IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a> has disclosed a revised IPO price range of JPY1,100-1,300 per share, which is -32% to -20% below the IPO reference price of JPY1,620 per share.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105670" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105712" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:106020" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>Our analysis suggests that Tryt remains unattractively valued at the revised IPO price range. Also, market sentiment on the sector has weakened. We would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Tryt Inc (9164 JP) has disclosed a revised IPO price range of JPY1,100-1,300 per share, which is -32% to -20% below the IPO reference price of JPY1,620 per share.
We previously discussed the IPO in TRYT IPO: The Bull Case, TRYT IPO: The Bear Case and TRYT IPO: Valuation Insights. 
Our analysis suggests that Tryt remains unattractively valued at the revised IPO price range. Also, market sentiment on the sector has weakened. We would pass on the IPO.


TRYT IPO: Revised IPO Price Range Remains Unattractive

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a>, a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105670" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105712" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Tryt is unattractively valued at the IPO reference price of JPY1,620 per share. We would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Tryt Inc (9164 JP), a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July.
We previously discussed the IPO in TRYT IPO: The Bull Case and TRYT IPO: The Bear Case. 
In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Tryt is unattractively valued at the IPO reference price of JPY1,620 per share. We would pass on the IPO.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a>, a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July. </li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105670" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on mid-tier revenue growth rates, margin pressure led by rising labour expenses, bottom-tier FCF margin and high leverage.</li>
</ul>



Tryt Inc (9164 JP), a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July. 
In TRYT IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The key elements of the bear case rest on mid-tier revenue growth rates, margin pressure led by rising labour expenses, bottom-tier FCF margin and high leverage.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a>, a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July.   </li>
<li>In 2022, Tyrt was the leading provider of personnel dispatch and personnel introduction services in Japan's welfare and nursing sector.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on large addressable markets, favourable market trends, strong pro-forma revenue growth, top quartile EBITDA margins and rising staff retention rates.</li>
</ul>



Tryt Inc (9164 JP), a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July.   
In 2022, Tyrt was the leading provider of personnel dispatch and personnel introduction services in Japan's welfare and nursing sector.
The key elements of the bull case rest on large addressable markets, favourable market trends, strong pro-forma revenue growth, top quartile EBITDA margins and rising staff retention rates.


Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents.</li>
<li>A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. We look at the potential forward inclusions and removals every month.</li>
<li>Below is a look at potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2023 based on trading data as of end-April 2023.</li>
</ul>


JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents.
A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. We look at the potential forward inclusions and removals every month.
Below is a look at potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2023 based on trading data as of end-April 2023.


Quiddity Leaderboard JPX-Nikkei 400: End-Apr 2023

Japan

DIP Corporation provides matching services through Internet for job agencies and job seekers. The Company also provides matching services for companies and part-time workers as well as companies and job agencies.

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Dip Corp (2379 JP)

TRYT IPO: Revised IPO Price Range Remains Unattractive

Our analysis suggests that Tryt remains unattractively valued at the revised IPO price range. Also, market sentiment on the sector has weakened. We...

Arun George

TRYT IPO: Valuation Insights

Our analysis suggests that Tryt is unattractively valued at the IPO reference price of JPY1,620 per share. We would pass on the IPO.

Arun George

TRYT IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on mid-tier revenue growth rates, margin pressure led by rising labour expenses, bottom-tier FCF margin and...

Arun George

TRYT IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on large addressable markets, favourable market trends, strong pro-forma revenue growth, top quartile EBITDA...

Arun George

Quiddity Leaderboard JPX-Nikkei 400: End-Apr 2023

There are 43 unique Potential ADDs and DELs presented in the current Quiddity Leaderboard. I would be LONG MED Potential ADDs and SHORT Full...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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