IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/didi-chuxing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27467:1" rel="noopener">DiDi Global (DIDI US)</a> will hold an EGM on 23 May to vote to delist the ADS from the NYSE. The shares will not be listed on another exchange before delisting. </li>
<li>Due to the regulatory restrictions, DiDi is losing market share and pricing power to competitors in China. The 4Q21 results were poor. </li>
<li>Directors and key pre-IPO investors together account for 48.2% of outstanding shares, suggesting that the ordinary resolution will pass. </li>
</ul>



DiDi Global (DIDI US) will hold an EGM on 23 May to vote to delist the ADS from the NYSE. The shares will not be listed on another exchange before delisting. 
Due to the regulatory restrictions, DiDi is losing market share and pricing power to competitors in China. The 4Q21 results were poor. 
Directors and key pre-IPO investors together account for 48.2% of outstanding shares, suggesting that the ordinary resolution will pass. 


Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Vision Fund's public portfolio dropped $18.6bn (-24%) in Q4. China concerns grabbed headlines but it was Asian names (Coupang, Grab) that drove losses</li>
<li>Public investments held at the parent level fell 41% (-$1.3bn), led by SoFi (-$862mn), Lemonade (-$189mn) and THG (-$147mn) </li>
<li>We expect that Softbank will also need to write down private investments although it is not clear just how far private valuations have tracked public changes</li>
</ul>


Vision Fund's public portfolio dropped $18.6bn (-24%) in Q4. China concerns grabbed headlines but it was Asian names (Coupang, Grab) that drove losses
Public investments held at the parent level fell 41% (-$1.3bn), led by SoFi (-$862mn), Lemonade (-$189mn) and THG (-$147mn) 
We expect that Softbank will also need to write down private investments although it is not clear just how far private valuations have tracked public changes


Softbank Group - Early Read on Q4 Portfolio Performance

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>On 2nd Apr 2022, CSRC put out a draft for public comments on the revision of certain provisions which would allow easier access by overseas regulators to China ADRs audits.</li>
<li>On 8th Mar 2022, Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) had added five China ADR names to its provisional list of issuers under HFCAA, which set the clock ticking for their delisting.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments and its implications.</li>
</ul>


On 2nd Apr 2022, CSRC put out a draft for public comments on the revision of certain provisions which would allow easier access by overseas regulators to China ADRs audits.
On 8th Mar 2022, Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) had added five China ADR names to its provisional list of issuers under HFCAA, which set the clock ticking for their delisting.
In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments and its implications.


China ADRs Delisting - Tide Is Turning with CSRC Showing Signs of a Compromise

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

<ul>
<li>Meituan’s total revenue continued to rise strongly by 31% in 4Q21.</li>
<li>Initiatives businesses are losing money, but two of them are in leading positions.</li>
<li>We believe the stock has a 20% upside for this year.</li>
</ul>


Meituan’s total revenue continued to rise strongly by 31% in 4Q21.
Initiatives businesses are losing money, but two of them are in leading positions.
We believe the stock has a 20% upside for this year.


Meituan (3690 HK): 4Q21, Strong Revenue and Promising Initiatives

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (1379371D IJ)</a> is the leading digital ecosystem in Southeast Asia. It seeking to raise up to $1.3 billion. Bookbuilding ends on 21 March.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/goto-gojek-tokopedia-ipo-initiation-island-shopping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:67047" rel="noopener">GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO Initiation: Island Shopping</a>, we noted that the fundamentals are mixed as the high growth is accompanied by ongoing losses and cash burn. </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the price range is aggressive and unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass. </li>
</ul>



GoTo (1379371D IJ) is the leading digital ecosystem in Southeast Asia. It seeking to raise up to $1.3 billion. Bookbuilding ends on 21 March.
In GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO Initiation: Island Shopping, we noted that the fundamentals are mixed as the high growth is accompanied by ongoing losses and cash burn. 
Our valuation analysis suggests that the price range is aggressive and unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass. 


GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO: Valuation Insights

China

DiDi Chuxing Incorporated operates passenger transportation platforms. The Company provides mobility solutions, cloud computing and other application based services. DiDi Chuxing serves customers worldwide.

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DiDi Global (DIDI US)

DiDi to Vote on US Delisting on 23 May

DiDi will hold an EGM on 23 May to vote to delist the ADS. Directors and key pre-IPO investors together account for 48.2% of outstanding shares,...

Arun George

Softbank Group - Early Read on Q4 Portfolio Performance

Portfolio losses were steep and may very well exceed the record quarterly erosion set in Q2 as well-known public losses are matched with private...

Kirk Boodry

China ADRs Delisting - Tide Is Turning with CSRC Showing Signs of a Compromise

On 2nd Apr 2022, CSRC put out a draft for public comments on the revision of certain provisions which would allow easier access by overseas...

Sumeet Singh

Meituan (3690 HK): 4Q21, Strong Revenue and Promising Initiatives

Meituan’s total revenue continued to rise strongly by 31% in 4Q21. Initiatives businesses are losing money, but two of them got leading positions.

Ming Lu

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that the price range is aggressive and unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass. Books will close on 21 March....

Arun George

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