Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>2023 will be a transitional year for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sd-biosensor-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33333:1" rel="noopener">SD Biosensor (137310 KS)</a>, with revenue and earnings taking a massive hit due to the declining revenue contribution of the COVID-19 tests.</li>
<li>The company is reaping the benefits of its continuous effort in adding new growth engines through M&amp;A and global expansion of its all-in-one molecular diagnostic system called the Standard M10.</li>
<li>SD Biosensor is set to enter the US market through the acquisition of Meridian. With ~40% share of the global IVD market, the US has big potential.</li>
</ul>


2023 will be a transitional year for SD Biosensor (137310 KS), with revenue and earnings taking a massive hit due to the declining revenue contribution of the COVID-19 tests.
The company is reaping the benefits of its continuous effort in adding new growth engines through M&amp;A and global expansion of its all-in-one molecular diagnostic system called the Standard M10.
SD Biosensor is set to enter the US market through the acquisition of Meridian. With ~40% share of the global IVD market, the US has big potential.


SD Biosensor (137310 KS): COVID Test Revenue Tapering Off; Global Expansion to Drive Future Growth

<ul>
<li>In July 2022, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sd-biosensor-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33333:1" rel="noopener">SD Biosensor (137310 KS)</a> in partnership with SJL Partners signed a definitive merger agreement to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meridian-bioscience-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1559:1" rel="noopener">Meridian Bioscience (VIVO US)</a>  for approximately KRW800 billion (~$1.5 billion).</li>
<li>The acquisition will strengthen SD Biosensos’s IVD platform to navigate the decline in COVID-19 testing demand and accelerate its U.S. market entry.</li>
<li>In September 2021, SD Biosensor acquired ~22% stake in UXN, which aims to launch mini continuous blood glucose meter in domestic market in 2024.</li>
</ul>


In July 2022, SD Biosensor (137310 KS) in partnership with SJL Partners signed a definitive merger agreement to acquire Meridian Bioscience (VIVO US)  for approximately KRW800 billion (~$1.5 billion).
The acquisition will strengthen SD Biosensos’s IVD platform to navigate the decline in COVID-19 testing demand and accelerate its U.S. market entry.
In September 2021, SD Biosensor acquired ~22% stake in UXN, which aims to launch mini continuous blood glucose meter in domestic market in 2024.


SD Biosensor (137310 KS): Aggressively Investing Windfall Gain From COVID; Adding New Growth Engines

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seegene-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11483:1" rel="noopener">Seegene Inc (096530 KS)</a> reported a 30% y/y growth in revenue from non-COVID products to KRW69.5 billion in H1 2022. Q2 non-COVID product revenue was up 21% compared to Q1.</li>
<li>The company expects strong demand for respiratory virus testing in fall and winter as the flu season starts in its key markets of Europe and North America.</li>
<li>Seegene stock is trading near its lows, mainly due to muted financial performance. Seegene can be a value pick and long-term play on the non-COVID product recovery.  </li>
</ul>



Seegene Inc (096530 KS) reported a 30% y/y growth in revenue from non-COVID products to KRW69.5 billion in H1 2022. Q2 non-COVID product revenue was up 21% compared to Q1.
The company expects strong demand for respiratory virus testing in fall and winter as the flu season starts in its key markets of Europe and North America.
Seegene stock is trading near its lows, mainly due to muted financial performance. Seegene can be a value pick and long-term play on the non-COVID product recovery.  


Seegene (096530 KS): Recovery of Non-COVID Sales to Drive Future Growth

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

U.S. President-Elect Joe Biden recently announced four "Day One" priorities for his administration. The first of those priorities is an aggressive seven-point COVID-19 response plan, the first point of which is COVID-19 testing. Testing is Biden's near-term focus, and testing stocks stand to gain.As noted in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/biden-covid-19-response-plan-overview-of-its-inherent-investment-themes" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45631" rel="noopener">Biden COVID-19 Response Plan: Overview of Its Inherent Investment Themes</a>, testing stocks represent the largest, most tangible, and nearest-term investment opportunity amongst the various themes inherent in Biden's COVID-19 plan (summarised in the Insight linked to above).Don't just back up the truck, however. The plan could be boon for testing stocks,  but it is harldy a "rising tide lifts all boats" scenario. It creates a window of upside for some of testing stocks, though not all, and it's a brief window replete with nuances and caveats. Selectivity and timing are key.This Insight presents an investment thesis for the COVID-19 testing stock theme, specifically vis-à-vis the details of the plan. It consists of two phases (time horizons), and two types of stocks:<ol>
<li>
Nearer-Term: Focus on diagnostic (versus antibody) testing stocks, especially those whose tests have fit best with Biden's "rapid deployment, rapid results" testing strategy. For example, rapid antigent tests, others with fast time-to-results, point-of-care and at-home collection, etc.</li>
<li>
Medium-Term: COVID-19 vaccine progress is a major catalyst for this theme. Vaccines will not end testing altogether (at least not soon), but as mass-vaccination becomes more reality than a dream, it would be wise to shift out of from diagnostic stocks into antibody testing stocks.</li>
</ol>

U.S. President-Elect Joe Biden recently announced four "Day One" priorities for his administration. The first of those priorities is an aggressive seven-point COVID-19 response plan, the first point of which is COVID-19 testing. Testing is Biden's near-term focus, and testing stocks stand to gain.As noted in Biden COVID-19 Response Plan: Overview of Its Inherent Investment Themes, testing stocks represent the largest, most tangible, and nearest-term investment opportunity amongst the various themes inherent in Biden's COVID-19 plan (summarised in the Insight linked to above).Don't just back up the truck, however. The plan could be boon for testing stocks,  but it is harldy a "rising tide lifts all boats" scenario. It creates a window of upside for some of testing stocks, though not all, and it's a brief window replete with nuances and caveats. Selectivity and timing are key.This Insight presents an investment thesis for the COVID-19 testing stock theme, specifically vis-à-vis the details of the plan. It consists of two phases (time horizons), and two types of stocks:

Nearer-Term: Focus on diagnostic (versus antibody) testing stocks, especially those whose tests have fit best with Biden's "rapid deployment, rapid results" testing strategy. For example, rapid antigent tests, others with fast time-to-results, point-of-care and at-home collection, etc.

Medium-Term: COVID-19 vaccine progress is a major catalyst for this theme. Vaccines will not end testing altogether (at least not soon), but as mass-vaccination becomes more reality than a dream, it would be wise to shift out of from diagnostic stocks into antibody testing stocks.


Biden COVID-19 Response Plan: Its Largest Near-Term Opportunity Is In Testing Stocks

The Biden-Harris administration recently announced four "Day One" priorities, the first of which is their COVID-19 response plan. COVID-19 response is first, because it is a prerequisite to economic recovery, which is the second of their four "Day One" priorities.Several investment themes are inherent in Biden's COVID-19 plan, some more direct and obvious than others. This Insight overviews more significant themes and their most representative stocks, in three sections (the first two will be expanded on in separate upcoming reports):<ol>
<li>
COVID-19 Testing: Testing is the largest, most tangible, nearest-term investment opportunity created by Biden's plan. An estimated US$75-100 billion for testing could be windfall for certain stocks, but not all. Selectivity is key, and timing is critical (related to vaccine development).</li>
<li>
Vaccine Delivery: Biden's plan emphasises vaccine manufacturing and delivery, versus vaccine development (Trump had allocated <a href="https://www.hhs.gov/coronavirus/explaining-operation-warp-speed/index.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">billions</a> to vaccine development companies). Some might go to big pharma companies for M&amp;D, but most should benefit other "cold chain" stocks.</li>
<li>
PPE Supply/Other: PPE manufacturing, of course, but that is largely old news. I will address it, but do so along with other more interesting collateral themes. For example, retail drugs chains, elder-care, medical technologies, and a few other related industries.</li>
</ol>

The Biden-Harris administration recently announced four "Day One" priorities, the first of which is their COVID-19 response plan. COVID-19 response is first, because it is a prerequisite to economic recovery, which is the second of their four "Day One" priorities.Several investment themes are inherent in Biden's COVID-19 plan, some more direct and obvious than others. This Insight overviews more significant themes and their most representative stocks, in three sections (the first two will be expanded on in separate upcoming reports):

COVID-19 Testing: Testing is the largest, most tangible, nearest-term investment opportunity created by Biden's plan. An estimated US$75-100 billion for testing could be windfall for certain stocks, but not all. Selectivity is key, and timing is critical (related to vaccine development).

Vaccine Delivery: Biden's plan emphasises vaccine manufacturing and delivery, versus vaccine development (Trump had allocated billions to vaccine development companies). Some might go to big pharma companies for M&amp;D, but most should benefit other "cold chain" stocks.

PPE Supply/Other: PPE manufacturing, of course, but that is largely old news. I will address it, but do so along with other more interesting collateral themes. For example, retail drugs chains, elder-care, medical technologies, and a few other related industries.


Biden COVID-19 Response Plan: Overview of Its Inherent Investment Themes

Italy

DiaSorin S.p.A. manufactures reagents for in vitro diagnostics.

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DiaSorin SpA (DIA IM)

SD Biosensor (137310 KS): COVID Test Revenue Tapering Off; Global Expansion to Drive Future Growth

SD Biosensor is expected to take massive hit in revenue in 2023 due to declining COVID tests. However, new product launches and global expansion...

Tina Banerjee

SD Biosensor (137310 KS): Aggressively Investing Windfall Gain From COVID; Adding New Growth Engines

SD Biosensor is pursuing inorganic route to add new business opportunities to navigate the decline in COVID-19 testing demand. Acquisition of...

Tina Banerjee

Seegene (096530 KS): Recovery of Non-COVID Sales to Drive Future Growth

Seegene is seeing slow recovery in non-COVID product revenue, with Q2 non-COVID product revenue increasing 21% q/q. At the current level Seegene...

Tina Banerjee

Biden COVID-19 Response Plan: Its Largest Near-Term Opportunity Is In Testing Stocks

COVID-19 testing stocks represent the largest, most tangible, and nearest-term investment opportunity inherent in Biden's recently-announced COVID...

Kyle Rudden

Biden COVID-19 Response Plan: Overview of Its Inherent Investment Themes

Biden's recently-announced COVID-19 response plan suggests a number of investment themes. This Insight overviews the more significant of those...

Kyle Rudden

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