Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Softbank Vision Funds 1 and 2 were the biggest combined holdings at December 2022, accounting for 30% of group equity value; SVF private companies accounted for 73% of equity value</li>
<li>To December-end 2022, public companies in SVF2 were marked down by 52% versus investment cost, whereas SVF2 private companies were marked down by a more modest 33% versus investment cost</li>
<li>We believe that SVF2 private company valuations are at risk of further markdowns in 4QFY22 results, with many of these investments made close to the period of peak pandemic valuations</li>
</ul>


Softbank Vision Funds 1 and 2 were the biggest combined holdings at December 2022, accounting for 30% of group equity value; SVF private companies accounted for 73% of equity value
To December-end 2022, public companies in SVF2 were marked down by 52% versus investment cost, whereas SVF2 private companies were marked down by a more modest 33% versus investment cost
We believe that SVF2 private company valuations are at risk of further markdowns in 4QFY22 results, with many of these investments made close to the period of peak pandemic valuations


Softbank (9984 JP) – Focus on the SVFs, Are the Private Companies Appropriately Marked?

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Headlines for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo</a> 4Q2022 and FY2022 headlines do not tell the whole story, given large one-off charges for goodwill write-downs, without which significant progress has been made towards profitability. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo</a> significantly reduced incentive&amp;product marketing spending in 4Q but also posted decent growth, albeit at a slower pace, with an increasing emphasis on building foundational products to drive future profitability.</li>
<li>1H2023 will see slower headline growth from a COVID base but 1Q2023 should see improving take rates and CM breakeven. This is the transient stage of the long-term <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo</a> story.</li>
</ul>


Headlines for GoTo 4Q2022 and FY2022 headlines do not tell the whole story, given large one-off charges for goodwill write-downs, without which significant progress has been made towards profitability. 

GoTo significantly reduced incentive&amp;product marketing spending in 4Q but also posted decent growth, albeit at a slower pace, with an increasing emphasis on building foundational products to drive future profitability.
1H2023 will see slower headline growth from a COVID base but 1Q2023 should see improving take rates and CM breakeven. This is the transient stage of the long-term GoTo story.


Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>DoorDash delivered a mixed result with revenues above market expectations given its single-minded focus on building scale.</li><li>U.S. convenience and grocery business rose 60% year on year in Q4, continually growing at significantly faster rates than restaurants.</li><li>However, all the revenue growth came for a price as the company’s losses were significantly wider than Wall Street expectations.</li></ul>

DoorDash delivered a mixed result with revenues above market expectations given its single-minded focus on building scale.U.S. convenience and grocery business rose 60% year on year in Q4, continually growing at significantly faster rates than restaurants.However, all the revenue growth came for a price as the company’s losses were significantly wider than Wall Street expectations.

DoorDash Inc.: Entry Into Reverse Logistics & Other Drivers

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab Holdings (GRAB US)</a> 4Q2022 numbers late last week made encouraging reading with revenues exceeding expectations significantly despite slow GMV growth in the quarter, as it maintained regional category leadership.</li>
<li>The company saw continued improvement in segment-adjusted EBITDA margins in 4Q2022 versus 3Q2022 for both mobility and deliveries, with the latter making significant progress towards steady-state margins. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab</a>'s relatively high regional cost remains a drag but should stabilise here and outside this, it looks to be firmly on track to accelerate profitably. </li>
</ul>



Grab Holdings (GRAB US) 4Q2022 numbers late last week made encouraging reading with revenues exceeding expectations significantly despite slow GMV growth in the quarter, as it maintained regional category leadership.
The company saw continued improvement in segment-adjusted EBITDA margins in 4Q2022 versus 3Q2022 for both mobility and deliveries, with the latter making significant progress towards steady-state margins. 

Grab's relatively high regional cost remains a drag but should stabilise here and outside this, it looks to be firmly on track to accelerate profitably. 


Grab (GRAB US) - Moving Towards Steady State

Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

<ul>
<li>In this deep dive report, we initiate coverage on Softbank Group with a ¥6,300 target price and Neutral recommendation</li>
<li>We are cautious on global tech and consider that the main risk to the story but a recovery in China sentiment provides some offset</li>
<li>For Q3 results next week, we expect the defensive theme of the last two quarters to continue</li>
</ul>


In this deep dive report, we initiate coverage on Softbank Group with a ¥6,300 target price and Neutral recommendation
We are cautious on global tech and consider that the main risk to the story but a recovery in China sentiment provides some offset
For Q3 results next week, we expect the defensive theme of the last two quarters to continue


Softbank Group (Neutral) - Japan’s Global Tech Play: Initiation of Coverage and Q3 Preview

United States

DoorDash, Inc. provides restaurant food delivery services. The Company develops technology to connect customers with merchants through an on-demand food delivery application. DoorDash serves customers in the United States.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

DoorDash (DASH US)

Softbank (9984 JP) – Focus on the SVFs, Are the Private Companies Appropriately Marked?

The NAV could be 10%-15% lower than stated now at the mid-May results release, due to a further squeeze in private company valuations; this would...

Victor Galliano

GoTo (GOTO IJ) - A Transient State

GoTo 4Q2022 and FY2022 headline numbers do not tell the whole story, given large one-off charges for goodwill right downs, without which...

Angus Mackintosh

DoorDash Inc.: Entry Into Reverse Logistics & Other Drivers

DoorDash delivered a mixed result with revenues above market expectations given its single-minded focus on building scale. U.S. convenience and...

Baptista Research

Grab (GRAB US) - Moving Towards Steady State

Grab's 4Q2022 numbers late last week made encouraging reading with revenues exceeding expectations significantly despite slow GMV growth in the...

Angus Mackintosh

Softbank Group (Neutral) - Japan’s Global Tech Play: Initiation of Coverage and Q3 Preview

In this deep dive report, we initiate coverage at Neutral with a ¥6,300 target price. We think global tech will struggle but a recovery in China...

Kirk Boodry

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)