Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Instacart is target price of $33.7 per share, which represents a 20% upside from the high end of the IPO price range ($28 per share).</li>
<li>We estimate the company's operating margin to improve from 2.4% in 2022 to 13.2% in 2023 and 14.6% in 2024.</li>
<li>Although overall sales growth rate from 2020 to 2024 is lower for Instacart as compared to Uber and DoorDash, Instacart is having stronger growth in operating margins than its peers. </li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Instacart is target price of $33.7 per share, which represents a 20% upside from the high end of the IPO price range ($28 per share).
We estimate the company's operating margin to improve from 2.4% in 2022 to 13.2% in 2023 and 14.6% in 2024.
Although overall sales growth rate from 2020 to 2024 is lower for Instacart as compared to Uber and DoorDash, Instacart is having stronger growth in operating margins than its peers. 


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings (ARM US)</a> has priced its IPO at US$51.00 per ADS, at the top end of the price range. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> will raise gross proceeds of US$4.9bn.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/arm-holdings-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111238" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/arm-holdings-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111471" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/arm-holdings-ipo-unattractive-price-range" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:112285" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings IPO: Unattractive Price Range</a>. </li>
<li>The ARM IPO is structurally set up for a first-day pop. Beyond the first-day euphoria, ARM will face the daunting task of delivering bullish estimates to justify the IPO price.</li>
</ul>



ARM Holdings (ARM US) has priced its IPO at US$51.00 per ADS, at the top end of the price range. Softbank Group (9984 JP) will raise gross proceeds of US$4.9bn.
We previously discussed the IPO in ARM Holdings IPO: The Bull Case, ARM Holdings IPO: The Bear Case and ARM Holdings IPO: Unattractive Price Range. 
The ARM IPO is structurally set up for a first-day pop. Beyond the first-day euphoria, ARM will face the daunting task of delivering bullish estimates to justify the IPO price.


ARM Holdings IPO Trading: Structurally Set up for a First-Day Pop, but Then What?

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab Holdings (GRAB US)</a> released another set of positive results but this time the balance between profitability and growth was well-struck, as it reduced incentives yet increased its market share. </li>
<li>Grab saw GMV growth in both deliveries more notably in mobility, with revenues growing at a faster pace and adjusted EBITDA surprising on the upside, bringing forward breakeven to 3Q2023. </li>
<li>Prospects for 2H2023 look even better with Grab's affordability initiatives gaining traction and improving retention and profitability.</li>
</ul>



Grab Holdings (GRAB US) released another set of positive results but this time the balance between profitability and growth was well-struck, as it reduced incentives yet increased its market share. 
Grab saw GMV growth in both deliveries more notably in mobility, with revenues growing at a faster pace and adjusted EBITDA surprising on the upside, bringing forward breakeven to 3Q2023. 
Prospects for 2H2023 look even better with Grab's affordability initiatives gaining traction and improving retention and profitability.


Grab Holdings (GRAB US) - Growth with Scale from a Stable Platform

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>DoorDash delivered a mixed result in its last quarter, with revenues above analysts’ expectations but failed to surpass the analyst consensus regarding earnings.</li><li>The quarter saw an increase in international business as well as better unit economics.</li><li>In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.</li></ul>

DoorDash delivered a mixed result in its last quarter, with revenues above analysts’ expectations but failed to surpass the analyst consensus regarding earnings.The quarter saw an increase in international business as well as better unit economics.In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

DoorDash Inc.: Ghost Kitchen Expansion Could Usher In a New Era of Growth? - Major Drivers

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In Aug 2022, Zomato completed the acquisition of Blinkit’s outstanding shares via issuing its own shares. These issued shares will come up for lockup release on 10th Aug 2023.</li>
<li>Zomato is one of two leading food delivery app operators in India. Its acquisition of Blinkit marked its foray into the instant grocery segment.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and recent updates.</li>
</ul>


In Aug 2022, Zomato completed the acquisition of Blinkit’s outstanding shares via issuing its own shares. These issued shares will come up for lockup release on 10th Aug 2023.
Zomato is one of two leading food delivery app operators in India. Its acquisition of Blinkit marked its foray into the instant grocery segment.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and recent updates.


Zomato Lock-Up - A US$650m+ Worth Acquisition Linked Lockup Release

United States

DoorDash, Inc. provides restaurant food delivery services. The Company develops technology to connect customers with merchants through an on-demand food delivery application. DoorDash serves customers in the United States.

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DoorDash (DASH US)

Instacart IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Instacart is target price of $33.7 per share, which represents a 20% upside from the high end of the IPO price range...

Douglas Kim

ARM Holdings IPO Trading: Structurally Set up for a First-Day Pop, but Then What?

The ARM IPO is structurally set up for a first-day pop. Beyond the first-day euphoria, ARM will face the daunting task of delivering bullish...

Arun George

Grab Holdings (GRAB US) - Growth with Scale from a Stable Platform

Grab Holdings (GRAB US) released another set of positive results but this time the balance between profitability and growth was well-struck, as it...

Angus Mackintosh

DoorDash Inc.: Ghost Kitchen Expansion Could Usher In a New Era of Growth? - Major Drivers

DoorDash delivered a mixed result in its last quarter, with revenues above analysts’ expectations but failed to surpass the analyst consensus...

Baptista Research

Zomato Lock-Up - A US$650m+ Worth Acquisition Linked Lockup Release

In Aug 2022, Zomato completed the acquisition of Blinkit’s outstanding shares via issuing its own shares. These issued shares will come up for...

Sumeet Singh

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