Global Gaming and Casinos Industry Specialist, Casino Business Review LLC

Howard J Klein

Global Gaming and Casinos Industry Specialist

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Brexit was the first visible symptom that of the rise of the more insular, economically viable, semi-protectionist nation state is stirring to challenge the globalism mantra.</li><li>The election of US President Trump reinforces the idea that the nation state, not globalism per se, is the key actor in its own economic destiny.</li><li>Eurozone stalwarts Germany and France face seminal electoral tests on their globalism over national priorities this year.</li><li>Since announced in 2103, Chinas Silk Road mega-project is looking more like a "me first" deal than a "we" global citizen action.</li><li>The new Global Populism could produce mispricings in industry sectors heretofore considered sleepy in comparison with glamorous technology disruptors.</li></ul>

Brexit was the first visible symptom that of the rise of the more insular, economically viable, semi-protectionist nation state is stirring to challenge the globalism mantra.The election of US President Trump reinforces the idea that the nation state, not globalism per se, is the key actor in its own economic destiny.Eurozone stalwarts Germany and France face seminal electoral tests on their globalism over national priorities this year.Since announced in 2103, Chinas Silk Road mega-project is looking more like a "me first" deal than a "we" global citizen action.The new Global Populism could produce mispricings in industry sectors heretofore considered sleepy in comparison with glamorous technology disruptors.

Globalization May Be Going Extinct, Replaced by a New Global Populism

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

DFRS Container Shipping Bonds Outlook - Recovery Priced In, See Downside Risk from Current Levels<ul><li>
In the current interest rate environment, we support issues that lie higher on the risk spectrum with a short duration. We believe in high yield notes from companies that have proven abilities in raising funds through various sources, mitigating refinancing risk as rates pick up. Short duration is a key metric for our bond picks at the moment, as we anticipate further rate hikes during the year by…</li></ul>

DFRS Container Shipping Bonds Outlook - Recovery Priced In, See Downside Risk from Current Levels
In the current interest rate environment, we support issues that lie higher on the risk spectrum with a short duration. We believe in high yield notes from companies that have proven abilities in raising funds through various sources, mitigating refinancing risk as rates pick up. Short duration is a key metric for our bond picks at the moment, as we anticipate further rate hikes during the year by…

DFRS Container Shipping Bonds Outlook - Recovery Priced In, See Downside Risk from Current Levels

Container Shipping - Spot Rates Now Filtering into Contract Rates, Indicating a Big Positive ReversalIn our last update <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/container-shipping-spot-rates-touch-20-month-high" target="_blank">https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/container-shipping-spot-rates-touch-20-month-high</a> we had highlighted spot container freight rates on the major East-West routes reaching a 20-month high and having risen above the average of the last 5 years. WCI spot rates assessed by Drewry (USD / 40ft container)<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/020/332/original/wci1.JPG?1486437501" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="20332"></figure>Our recent channel checks suggest the spot rates are now having an increasingly…

Container Shipping - Spot Rates Now Filtering into Contract Rates, Indicating a Big Positive ReversalIn our last update https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/container-shipping-spot-rates-touch-20-month-high we had highlighted spot container freight rates on the major East-West routes reaching a 20-month high and having risen above the average of the last 5 years. WCI spot rates assessed by Drewry (USD / 40ft container)Our recent channel checks suggest the spot rates are now having an increasingly…

Container Shipping - Spot Rates Now Filtering into Contract Rates, Indicating Big Positive Reversal

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

This topic has nagged me for some time. Two months ago when the Case-Shiller Home Price Index “made a new high” and after new highs again this week, I’ve been doing back of the envelope calculations based on my property portfolio to show how screwed tracking prices in property investments can be.I believe such coverage of property price performance is wholly misleading and misrepresents real returns for investors and home buyers.A  home and a home price  that was transacted even 10 years ago was a substantially different home to today’s home. A recognized stock price (not DRYS!)  over 10 years has a much better chance of reflecting price movements that correspond to positive and negative returns to the investor directly.The distortion in property prices comes from a slew of adjustments we need to make, and which can shave several percent off a value per year! I’ve used my own property transaction data to work out the adjustments that should be made. There are two main categories which need to be made (with many sub-categories).

This topic has nagged me for some time. Two months ago when the Case-Shiller Home Price Index “made a new high” and after new highs again this week, I’ve been doing back of the envelope calculations based on my property portfolio to show how screwed tracking prices in property investments can be.I believe such coverage of property price performance is wholly misleading and misrepresents real returns for investors and home buyers.A  home and a home price  that was transacted even 10 years ago was a substantially different home to today’s home. A recognized stock price (not DRYS!)  over 10 years has a much better chance of reflecting price movements that correspond to positive and negative returns to the investor directly.The distortion in property prices comes from a slew of adjustments we need to make, and which can shave several percent off a value per year! I’ve used my own property transaction data to work out the adjustments that should be made. There are two main categories which need to be made (with many sub-categories).

Case-Shiller Property Indices Hugely Misleading...and Different from Stocks (LT Invst Windows Tight)

Global Asset Allocation, Politics & Governance, Ecstrat

John-Paul Smith

Global Asset Allocation, Politics & Governance

Ecstrat

Ecstrat is a consultancy advising on asset allocation between global equity markets, with a focus on the intersection of governments, geopolitics, governance and markets.
 
Over the past few years and more especially since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), investors have become more focused on short-term market movements and real-time returns and have consequently neglected the analysis of the underlying structural themes that underpin longer term performance.
​
More specifically we believe that the evolution of governance-based relationships between investors, controlling shareholders, labour and the state is one of the primary determinants of both relative and absolute performance between individual equity markets.
 
We will endeavour to provide investors with some of the context surrounding governance-related issues which encompass many different disciplines including history, economics and political science, as well as the financial metrics which are the most obvious manifestation of the structural characteristics of each market.
 
We will pay particular attention to the shifts and potential inflection points for governance in individual markets as these are often the best lead indicators for both economic and market performance.

Cross Asset Strategy

The new US administration is heading towards a stand-off with China over trade by eschewing the incremental approach of Obama’s administration in favour of more specific targets, to be pursued by bilateral negotiations/ultimatums in addition to the usual multilateral channels. The Trump team is targeting four distinct areas to help reduce the bilateral trade imbalance, all of which touch on what the Chinese authorities perceive as vital national interests, so it is difficult to identify any…

The new US administration is heading towards a stand-off with China over trade by eschewing the incremental approach of Obama’s administration in favour of more specific targets, to be pursued by bilateral negotiations/ultimatums in addition to the usual multilateral channels. The Trump team is targeting four distinct areas to help reduce the bilateral trade imbalance, all of which touch on what the Chinese authorities perceive as vital national interests, so it is difficult to identify any…

Trump and China; the Calm Before the Storm?

United States

Caterpillar Inc. designs, manufactures and markets construction, mining and forestry machinery. The Company also manufactures engines  and other related parts for its equipment, and offers financing and insurance. Caterpillar distributes its products through a worldwide organization of dealers.

Graco Inc. supplies technology for the management of fluids in both industrial and commercial applications.  The Company designs, manufactures, and markets systems to move, measure, control, dispense, and apply fluid materials.  Graco's products are used for applying paints and coatings, high-pressure cleaning of equipment, and lubricating and maintaining vehicles and other equipment.

Nordson Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets systems that apply adhesives, sealants, and coatings to consumer and industrial products during manufacturing operations.  The Company's products include customized electronic controls for the precise application and curing of materials to meet customers' requirements.  Nordson operates around the world.

Illinois Tool Works Inc. designs and manufactures fasteners and components, equipment and consumable systems, and a variety of specialty products and equipment.  The Company's products include industrial fluids and adhesives, tooling for specialty applications, welding products, and quality measurement equipment and systems.  Illinois Tool Works operates worldwide.

Parker-Hannifin Corporation manufactures motion control products, including fluid power systems, electromechanical controls, and related components.  The Company also produces fluid purification, fluid flow, process instrumentation, air conditioning, refrigeration, and electromagnetic shielding and thermal management products.

IDEX Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets a variety of pump products, dispensing equipment, and other engineered products.  The Company's products include industrial pumps, lubrication systems, banding and clamping devices, and rescue tools.  IDEX markets its products to customers in the United States and overseas.

Xylem, Inc. is a designer, manufacturer, equipment and service provider for water and wastewater applications addressing the full-cycle of water from collection, distribution, and use to the return of water to the environment. The Company's products include water and wastewater pumps, treatment and testing equipment, industrial pumps, valves, heat exchangers, and dispensing equipment.

Wabtec Corporation, doing business as Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation, provides technology products and services for the rail industry on a worldwide basis. The Company manufactures a range of products for locomotives, freight cars, and passenger transit vehicles. Wabtec also builds new locomotives and provides aftermarket services.

Dover Corporation manufactures industrial products and manufacturing equipments. The Company's products includes printing, identification, marking and coding systems, waste handling, industrial equipments, refrigeration systems, display cases, industrial pumps, fuel dispensers, nozzles, piping, and electronic tank gauge equipments. Dover serves customers worldwide.

Snap-on Incorporated develops, manufactures, and distributes tool and equipment solutions worldwide.  The Company's products include hand and power tools, diagnostics and shop equipment, tool storage products, diagnostics software, and other solutions for the automotive service industry.  Customers include professional service technicians and motor service shop owners, among others.

CRRC Corporation Limited manufactures rolling stock products. The Company produces locomotives, passenger carriages, freight wagons, vehicles key components, and other products. CRRC also provides vehicle repairing, investment management, and other services.

FANUC CORPORATION manufactures factory automation (FA) systems and equipments, and robots. The Company's products include computerized numerically-controlled (CNC) equipment, servo motors, laser systems, industrial robots, wire-cut electric discharge machines, and CNC drill.  Fanuc participates in a joint venture with General Electric in the FA field.

China CSSC Holdings Ltd. offers shipbuilding, ship components, ship repairing and diesel engines manufacturing. The Company distributes its products within the domestic market and to overseas markets.

China Shipbuilding Industry Company Limited designs, manufactures, sells and leases ship parts.  The Company's products include engines and parts, auxiliay engines and transportation equipment.

KOMATSU LTD. manufactures and sells construction and mining machinery, including excavators, bulldozers, and wheel loaders.  The Company, operating on a global scale, also produces forklift trucks and engineering equipment such as press system.

Weichai Power Co., Ltd. specializes in the research and development, manufacturing and sales of diesel engines. The company's products are applicable to markets such as, heavy-duty vehicles, coaches, construction machines, vessels and power generator.

KUBOTA CORPORATION manufactures industrial machinery, farm machinery, and fluid piping systems.  The Company's products include ductile iron pipes, engines, tractors, combine harvesters, reaper binders, rice planters, and excavators.  Kubota also produces forged iron products, housing equipment, and environmental control plants.

Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. is a comprehensive heavy machinery maker. The Company manufactures machinery, ships, turbines and engines, prime movers, aircrafts, and machine parts for military and commercial use.  Mitsubishi Heavy Industries also researches and develops nuclear power plants.

Hengli Petrochemical Co.,Ltd. manufactures chemical fibers. The Company researches, produces, and sells polyester filament and chips for consumer and industry products. Hengli Petrochemical markets it products worldwide.

Hengli Petrochemical Co.,Ltd. A (600346 CH)

Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures and sells automate control products.  The Company's products include low frequency converter, servo drive, and programmable logic controller (PLC).

Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co., (300124 CH)

Deere & Company manufactures and distributes a range of agricultural, construction and forestry, and commercial and consumer equipment.  The Company supplies replacement parts for its own products and for those of other manufacturers. Deere also provides product and parts financing services. Deere and Company extends its services and products worldwide.

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Deere & Co (DE US)

Globalization May Be Going Extinct, Replaced by a New Global Populism

Brexit was the first visible symptom that of the rise of the more insular, economically viable, semi-protectionist nation state is stirring to...

Howard J Klein

DFRS Container Shipping Bonds Outlook - Recovery Priced In, See Downside Risk from Current Levels

DFRS Container Shipping Bonds Outlook - Recovery Priced In, See Downside Risk from Current Levels In the current interest rate environment, we...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Container Shipping - Spot Rates Now Filtering into Contract Rates, Indicating Big Positive Reversal

Container Shipping - Spot Rates Now Filtering into Contract Rates, Indicating a Big Positive ReversalIn our last...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Case-Shiller Property Indices Hugely Misleading...and Different from Stocks (LT Invst Windows Tight)

This topic has nagged me for some time. Two months ago when the Case-Shiller Home Price Index “made a new high” and after new highs again this...

Charles De Trenck

Trump and China; the Calm Before the Storm?

The new US administration is heading towards a stand-off with China over trade by eschewing the incremental approach of Obama’s administration in...

John-Paul Smith

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