Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

Doosan Enerbility / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Doosan Skoda Power is getting ready to complete an IPO on the Prague Stock Exchange. The IPO is aiming to gather up to 2.53 billion crowns, or about US$105.5 million. </li>
<li>Post IPO, Doosan Power System plans to maintain a 67% ownership. Doosan Enerbility (034020 KS) owns a 100% stake in Doosan Power Systems.</li>
<li>If Doosan Skoda Power is valued at 8.3 billion crowns and if we annualize the company's net profit to 473 billion in 2024, this would suggest a P/E of 17.5x. </li>
</ul>


Doosan Skoda Power is getting ready to complete an IPO on the Prague Stock Exchange. The IPO is aiming to gather up to 2.53 billion crowns, or about US$105.5 million. 
Post IPO, Doosan Power System plans to maintain a 67% ownership. Doosan Enerbility (034020 KS) owns a 100% stake in Doosan Power Systems.
If Doosan Skoda Power is valued at 8.3 billion crowns and if we annualize the company's net profit to 473 billion in 2024, this would suggest a P/E of 17.5x. 


Doosan Enerbility: Thoughts on the IPO of Doosan Skoda Power

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Mar 28th which has an aggregated holding worth USD490.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,292mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Aerospace, SK Hynix, Hyundai Motor, Kia.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Mar 28th which has an aggregated holding worth USD490.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,292mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Aerospace, SK Hynix, Hyundai Motor, Kia.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Mar 28th): Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Aerospace, SK Hynix

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Short selling in Korea resumes in a couple of hours. Expect heightened volatility for a few days before things settle down.</li>
<li>Foreign investors have increased their holdings over the last five weeks and there could be further buying in select stocks on stock price drops.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 INDEX</a> has outperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a>, and the forecast index deletes have underperformed the indices indicating that there will be positioning for the short-sell resumption.</li>
</ul>


Short selling in Korea resumes in a couple of hours. Expect heightened volatility for a few days before things settle down.
Foreign investors have increased their holdings over the last five weeks and there could be further buying in select stocks on stock price drops.
The KOSPI 200 INDEX has outperformed the KOSDAQ 150 Index, and the forecast index deletes have underperformed the indices indicating that there will be positioning for the short-sell resumption.


<ul>
<li>In the next several days, it is likely that the Doosan Group is likely to cancel its restructuring plan involving Doosan Enerbility, Doosan Bobcat, and Doosan Robotics.</li>
<li>As a result of the sharp decline in share prices of major Doosan Group companies, the cost of appraisal rights may be too much for the Doosan Group.</li>
<li>Despite the negative impact of recent political events in Korea, a cancellation of  Doosan Group restructuring plan could have a near-term positive impact on all the major Doosan Group companies.</li>
</ul>


In the next several days, it is likely that the Doosan Group is likely to cancel its restructuring plan involving Doosan Enerbility, Doosan Bobcat, and Doosan Robotics.
As a result of the sharp decline in share prices of major Doosan Group companies, the cost of appraisal rights may be too much for the Doosan Group.
Despite the negative impact of recent political events in Korea, a cancellation of  Doosan Group restructuring plan could have a near-term positive impact on all the major Doosan Group companies.


Doosan Group Is Likely To Cancel Its Restructuring Plans

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Since short selling was banned in November 2023, short interest has plunged in Korea as shorts were covered. Markets have not done much over the last 16 months though. </li>
<li>Foreign investor holdings have dropped from 32.05% in July to 28.57%. The top 25 stocks bought by foreign investors outperformed the top 25 stocks sold by 128% in 16 months.</li>
<li>There will be trade opportunities across indices, pref/ords, index migrations and deletions, potential market upgrades and overvalued stocks being sold.</li>
</ul>


Since short selling was banned in November 2023, short interest has plunged in Korea as shorts were covered. Markets have not done much over the last 16 months though. 
Foreign investor holdings have dropped from 32.05% in July to 28.57%. The top 25 stocks bought by foreign investors outperformed the top 25 stocks sold by 128% in 16 months.
There will be trade opportunities across indices, pref/ords, index migrations and deletions, potential market upgrades and overvalued stocks being sold.


Korea: Short Selling Is Back in March; Trade Ideas

South Korea

Doosan Enerbility Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes construction machines. The Company produces gas turbines, engines, turbine generators, boilers, power plant equipment, and other related products. Doosan Enerbility also offers energy solutions for thermal power, nuclear power, and renewable energy.

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Doosan Enerbility (034020 KS)

Doosan Enerbility: Thoughts on the IPO of Doosan Skoda Power

Doosan Skoda Power is getting ready to complete an IPO on the Prague Stock Exchange. The IPO is aiming to gather up to 2.53 billion crowns, or...

Douglas Kim

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Mar 28th): Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Aerospace, SK Hynix

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Aerospace, SK Hynix,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Korea Short Selling: Off to the Races

Data indicates positioning in different types of trades ranging from index pairs to forecast index deletions and stocks with high forward PEs. Some...

Brian Freitas

Doosan Group Is Likely To Cancel Its Restructuring Plans

In the next several days, it is likely that the Doosan Group is likely to cancel its restructuring plan involving Doosan Enerbility, Doosan Bobcat,...

Douglas Kim

Korea: Short Selling Is Back in March; Trade Ideas

Short selling in Korea commences from Monday. There will be a lot of interest in shorting stocks/sectors depending on how they have performed since...

Brian Freitas

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