Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for a global index commenced last week and will run through this week as well.</li>
<li>The announcement of the changes for the LQ45 Index should be announced in the coming week and will be implemented at the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>Huge inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> trackers during the week while there was a big outflow from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for a global index commenced last week and will run through this week as well.
The announcement of the changes for the LQ45 Index should be announced in the coming week and will be implemented at the close on 31 January.
Huge inflows to CSI 300 Index trackers during the week while there was a big outflow from Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, KS200, KQ150, HSIII, STTF, L&F, Costa Group, Japan, Bud APAC

<ul>
<li>With over 40% of the review period complete, there could be 15 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be two changes before that if <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-f-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14300:1" rel="noopener">L&amp;F Co Ltd (066970 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hlb-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16969:1" rel="noopener">HLB Inc (028300 KS)</a> complete their transfer from the KOSDAQ market to the KOSPI market.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a> since the start of the review period. The ban on short selling could lead to another leg up.</li>
</ul>


With over 40% of the review period complete, there could be 15 changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the June rebalance.
There could be two changes before that if L&amp;F Co Ltd (066970 KS) and HLB Inc (028300 KS) complete their transfer from the KOSDAQ market to the KOSPI market.
The adds have outperformed the deletes and the KOSDAQ 150 Index since the start of the review period. The ban on short selling could lead to another leg up.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Soaring; Short Sell Ban Not Helping

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Hyundai Construction Equipment / Event-Driven

<h2>New benchmarks for domestic equity</h2><p>The National Pension Service has disclosed the following reform plan about the direct and consignment management benchmarks for domestic stocks.</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/220/338/original/1.png?1627188167" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="220338"></figure></section><ul>
<li><strong>As for the direct management, the National Pension Plan plans to internally develop and use a new index called NPS-KR250 by adding additional 50 KOSPI stocks to the KOSPI 200 constituents.</strong></li>
<li><strong>Regarding the consignment management, the KOSPI + KOSDAQ 100 stocks are currently used as benchmarks. This benchmark is reorganized into KOSPI + KOSDAQ 150, with 50 KOSDAQ stocks added.</strong></li>
</ul><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 248.688px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Benchmark"}'>Benchmark</td>
<td style="width: 170.792px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Previous"}'>Previous</td>
<td style="width: 326.521px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"New"}'>New</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 248.688px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Internal (direct) management"}' data-sheets-formula="='KOSPI 200 Mirroring'!R[0]C[0]"><strong>Direct management</strong></td>
<td style="width: 170.792px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KOSPI 200"}'>KOSPI 200</td>
<td style="width: 326.521px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KOSPI 200 + KOSPI 50"}'><div><div><strong>NPS-KR250 = KOSPI 200 + additional 50 KOSPI stocks</strong></div></div></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 248.688px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Global Equity"}'><strong>Consignment management</strong></td>
<td style="width: 170.792px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KOSPI + KOSDAQ 100"}'>KOSPI + KOSDAQ 100</td>
<td style="width: 326.521px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KOSPI + KOSDAQ 150"}'><div><div><strong>KOSPI + KOSDAQ 100 + additional 50 KOSDAQ stocks</strong></div></div></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3" rowspan="1" style="width: 746px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: NPS"}'>Source: NPS</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><h2>NPS size in the local stock market</h2><p>As of the end of April 2021, the National Pension Service has ₩883.6T in assets under management, of which ₩178T is invested in domestic stocks. Considering that the market capitalization of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ markets is currently around ₩2,800T, the national pension account for 6% of the Korean stock market.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="150">
<col width="80">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" style="width: 364px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Asset allocation status"}'>Asset allocation status as of the end-April, 2021</td></tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 364px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Domestic Equity"}'><strong>Domestic Equity</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 382px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":178014.6}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B","3":1}'><strong>₩178.1T</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 364px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Global Equity"}'>Global Equity</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 382px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":222407.5}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B","3":1}'>₩222.4T</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 364px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Domestic fixed income"}'>Domestic fixed income</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 382px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":340524.2}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B","3":1}'>₩340.5T</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 364px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Global fixed income"}'>Global fixed income</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 382px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":48826.4}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B","3":1}'>₩48.8T</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 364px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Alternatives"}'>Alternatives</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 382px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":92768.2}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B","3":1}'>₩92.8T</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" style="width: 364px;">Source: NPS</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>The proportion of local equity is 20.17%, down slightly from the end of last year, but still far exceeding the target of 16.80% this year.</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/220/339/original/image_74411821721627188510268.png?1627188511" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="220339"></figure><h2>Direct vs. consignment for local equity</h2><p>As of the end of April this year, 52.03% of the funds invested in domestic stocks are direct management, then divided into active (19.43%) and passive (32.60%). The proportion of consignment management is 47.97%, and all of it is operated as active.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Direct vs. consignment for local equity"}'>Direct vs. consignment for local equity</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2019 yearend"}'>2019 yearend</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Weight"}'>Weight</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2020 yearend"}'>2020 yearend</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Weight"}'>Weight</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"April-end, 2021"}'><strong>April-end, 2021</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Weight"}'><strong>Weight</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Direct management"}'>Direct management</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":71.61210000000001}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩71.6T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">55.15%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":93.37660000000001}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩93.4T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">52.95%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":92.6208}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'><strong>₩92.6T</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>52.03%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Active"}'>- Active</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":26.9769}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩27.0T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.20397795151753445}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R8C2">20.40%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":35.0249}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩35.0T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.19824502419133916}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R8C4">19.82%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":34.58823678}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'><strong>₩34.6T</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.1943}'><strong>19.43%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Passive"}'>- Passive</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44.6352}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩44.6T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3374960303658113}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R8C2">33.75%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":58.351699999999994}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩58.4T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3302774362840654}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R8C4">33.03%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":58.032759600000006}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'><strong>₩58.0T</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.326}'><strong>32.60%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Consignment management"}'>Consignment management</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":60.6419}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩60.6T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">45.85%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":83.2982}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩83.3T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">47.15%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":85.3938}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'><strong>₩85.4T</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>47.97%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Active"}'>- Active</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":60.6419}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩60.6T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.45852601811665433}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R8C2">45.85%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":83.2982}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩83.3T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.4714775395245955}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R8C4">47.15%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":85.3938}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'><strong>₩85.4T</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.4797011031679424}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R8C6"><strong>47.97%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Passive"}'>- Passive</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩0.0T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R8C2">0.00%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩0.0T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R8C4">0.00%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'><strong>₩0.0T</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R8C6"><strong>0.00%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Total domestic Equity"}'>Total domestic equity</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":132.254}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩132.3T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=sum(R[-5]C[0]:R[-1]C[0])">100.00%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":176.67479999999998}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩176.7T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=sum(R[-5]C[0]:R[-1]C[0])">100.00%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":178.0146}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'><strong>₩178.0T</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.0000011031679423}' data-sheets-formula="=sum(R[-5]C[0]:R[-1]C[0])"><strong>100.00%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="7" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: NPS"}'>Source: NPS</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>The passively operated funds (32.60% of the total funds allocated to the domestic equity) are about ₩58T, and the benchmark is KOSPI 200. But not all amounts mechanically track the KOSPI 200. NPS employs various enhanced passive strategies, such as dividends, active quant, and factor model-based, in addition to conventional passive operations. To this end, NPS has developed and used various indices on its own since two years ago.</p>

New benchmarks for domestic equityThe National Pension Service has disclosed the following reform plan about the direct and consignment management benchmarks for domestic stocks.
As for the direct management, the National Pension Plan plans to internally develop and use a new index called NPS-KR250 by adding additional 50 KOSPI stocks to the KOSPI 200 constituents.
Regarding the consignment management, the KOSPI + KOSDAQ 100 stocks are currently used as benchmarks. This benchmark is reorganized into KOSPI + KOSDAQ 150, with 50 KOSDAQ stocks added.








Benchmark
Previous
New


Direct management
KOSPI 200
NPS-KR250 = KOSPI 200 + additional 50 KOSPI stocks


Consignment management
KOSPI + KOSDAQ 100
KOSPI + KOSDAQ 100 + additional 50 KOSDAQ stocks

Source: NPS

NPS size in the local stock marketAs of the end of April 2021, the National Pension Service has ₩883.6T in assets under management, of which ₩178T is invested in domestic stocks. Considering that the market capitalization of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ markets is currently around ₩2,800T, the national pension account for 6% of the Korean stock market.





Asset allocation status as of the end-April, 2021

Domestic Equity
₩178.1T


Global Equity
₩222.4T


Domestic fixed income
₩340.5T


Global fixed income
₩48.8T


Alternatives
₩92.8T

Source: NPS

The proportion of local equity is 20.17%, down slightly from the end of last year, but still far exceeding the target of 16.80% this year.Direct vs. consignment for local equityAs of the end of April this year, 52.03% of the funds invested in domestic stocks are direct management, then divided into active (19.43%) and passive (32.60%). The proportion of consignment management is 47.97%, and all of it is operated as active.











Direct vs. consignment for local equity
2019 yearend
Weight
2020 yearend
Weight
April-end, 2021
Weight


Direct management
₩71.6T
55.15%
₩93.4T
52.95%
₩92.6T
52.03%


- Active
₩27.0T
20.40%
₩35.0T
19.82%
₩34.6T
19.43%


- Passive
₩44.6T
33.75%
₩58.4T
33.03%
₩58.0T
32.60%


Consignment management
₩60.6T
45.85%
₩83.3T
47.15%
₩85.4T
47.97%


- Active
₩60.6T
45.85%
₩83.3T
47.15%
₩85.4T
47.97%


- Passive
₩0.0T
0.00%
₩0.0T
0.00%
₩0.0T
0.00%


Total domestic equity
₩132.3T
100.00%
₩176.7T
100.00%
₩178.0T
100.00%

Source: NPS

The passively operated funds (32.60% of the total funds allocated to the domestic equity) are about ₩58T, and the benchmark is KOSPI 200. But not all amounts mechanically track the KOSPI 200. NPS employs various enhanced passive strategies, such as dividends, active quant, and factor model-based, in addition to conventional passive operations. To this end, NPS has developed and used various indices on its own since two years ago.

NPS New Benchmarks for Local Stocks: NPS-KR250 (Direct) & KOSPI+KOSDAQ 150 (Consignment)

South Korea

Dawonsys Co., LTD. operates special power generating business such as Nuclear Fusion, Inductiral Electric and Plasma Power business. The Company also operates Inductive Heating and ESD Polyimide Film Business.

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Dawonsys Co Ltd (068240 KS)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, KS200, KQ150, HSIII, STTF, L&F, Costa Group, Japan, Bud APAC

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Soaring; Short Sell Ban Not Helping

There could be 15 changes for the KOSDAQ150 Index in June. The potential adds have outperformed the deletes and the index since the start of the...

Brian Freitas

NPS New Benchmarks for Local Stocks: NPS-KR250 (Direct) & KOSPI+KOSDAQ 150 (Consignment)

The NPS has disclosed the reform plan about the direct and consignment management benchmarks for domestic stocks. This post details the new...

Sanghyun Park

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