Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tech weakness has not only eroded the underlying asset value but raised concerns on leverage and the potential for an ARM IPO. The discount expanded by 4pp in one week</li>
<li>The timing and pricing of an ARM IPO looks more precarious as the semiconductor sector fell 13% over two days and is now down 34% from all-time highs</li>
<li>Currency tailwinds have provided some offset with an unprecedented dollar move mimiting downside in Softbank shares to 8% YTD versus a 24% decline for the $-based ADR</li>
</ul>


Tech weakness has not only eroded the underlying asset value but raised concerns on leverage and the potential for an ARM IPO. The discount expanded by 4pp in one week
The timing and pricing of an ARM IPO looks more precarious as the semiconductor sector fell 13% over two days and is now down 34% from all-time highs
Currency tailwinds have provided some offset with an unprecedented dollar move mimiting downside in Softbank shares to 8% YTD versus a 24% decline for the $-based ADR


Softbank Group - Semiconductor Weakness Expands Discount

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Grab raised around US$4.5bn in its de-SPAC listing in Dec 2021. The shares are now trading around 68% below the listing price.</li>
<li>At the time of listing, all of its top investors were locked up for six months. The lock-up expires on 30th May 2022.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


Grab raised around US$4.5bn in its de-SPAC listing in Dec 2021. The shares are now trading around 68% below the listing price.
At the time of listing, all of its top investors were locked up for six months. The lock-up expires on 30th May 2022.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Grab IPO Lock-Up - Over 60% of the Stock Worth Nearly US$8bn Comes Free

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Cloud Village Inc. (CVI), also known as NetEase Music, raised around US$420m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 21. The IPO was almost entirely taken up by cornerstones.</li>
<li>The company had also earlier obtained investments from Baidu and Alibaba, along with other mainly PE investors. These investors will be released from their lock-up on 1st Jun 2022.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates over the past few months.</li>
</ul>


Cloud Village Inc. (CVI), also known as NetEase Music, raised around US$420m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 21. The IPO was almost entirely taken up by cornerstones.
The company had also earlier obtained investments from Baidu and Alibaba, along with other mainly PE investors. These investors will be released from their lock-up on 1st Jun 2022.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates over the past few months.


Cloud Village IPO Lock-Up - Selling the PE Stock (US$350m) Might Solve the Liquidity Issues

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carsome-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35913:1" rel="noopener">Carsome (CARSOME1 SP)</a>, Malaysia's used-car eCommerce/technology unicorn, has reportedly submitted a confidential IPO filing for a dual listing on Nasdaq and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-exchange-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1047:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Exchange</a>.</li>
<li>Carsome has a great ESG story to tell, but needs to be less humble about telling it because pre-IPO ESG messaging can impact IPO valuations, especially for transportation-related deals.</li>
<li>The centerpiece of Carsome's ESG story should be the important (but underappreciated) role of used car markets in decarbonising road transportation, a leading source of carbon emissions.</li>
</ul>



Carsome (CARSOME1 SP), Malaysia's used-car eCommerce/technology unicorn, has reportedly submitted a confidential IPO filing for a dual listing on Nasdaq and Singapore Exchange.
Carsome has a great ESG story to tell, but needs to be less humble about telling it because pre-IPO ESG messaging can impact IPO valuations, especially for transportation-related deals.
The centerpiece of Carsome's ESG story should be the important (but underappreciated) role of used car markets in decarbonising road transportation, a leading source of carbon emissions.


Carsome: A Paradigm of Circular Economy and Unsung Hero in the Decarbonisation of Transportation

<ul>
<li>Softbank is a $23bn winner on the China bounce as Alibaba (+37% over 2 days, $18bn) and Vision Fund (+$4.8bn) recovered from selling pressure over the last week</li>
<li>Improving sentiment aside the discount remains above 50% and the rebound appears to be more about correcting excess selling than a change in market outlook</li>
<li>We remain wary of Chinese exposure in the near-term on political, regulatory and economic risks although the worst appears to be over for now</li>
</ul>


Softbank is a $23bn winner on the China bounce as Alibaba (+37% over 2 days, $18bn) and Vision Fund (+$4.8bn) recovered from selling pressure over the last week
Improving sentiment aside the discount remains above 50% and the rebound appears to be more about correcting excess selling than a change in market outlook
We remain wary of Chinese exposure in the near-term on political, regulatory and economic risks although the worst appears to be over for now


Softbank Group - China Bounce Erases a Week of Losses

China

DiDi Chuxing Incorporated operates passenger transportation platforms. The Company provides mobility solutions, cloud computing and other application based services. DiDi Chuxing serves customers worldwide.

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DiDi Global (DIDI US)

Softbank Group - Semiconductor Weakness Expands Discount

The discount to fair value has expanded by 4pp in a week as tech weakness not only reduces net asset value but also raises concerns on an IPO of...

Kirk Boodry

Grab IPO Lock-Up - Over 60% of the Stock Worth Nearly US$8bn Comes Free

Grab raised around US$4.5bn in its de-SPAC listing in Dec 2021. The shares are now trading around 68% below the listing price. The lockup release...

Sumeet Singh

Cloud Village IPO Lock-Up - Selling the PE Stock (US$350m) Might Solve the Liquidity Issues

Cloud Village Inc. (CVI), also known as NetEase Music, raised around US$420m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 21. Investors will be released from their...

Sumeet Singh

Carsome: A Paradigm of Circular Economy and Unsung Hero in the Decarbonisation of Transportation

Carsome has reportedly filed for an IPO (dual Nasdaq/SGX listing), and has a great ESG story to tell investors including the role that used car...

Kyle Rudden

Softbank Group - China Bounce Erases a Week of Losses

China bounce has added $4.8bn to Vision Fund and $18bn to Alibaba and that is enough to get us back to early March levels. We have updated the main...

Kirk Boodry

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