External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Cummins: Cummins India Ltd (CIL) reported in-line/below performance vs consensus/our estimates with revenue/EBITDA/APAT missing our estimates by 7/13/12%</li><li>Domestic business grew 12% YoY whilst exports declined 22% on the back of weak overseas demand.</li><li>CPCB 4+ implementation seems to be a game changer as it forces demand to move from commodity players to technology players and opens up service opportunities</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cummins: Cummins India Ltd (CIL) reported in-line/below performance vs consensus/our estimates with revenue/EBITDA/APAT missing our estimates by 7/13/12%Domestic business grew 12% YoY whilst exports declined 22% on the back of weak overseas demand.CPCB 4+ implementation seems to be a game changer as it forces demand to move from commodity players to technology players and opens up service opportunitiesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Cummins, Lupin, Shree Cement, Gujarat Gas, Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail

<ul><li>Budget a big signalling event, though we expect investment continuity: In the interim FY25 union budget, allocation towards capex saw an increase of 7% YoY, with Roads, Railways, Defence and Water as key beneficiaries</li><li>As the final FY25 union budget gets tabled in Jul-24, we expect continued investment in these segments</li><li>Whilst questions have emerged on cut in capex with the expectation of some allocation moving towards social infra, we believe that allocation may remain similar or marginally increase to high single-digit YoY growth</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Budget a big signalling event, though we expect investment continuity: In the interim FY25 union budget, allocation towards capex saw an increase of 7% YoY, with Roads, Railways, Defence and Water as key beneficiariesAs the final FY25 union budget gets tabled in Jul-24, we expect continued investment in these segmentsWhilst questions have emerged on cut in capex with the expectation of some allocation moving towards social infra, we believe that allocation may remain similar or marginally increase to high single-digit YoY growthContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Industrials (Q1FY25 Results Preview): All eyes on the budget

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs during the September 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Since my last insight, we have observed a couple of important changes to candidate rankings and that has resulted in some changes to our index change expectations.</li>
</ul>


NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs during the September 2024 index rebal event.
Since my last insight, we have observed a couple of important changes to candidate rankings and that has resulted in some changes to our index change expectations.


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Multiple Changes Possible for NIFTY 50; Some New Trade Ideas

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Overall, the surge in CAPEX in India reflects a positive outlook for the economy, with investments in infrastructure and emerging sectors driving growth and innovation.  come.</li>
<li>The strong balance sheet of companies and healthy tax collections further support this trend, indicating a sustainable path towards economic development. </li>
<li>As CAPEX continues to rise and investments in key sectors increase, India is poised for continued growth and prosperity in the years to</li>
</ul>


Overall, the surge in CAPEX in India reflects a positive outlook for the economy, with investments in infrastructure and emerging sectors driving growth and innovation.  come.
The strong balance sheet of companies and healthy tax collections further support this trend, indicating a sustainable path towards economic development. 
As CAPEX continues to rise and investments in key sectors increase, India is poised for continued growth and prosperity in the years to


Thematic Report: Capex Fueling Economic Growth and Development

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn (US$384m). There are 13 stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade, mostly on the deletes.</li>
<li>After steady outperformance over the last few months, there was a selloff in momentum names following the announcement of the election results. There has been a recovery since then.</li>
</ul>


There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.
Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn (US$384m). There are 13 stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade, mostly on the deletes.
After steady outperformance over the last few months, there was a selloff in momentum names following the announcement of the election results. There has been a recovery since then.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes, 42% Turnover, Momentum Recovers After Selloff

India

Cummins India Limited manufactures internal combustion engines, including diesel, reciprocating piston, gas turbine and gasoline engines. The Company also manufactures generating sets and public transport-type passenger motor vehicles, including luxury coaches and air-field buses.  In addition, Cummins India Ltd. operates a computerized and fully-equipped research and development facility.

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Cummins India (KKC IN)

HSIE Results Daily: Cummins, Lupin, Shree Cement, Gujarat Gas, Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail

Cummins India Ltd (CIL) reported in-line/below performance vs consensus/our estimates with revenue/EBITDA/APAT missing our estimates by 7/13/12%

HDFC Securities

Industrials (Q1FY25 Results Preview): All eyes on the budget

In the interim FY25 union budget, allocation towards capex saw an increase of 7% YoY, with Roads, Railways, Defence and Water as key beneficiaries

HDFC Securities

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Multiple Changes Possible for NIFTY 50; Some New Trade Ideas

There are at least four names eligible for NIFTY 50 addition in September 2024. However, the final count ADDs and DELs will be a discretionary...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Thematic Report: Capex Fueling Economic Growth and Development

India's increasing CAPEX signals a positive economic outlook, supported by strong balance sheets and healthy tax collections. Continued growth and...

Sudarshan Bhandari

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes, 42% Turnover, Momentum Recovers After Selloff

There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index. Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn. The adds...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSIE Results Daily: Cummins, Lupin, Shree Cement, Gujarat Gas, Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail

Cummins India Ltd (CIL) reported in-line/below performance vs consensus/our estimates with revenue/EBITDA/APAT missing our estimates by 7/13/12%

HDFC Securities

Industrials (Q1FY25 Results Preview): All eyes on the budget

In the interim FY25 union budget, allocation towards capex saw an increase of 7% YoY, with Roads, Railways, Defence and Water as key beneficiaries

HDFC Securities

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Multiple Changes Possible for NIFTY 50; Some New Trade Ideas

There are at least four names eligible for NIFTY 50 addition in September 2024. However, the final count ADDs and DELs will be a discretionary...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Thematic Report: Capex Fueling Economic Growth and Development

​India's increasing CAPEX signals a positive economic outlook, supported by strong balance sheets and healthy tax collections. Continued growth and...

Sudarshan Bhandari

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes, 42% Turnover, Momentum Recovers After Selloff

There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index. Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn. The adds...

Brian Freitas

India's increasing CAPEX signals a positive economic outlook, supported by strong balance sheets and healthy tax collections. Continued growth and...