Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The bear market rally that we have discussed since our Sept. 29 Int'l Compass has managed to surpass our price targets, which were YTD downtrends on the ACWX-US and EFA-US.</li>
<li>As a result of these bullish reversals and breakdowns on the US dollar (DXY) and 10-year Treasury yield, we are upgrading our outlook to neutral.</li>
<li>Buy ideas on a pullback in: Consumer Discretionary, Energy, and Technology/Tech Services</li>
</ul>


The bear market rally that we have discussed since our Sept. 29 Int'l Compass has managed to surpass our price targets, which were YTD downtrends on the ACWX-US and EFA-US.
As a result of these bullish reversals and breakdowns on the US dollar (DXY) and 10-year Treasury yield, we are upgrading our outlook to neutral.
Buy ideas on a pullback in: Consumer Discretionary, Energy, and Technology/Tech Services


Bullish Reversals Continue: TAIEX, KOSPI, AEX, Hang Seng, CSI 300. Buy Cyclicals/Growth on Pullbacks

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Delta Taiwan has outperformed Delta Thailand, but remains at a historically low relative valuation.</li>
<li>China concerns, which may have impacted Delta Taiwan on a relative basis, appear to be incrementally improving.</li>
<li>We continue to favor Delta Taiwan vs. Delta Thailand, historical data implies Delta Taiwan is more likely to outperform Delta Thailand than vice-versa.</li>
</ul>


Delta Taiwan has outperformed Delta Thailand, but remains at a historically low relative valuation.
China concerns, which may have impacted Delta Taiwan on a relative basis, appear to be incrementally improving.
We continue to favor Delta Taiwan vs. Delta Thailand, historical data implies Delta Taiwan is more likely to outperform Delta Thailand than vice-versa.


Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: China Concerns Easing, EV in 2023 Favor Delta Taiwan

<ul>
<li>Delta Electronics (2308 TT) reported its earnings on October 28th, after its subsidiary Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB) had reported on October 25th.</li>
<li>Sales grew 33% YoY and gross margin expanded sequentially, which outperformed Delta Thailand's margin performance.</li>
<li>Delta Taiwan shares have outperformed Delta Thailand since having dropped to a historically-extreme relative market cap below 1.0x. However, Delta Taiwan remains historically cheap on a relative basis.</li>
</ul>


Delta Electronics (2308 TT) reported its earnings on October 28th, after its subsidiary Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB) had reported on October 25th.
Sales grew 33% YoY and gross margin expanded sequentially, which outperformed Delta Thailand's margin performance.
Delta Taiwan shares have outperformed Delta Thailand since having dropped to a historically-extreme relative market cap below 1.0x. However, Delta Taiwan remains historically cheap on a relative basis.


Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Delta Taiwan Reports Better Margin Trend, Rel Valuation Reverts

<ul>
<li>Delta Electronics Thailand shares rose sharply ahead of its earnings result, where profit beat expectations. Delta Taiwan shares fell the same day, thus we see an opportunity.</li>
<li>Delta Taiwan to report on October 28th. Delta Taiwan is now smaller in market cap than its subsidiary despite earning substantially higher levels of net profit.</li>
<li>2023E growth expectations are relatively similar for both, supporting Delta Taiwan to revert vs. Thailand. Trade opportunity into the Delta Taiwan October 28th results.</li>
</ul>


Delta Electronics Thailand shares rose sharply ahead of its earnings result, where profit beat expectations. Delta Taiwan shares fell the same day, thus we see an opportunity.
Delta Taiwan to report on October 28th. Delta Taiwan is now smaller in market cap than its subsidiary despite earning substantially higher levels of net profit.
2023E growth expectations are relatively similar for both, supporting Delta Taiwan to revert vs. Thailand. Trade opportunity into the Delta Taiwan October 28th results.


Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Major Disconnect Post Thai Earnings, Trade Taiwan Into Earnings

<ul>
<li>ASML and Lam Research beat estimates last week and provided some relief to the semiconductor space.</li>
<li>Major global industry earnings coming this week include -- Samsung, SK Hynix, Texas Instruments, KLA Tencor, Apple, and Intel.</li>
<li>Major Taiwan earnings this week -- AUO, UMC, ASE, Realtek, Delta Electronics, Mediatek.</li>
</ul>


ASML and Lam Research beat estimates last week and provided some relief to the semiconductor space.
Major global industry earnings coming this week include -- Samsung, SK Hynix, Texas Instruments, KLA Tencor, Apple, and Intel.
Major Taiwan earnings this week -- AUO, UMC, ASE, Realtek, Delta Electronics, Mediatek.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: ASML & Lam Provide Industry Optimism, Wave of Earnings This Week

Taiwan

Delta Electronics Inc. manufactures power supplies and video display products. The Company's products include switching power supplies, telecom power systems, uninterrupted power supply (UPS), variable speed alternating current (AC) monitor drives, high resolution color monitors, and projectors.  Delta also manufactures magnetic and networking components.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Delta Electronics (2308 TT)

Bullish Reversals Continue: TAIEX, KOSPI, AEX, Hang Seng, CSI 300. Buy Cyclicals/Growth on Pullbacks

Bullish reversals: Taiwan $TAIEX, Korea $KOSPI, Netherlands' $AEX reversing YTD downtrends, while Hang Seng $HSI and China's CSI 300 are reversing...

Vermilion Research

Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: China Concerns Easing, EV in 2023 Favor Delta Taiwan

China concerns, which may have impacted Delta Taiwan on a relative basis, appear to be incrementally improving. Despite recent Delta Taiwan...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Delta Taiwan Reports Better Margin Trend, Rel Valuation Reverts

Delta Taiwan shares have outperformed Delta Thailand since having dropped to a historically-extreme relative market cap below 1.0x. However, Delta...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Major Disconnect Post Thai Earnings, Trade Taiwan Into Earnings

Delta Taiwan to report on October 28th. Delta Taiwan is now smaller in market cap than its subsidiary despite earning substantially higher levels...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: ASML & Lam Provide Industry Optimism, Wave of Earnings This Week

Earnings season is now in full swing with a wave of results to be released this week for both the global industry and within Taiwan.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)