Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our February 6, 2023 EM Strategy, we discussed that we were buyers of the MSCI EM (EEM-US) on a pullback to the 50-day MA. </li>
<li>The pullback went a bit deeper but managed to hold at our $37.50 line-in-the-sand which we discussed in our recent ETF Pathfinder reports (Mar. 6 and Mar. 20, 2023).</li>
<li>The EEM-US displays a bullish 2-month downtrend reversal- add exposure. Signs continue to point to a topping DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. EAFE).</li>
</ul>


In our February 6, 2023 EM Strategy, we discussed that we were buyers of the MSCI EM (EEM-US) on a pullback to the 50-day MA. 
The pullback went a bit deeper but managed to hold at our $37.50 line-in-the-sand which we discussed in our recent ETF Pathfinder reports (Mar. 6 and Mar. 20, 2023).
The EEM-US displays a bullish 2-month downtrend reversal- add exposure. Signs continue to point to a topping DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. EAFE).


MSCI EM $EEM 2-Month Downtrend Reversal at Support -- Add Exposure. Upgrading Taiwan to Overweight

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

Tong Hsing Electronic Industries Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the June 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>As things stand, there do not seem to be any ADDs/DELs for the T50 index or the T100 index.</li>
<li>However, with multiple names close to the border and with two more months to the base date a lot of ranks could change.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the June 2023 Rebalance.
As things stand, there do not seem to be any ADDs/DELs for the T50 index or the T100 index.
However, with multiple names close to the border and with two more months to the base date a lot of ranks could change.


Quiddity Leaderboard TWSE50/100 Jun 23: Tong Hsing in the Spotlight Again

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 10th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD11.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Alchip Tech, Delta Elec, Global Unichip, Unimicron Tech, Kinsus.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 10th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD11.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Alchip Tech, Delta Elec, Global Unichip, Unimicron Tech, Kinsus.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 10th): Alchip Tech, Delta Elec, Global Unichip, Unimicron Tech

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Feb 24th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD11.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Novatek, Unimicron Tech, Realtek Semi, Alchip Tech, Evergreen Marine.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Feb 24th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD11.7bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Novatek, Unimicron Tech, Realtek Semi, Alchip Tech, Evergreen Marine.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Feb 24th): Novatek, Unimicron, Realtek, Alchip Tech, Evergreen Marine

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Results have come out for both companies. Delta Thailand has delivered massive growth in 2022 however in 2023 consensus expects Delta Taiwan to grow faster.</li>
<li>One way to outperform the Thailand SET Index in 2023E could be to simply hold the index stocks but exclude Delta Thailand.</li>
<li>By essentially any fundamental metric, Delta Thailand is over-priced relative to Delta Taiwan and it's hard to see what the next outperformance driver could be in 2023E.</li>
</ul>


Results have come out for both companies. Delta Thailand has delivered massive growth in 2022 however in 2023 consensus expects Delta Taiwan to grow faster.
One way to outperform the Thailand SET Index in 2023E could be to simply hold the index stocks but exclude Delta Thailand.
By essentially any fundamental metric, Delta Thailand is over-priced relative to Delta Taiwan and it's hard to see what the next outperformance driver could be in 2023E.


Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Results Released, 2023E Could See Delta Taiwan Grow Faster

Taiwan

Delta Electronics Inc. manufactures power supplies and video display products. The Company's products include switching power supplies, telecom power systems, uninterrupted power supply (UPS), variable speed alternating current (AC) monitor drives, high resolution color monitors, and projectors.  Delta also manufactures magnetic and networking components.

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Delta Electronics (2308 TT)

MSCI EM $EEM 2-Month Downtrend Reversal at Support -- Add Exposure. Upgrading Taiwan to Overweight

Signs continue to point to a topping $DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. $EAFE). Many ideas in China/Hong...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard TWSE50/100 Jun 23: Tong Hsing in the Spotlight Again

Tong Hsing Electronic is close to becoming a T100 DEL which means it is also close to becoming a Div+ index DEL which might have significant index...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 10th): Alchip Tech, Delta Elec, Global Unichip, Unimicron Tech

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Alchip Tech, Delta Elec, Global Unichip, Unimicron...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Feb 24th): Novatek, Unimicron, Realtek, Alchip Tech, Evergreen Marine

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Novatek, Unimicron Tech, Realtek Semi, Alchip...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Results Released, 2023E Could See Delta Taiwan Grow Faster

One way to outperform the Thailand SET Index in 2023E could be to simply hold the index stocks but exclude Delta Thailand.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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