HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-enric-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Enric Holdings (3899 HK)</a> has a steady 3Q22 with good revenue growth for the chemical &amp; environmental and liquid food segments. Management also said margin has expanded YoY.</li>
<li>Overall order backlog of Rmb13.7bn is generally sufficient to cover individual segment's revenue over the next 6-15 months, comfortably securing the growth prospects. </li>
<li>With significant overseas revenue, it is benefiting from depreciation of Rmb against the USD. It also anticipates a pick-up in domestic clean energy segment growth in FY23.</li>
</ul>



CIMC Enric Holdings (3899 HK) has a steady 3Q22 with good revenue growth for the chemical &amp; environmental and liquid food segments. Management also said margin has expanded YoY.
Overall order backlog of Rmb13.7bn is generally sufficient to cover individual segment's revenue over the next 6-15 months, comfortably securing the growth prospects. 
With significant overseas revenue, it is benefiting from depreciation of Rmb against the USD. It also anticipates a pick-up in domestic clean energy segment growth in FY23.


CIMC Enric (3899 HK): Maintaining a Solid Trend

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)</a> logged a 40.1% growth in reported profit and a 36.5% increase in new orders in 3Q22, both represent excellent sequential momentum.</li>
<li>A 0.5pp 3Q22 gross margin expansion demonstrated order execution and cost control strengths. We also forecast end-FY22 backlog at 1.8x FY22F revenue, well securing outlook.  </li>
<li>DEC is set to see accelerated growth momentum from rising power storage, particularly pumped storage, demand in the medium term. Yet, it only trades on cheap 8.1x FY23F PER.</li>
</ul>



Dongfang Electric (1072 HK) logged a 40.1% growth in reported profit and a 36.5% increase in new orders in 3Q22, both represent excellent sequential momentum.
A 0.5pp 3Q22 gross margin expansion demonstrated order execution and cost control strengths. We also forecast end-FY22 backlog at 1.8x FY22F revenue, well securing outlook.  
DEC is set to see accelerated growth momentum from rising power storage, particularly pumped storage, demand in the medium term. Yet, it only trades on cheap 8.1x FY23F PER.


Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Surge in 3Q22 Profit and Acceleration of New Orders

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 135.0% as of Oct 28th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 7.6ppt weeok on week, led by utilities, financials, information technology and offset by real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 135.0% as of Oct 28th.
The average A-H premium changed by 7.6ppt weeok on week, led by utilities, financials, information technology and offset by real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 28th): Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 130.2% as of Oct 14th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 5.3ppt weeok on week, led by information technology, real estate, materials and offset by communication services, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CMB, China Pacific, Remegen, Tigermed, Shanghai Fudan, YOFC, GWM, CGS.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 130.2% as of Oct 14th.
The average A-H premium changed by 5.3ppt weeok on week, led by information technology, real estate, materials and offset by communication services, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CMB, China Pacific, Remegen, Tigermed, Shanghai Fudan, YOFC, GWM, CGS.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 14th): CMB, China Pacific, Remegen, Tigermed, Shanghai Fudan, YOFC, GWM, CGS

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period for the December rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 9 December.</li>
<li>There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 13.67% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 7.53bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed over the last 6 months but have given up some of the gains recently as market turned volatile. Expect outperformance as the review period ends.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the end of the review period for the December rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 9 December.
There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 13.67% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 7.53bn.
The potential adds have outperformed over the last 6 months but have given up some of the gains recently as market turned volatile. Expect outperformance as the review period ends.


CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Positioned for Outperformance

China

Henan Pinggao Electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets electrical equipment. The Company produces high pressure plates, high voltage equipment, circuit breakers, switches, insulated switchgears, and other products. Henan Pinggao Electric also operates import and export businesses.

China XD Electric Co., Ltd. designs, produces, sells and tests power transmission, distribution and control equipment. The company's products include high voltage switchgear substation, transformer, inductor, capacitor, instrument transformer, and insulator.

Sunwoda Electronic Company Limited develops, designs, produces and sells li-ion battery module.  The company also produces membrate switches and precision structures.

Shanghai Zhixin Electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets electric equipment, including bus line slots, switch boxes, transformers, electric cables, and other related products.

Shanghai Zhixin Electric Co, Ltd. (600517 CH)

Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures wind generator sets, provides consulting service in building and operating wind generating plants, builds and operates middle-sized wind generating plants.

Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology (2208 HK)

Hongfa Technology Co Ltd. researches, manufactures and sells solar energy conversion materials, solar energy systems and a borosilicate glass material.

Xuji Electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes electrical transmission and distribution systems. The Company produces intelligent power distribution systems, direct current transmission systems, traffic intelligent power supply systems, and other systems. Xuji Electric also operates import and export businesses.

Ningbo Orient Wires & Cables Co., Ltd. provides, designs, manufactures, installs and services land cables and subsea cables. The Company's cables are used by energy companies and subsea service providers in onshore and offshore environments.

Ningbo Orient Wires & Cables C (603606 CH)

Gotion High-tech Co.,Ltd researches, develops, manufacture and markets lithium batteries. The Company mainly produces lithium ion batteries, power lithium battery sets, and other related products. Guoxuan High-Tech supplies its products for electric commercial vehicles, passenger cars, power stations, and other fields.

Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. provides and integrates train-borne electrical systems for the PRC Railway industry.  The Company also develops, manufactures, and sells train power converters, auxiliary power supply equipment and control systems for trains for urban rail systems

Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. (3898 HK)

Encore Wire Corporation manufactures copper electrical building wire and cable. The Company supplies residential wire for interior wiring in homes, apartments, and manufactured housing.  Encore also manufactures wire for commercial and industrial buildings.  The Company's customers are wholesale electrical distributors that serve both the residential and commercial wire markets.

Teco Electric & Machinery Co., Ltd. manufactures household appliances, industrial motors, and smart cards.  The Company produces air conditioners, refrigerators, washing machines, televisions, dryers, single-phase motors, three-phase motors, inverters, rotary compressors, stepping motors, gear motors, and generators.

Alstom T&D India Limited manufactures a range of power transmission and distribution equipment. The Company builds high- and medium-voltage substations and develop technologies to manage power grids worldwide.

LS Electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes electrical power equipment. The Company produces smart power equipment, smart automation equipment, smart railway equipment, and other related products. LS Electric also develops smart grid, micro grid, energy storage systems, and metal products.

KEI Industries Limited manufactures cables and stainless steel wires for the building and construction, defense, telecommunications, and other industries.

Amara Raja Batteries Limited specializes in the manufacture of industrial and automotive batteries. The Company manufactures industrial batteries primarily for the telecom and UPS sectors. Amara Raja manufactures automotive batteries for the original equipment manufacturers and the aftermarket.

Voltronic Power Technology Corp. designs and manufactures uninterruptible power supply products, inverters, multiple surface mounted devices and other power products. . The Company offers its products to customers around the world.

Walsin Lihwa Corp. manufactures and markets electric wires and cables. The Company's products include bare copper cables, power cables, and aluminum alloy transmission line conductors.  Walsin Lihwa sells its products in Taiwan and exports to Southeast Asia, Hong Kong, China, Korea, and Japan.

Sunrun Inc. provides solar energy solutions. The Company installs, monitors, and maintains solar panels on homeowners' roofs to supply solar electricity. Sunrun serves customers in the United States.

Shihlin Electric & Engineering Corporation manufactures and markets heavy electric equipment, electrical automotive equipment, circuit breakers and switches, and factory automation equipment.

Shihlin Electric & Engineering Corporation (1503 TT)

Shihlin Electric & Engineering Corporation

Dongfang Electric Corporation Limited manufactures and sells hydro and steam power generators and AC/DC electric motors. The Company also provides repair, upgrade, maintenance, and other services for the products.

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Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)

CIMC Enric (3899 HK): Maintaining a Solid Trend

CIMC Enric has stable revenue growth in 3Q22 while there is YoY gross margin expansion. Outstanding backlog is good enough to cover 6-15 months'...

Osbert Tang, CFA