External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

Dixon Technologies India Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>We tweak our revenue, PAT estimate downward by 6%, ~13%, respectively, for FY22E considering the impact of lockdown in Q1FY22. However, a strong balance sheet, increased backward integration and increasing share of Dixon in domestic electronic manufacturing are expected to result in strong PAT CAGR of 87% in FY21-23E. We reiterate our BUY recommendation on...</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

We tweak our revenue, PAT estimate downward by 6%, ~13%, respectively, for FY22E considering the impact of lockdown in Q1FY22. However, a strong balance sheet, increased backward integration and increasing share of Dixon in domestic electronic manufacturing are expected to result in strong PAT CAGR of 87% in FY21-23E. We reiterate our BUY recommendation on...Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

DIXON: We tweak our revenue, PAT estimate downward by 6%, ~13%, respectively, for FY22E consideri...

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

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<h2>About India Channel Insight</h2>
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<p>Our objective with India Channel Insight is to share snippets from our channel interactions that are part of our research process. These snippets can potentially be signals for larger themes/ideas emerging out of these interactions.  </p>
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<p>For this insight, we share our takeaways from interaction with two major consumer durable industry professionals. First, is the Co-founder of a well-known consumer brand that outsources and also imports some of the products. The second professional holds a leadership position in the second-largest durable manufacturer supplying to brands like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/voltas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19924:1" rel="noopener">Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/havells-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9158:1" rel="noopener">Havells India (HAVL IN). </a></p>
<p>These takeaways will be interesting for investors in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/havells-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9158:1" rel="noopener">Havells India (HAVL IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/voltas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19924:1" rel="noopener">Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amber-enterprises-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32202:1" rel="noopener">Amber Enterprises India (AMBER IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dixon-technologies-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25486:1" rel="noopener">Dixon Technologies India Ltd (DIXON IN)</a> </p>
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About India Channel Insight



Our objective with India Channel Insight is to share snippets from our channel interactions that are part of our research process. These snippets can potentially be signals for larger themes/ideas emerging out of these interactions.  


For this insight, we share our takeaways from interaction with two major consumer durable industry professionals. First, is the Co-founder of a well-known consumer brand that outsources and also imports some of the products. The second professional holds a leadership position in the second-largest durable manufacturer supplying to brands like Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) and Havells India (HAVL IN). 
These takeaways will be interesting for investors in Havells India (HAVL IN) , Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN), Amber Enterprises India (AMBER IN) and Dixon Technologies India Ltd (DIXON IN) 



India Channel Insight | Supply Chain Interactions - Havells, Voltas, Amber, Dixon

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<p>The Indian mutual fund industry has assets of almost INR 5 trillion across Multi cap, Large Cap, Large and Mid Cap, Mid Cap and Small Cap equity schemes. Equity schemes classified as large cap need to have at least 80% of their assets invested in large cap stocks, large and mid cap schemes need to have at least 35% of their assets in large cap stocks and at least 35% in mid cap stocks, mid cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in mid cap stocks, and small cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in small cap stocks.</p><p>The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) publishes the list of the stocks in each market cap segment in January and July each year and mutual funds have one month to rebalance their portfolios to adhere to the new categorization.</p><p>In the upcoming recategorization in January 2021, we see 6 stocks moved from the mid cap segment to the large cap segment with an equal number of stocks moving the other way, and 12 stocks are expected to move from the small cap segment to the mid cap segment with the same number moving the other way. There are quite a few IPOs that will join the small cap list, with just 1 joining the large cap list and 1 joining the mid cap list.</p><p>Historically, the stocks migrating upward to a higher market cap segment have outperformed stocks that migrate to a lower market cap segment over the 1 month and 2 month period post the publishing of the AMFI list. This can be attributed to fund managers realigning their portfolios to meet the new categorization. This provides opportunities to pre-position for the move and unwind post the announcement of the reclassification.</p>

The Indian mutual fund industry has assets of almost INR 5 trillion across Multi cap, Large Cap, Large and Mid Cap, Mid Cap and Small Cap equity schemes. Equity schemes classified as large cap need to have at least 80% of their assets invested in large cap stocks, large and mid cap schemes need to have at least 35% of their assets in large cap stocks and at least 35% in mid cap stocks, mid cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in mid cap stocks, and small cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in small cap stocks.The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) publishes the list of the stocks in each market cap segment in January and July each year and mutual funds have one month to rebalance their portfolios to adhere to the new categorization.In the upcoming recategorization in January 2021, we see 6 stocks moved from the mid cap segment to the large cap segment with an equal number of stocks moving the other way, and 12 stocks are expected to move from the small cap segment to the mid cap segment with the same number moving the other way. There are quite a few IPOs that will join the small cap list, with just 1 joining the large cap list and 1 joining the mid cap list.Historically, the stocks migrating upward to a higher market cap segment have outperformed stocks that migrate to a lower market cap segment over the 1 month and 2 month period post the publishing of the AMFI list. This can be attributed to fund managers realigning their portfolios to meet the new categorization. This provides opportunities to pre-position for the move and unwind post the announcement of the reclassification.

India: AMFI Stock Categorization Changes to Drive Active Portfolio Churn

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Quantitative Analysis

<p>We have devised a few screens to identify long opportunities in the Indian markets. While there are different investment strategies out there, we have focused on catering to three key portfolio strategies: 1) Quality &amp; Growth 2) Income/Dividend Generation and 3) Value. These strategies resonate with our own investment approach and we regularly refer to these screens for our own idea generation.</p>
<p>Below we provide an overview of methodology used and backtest results for each of the screens followed by companies flagged by our screener for each strategy.</p>
<h3><strong>What's Unique?</strong></h3>
<p>Most screens tend to use a plethora of parameters whereas we have relied on 2-3 key parameters determined based on our back testing analysis that uses 7 years of historical data as of 2010. We originally started with multiple variables to devise our screen but eliminated variables that provided limited value addition as guided by back tested results. To filter out noise and any cyclical impact in determining trends, we have used averages across long periods ranging from 3 to 7 years, as appropriate.</p>

We have devised a few screens to identify long opportunities in the Indian markets. While there are different investment strategies out there, we have focused on catering to three key portfolio strategies: 1) Quality &amp; Growth 2) Income/Dividend Generation and 3) Value. These strategies resonate with our own investment approach and we regularly refer to these screens for our own idea generation.
Below we provide an overview of methodology used and backtest results for each of the screens followed by companies flagged by our screener for each strategy.
What's Unique?
Most screens tend to use a plethora of parameters whereas we have relied on 2-3 key parameters determined based on our back testing analysis that uses 7 years of historical data as of 2010. We originally started with multiple variables to devise our screen but eliminated variables that provided limited value addition as guided by back tested results. To filter out noise and any cyclical impact in determining trends, we have used averages across long periods ranging from 3 to 7 years, as appropriate.

Attractive Fishing Areas | India - What's Screening Well?

Value investor- India mid & small caps

Bhaskar Chakraborty

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>India notifies 10% import tariff on Printed Circuit Board (PCB) for smartphones and feature phones</li><li>None of the Indian smartphone players have domestic PCB manufacturing capability yet. 3 out of the four Chinese majors have PCB manufacturing capability in India.</li><li>Indian smartphone players will see 4-6% increase in cost owing to the tariff. This could further imperil their finances and result in further erosion of market share (16% in 2017, down from 54% in 2013).</li><li>Chinese majors have local manufacturing in the country since 2015 and will not be impacted by tariffs.</li><li>Indian players have to now invest in PCB assembling plants instead of investing in product development and R&amp;D.</li><li>India's largest player Micromax has seen its revenues decline 50% over FY15-17. Further skewing of the competitive landscape via tariffs could imperil the survival of the Indian majors.</li></ul>

India notifies 10% import tariff on Printed Circuit Board (PCB) for smartphones and feature phonesNone of the Indian smartphone players have domestic PCB manufacturing capability yet. 3 out of the four Chinese majors have PCB manufacturing capability in India.Indian smartphone players will see 4-6% increase in cost owing to the tariff. This could further imperil their finances and result in further erosion of market share (16% in 2017, down from 54% in 2013).Chinese majors have local manufacturing in the country since 2015 and will not be impacted by tariffs.Indian players have to now invest in PCB assembling plants instead of investing in product development and R&amp;D.India's largest player Micromax has seen its revenues decline 50% over FY15-17. Further skewing of the competitive landscape via tariffs could imperil the survival of the Indian majors.

India's Latest Tariff Move Further Imperils Domestic Smartphone Makers

India

Dixon Technologies (India) Limited manufactures consumer durables, lighting products, and mobile phones. The Company offers LED TVs, washing machines, LED and CFL bulbs and tubelights, and downlighters, as well as provides repair and refurbishment services of set top boxes, mobile phones, and LED TV panels. Dixon Technologies operates in India.

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Dixon Technologies India Ltd (DIXON IN)

DIXON: We tweak our revenue, PAT estimate downward by 6%, ~13%, respectively, for FY22E consideri...

We tweak our revenue, PAT estimate downward by 6%, ~13%, respectively, for FY22E considering the impact of lockdown in Q1FY22. However, a strong...

ICICI Securities Limited

India Channel Insight | Supply Chain Interactions - Havells, Voltas, Amber, Dixon

We share our takeaways from interaction with consumer durable industry professionals. These takeaways will be interesting for investors invested or...

Pranav Bhavsar

India: AMFI Stock Categorization Changes to Drive Active Portfolio Churn

The reclassification of stocks to large, mid and small cap will set off a churn in mutual fund portfolios where historically stocks migrating...

Brian Freitas

Attractive Fishing Areas | India - What's Screening Well?

We have devised a few screens to identify long opportunities in the Indian markets. While there are different investment strategies out there, we...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

India's Latest Tariff Move Further Imperils Domestic Smartphone Makers

India notifies 10% import tariff on Printed Circuit Board (PCB) for smartphones and feature phones None of the Indian smartphone players have...

Bhaskar Chakraborty

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