a premium or discount factor. Nonetheless, Doosan Infracore seems to be regaining its strength on China's rebounding construction market. So, the expectations on possible synergies with Doosan's affiliates would possibly create a higher valuation premium for Bobcat.

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<blockquote>
“Using leverage to cure the problems of too much leverage is not homeopathy, it is denial. The debt crisis is not a temporary problem, it is a structural one. We need rehab.”
―Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world (2009)
</blockquote>This morning, Hanjin Shipping Co. said it will apply for court receivership after lenders decided to halt all support. We have been highlighting these risks from 2013 and in our last update on troubled container shipping company, we had highlighted the…


“Using leverage to cure the problems of too much leverage is not homeopathy, it is denial. The debt crisis is not a temporary problem, it is a structural one. We need rehab.”
―Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world (2009)
This morning, Hanjin Shipping Co. said it will apply for court receivership after lenders decided to halt all support. We have been highlighting these risks from 2013 and in our last update on troubled container shipping company, we had highlighted the…

Hanjin Shipping(117930 KS) - Borrowed Time Comes to an End

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

The "One-Shot Act" (also called The Special Act on the Corporate Revitalization) effectively started in Korea on 16 August when <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/8656" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8656:1">Hanwha Chemical Corp (009830 KS)</a> became the first company to proactively file its application. The One-Shot Act was passed into law in February 2016. The One-Shot Act will help companies to accelerate spin-offs and mergers through simplified structures as well as provide tax benefits and subsidies for R&amp;D. The companies that want to benefit from the One-Shot Act need to…

The "One-Shot Act" (also called The Special Act on the Corporate Revitalization) effectively started in Korea on 16 August when Hanwha Chemical Corp (009830 KS) became the first company to proactively file its application. The One-Shot Act was passed into law in February 2016. The One-Shot Act will help companies to accelerate spin-offs and mergers through simplified structures as well as provide tax benefits and subsidies for R&amp;D. The companies that want to benefit from the One-Shot Act need to…

Start of One-Shot Act - The Good, Bad, and the Ugly

The four major construction stocks in Korea <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/4292" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4292">Hyundai Engineering &amp; Const</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/7699" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7699">Hyundai Development Co Engg &amp; Cnstn</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/15916" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15916">Gs Engineering &amp; Construct</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/12333" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12333">Daewoo Engineering &amp; Constr</a> share prices are on average down 10% from 13 April 2016 (in the same period KOSPI was up 0.3%) , post the election of the National Assembly members in Korea. We gave out a warning on 17 April 206 on these four Korean construction stocks <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/warning-on-korean-construction-stocks-ruling-saenuri-party-is-crushed-in-national-assembly-election" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:3422">Warning on Korean Construction Stocks: Ruling Saenuri Party Is Crushed in National Assembly</a>…

The four major construction stocks in Korea Hyundai Engineering &amp; Const, Hyundai Development Co Engg &amp; Cnstn, Gs Engineering &amp; Construct, and Daewoo Engineering &amp; Constr share prices are on average down 10% from 13 April 2016 (in the same period KOSPI was up 0.3%) , post the election of the National Assembly members in Korea. We gave out a warning on 17 April 206 on these four Korean construction stocks Warning on Korean Construction Stocks: Ruling Saenuri Party Is Crushed in National Assembly…

Close Out the Shorts on Korean Construction Stocks?

This is a follow-up to the warning on the Korean construction stocks which we issued more than a month ago. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/warning-on-korean-construction-stocks-ruling-saenuri-party-is-crushed-in-national-assembly-election" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:3422">Warning on Korean Construction Stocks: Ruling Saenuri Party Is Crushed in National Assembly Election</a> We gave a strong warning on the four major construction stocks and they are down on average 7.2% from the end of the National Assembly Elections in Korea (about 5 weeks ago) to today, under performing KOSPI which is down 1.7% during the same period.  We continue to be bearish on the Korean…

This is a follow-up to the warning on the Korean construction stocks which we issued more than a month ago. Warning on Korean Construction Stocks: Ruling Saenuri Party Is Crushed in National Assembly Election We gave a strong warning on the four major construction stocks and they are down on average 7.2% from the end of the National Assembly Elections in Korea (about 5 weeks ago) to today, under performing KOSPI which is down 1.7% during the same period.  We continue to be bearish on the Korean…

Korean Construction Stocks - Household Debt Is the Achilles Heel

South Korea

Doosan Enerbility Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes construction machines. The Company produces gas turbines, engines, turbine generators, boilers, power plant equipment, and other related products. Doosan Enerbility also offers energy solutions for thermal power, nuclear power, and renewable energy.

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Doosan Enerbility (034020 KS)

Doosan Bobcat IPO Analysis

Doosan Bobcat is a holding company for a total of 31 subsidiaries in 20 countries. The company is a manufacturer of farm and construction...

Sanghyun Park

Hanjin Shipping(117930 KS) - Borrowed Time Comes to an End

“Using leverage to cure the problems of too much leverage is not homeopathy, it is denial. The debt crisis is not a temporary problem, it is a...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Start of One-Shot Act - The Good, Bad, and the Ugly

The "One-Shot Act" (also called The Special Act on the Corporate Revitalization) effectively started in Korea on 16 August when Hanwha Chemical...

Douglas Kim

Close Out the Shorts on Korean Construction Stocks?

The four major construction stocks in Korea Hyundai Engineering & Const, Hyundai Development Co Engg & Cnstn, Gs Engineering &...

Douglas Kim

Korean Construction Stocks - Household Debt Is the Achilles Heel

This is a follow-up to the warning on the Korean construction stocks which we issued more than a month ago. Warning on Korean Construction Stocks:...

Douglas Kim

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