HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Event-Driven

China Resources Pharmaceutical / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The 10th national VBP officially begins. Enterprises involved in this VBP include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-fosun-pharmaceutical-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8045:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (2196 HK)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-pharmaceuticals-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:228:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Pharmaceuticals (2607 HK), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-kelun-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3625:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical (002422 CH), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cspc-pharmaceutical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:229:1" rel="noopener">CSPC (1093 HK)</a>, etc..</li>
<li>We analyzed Chinese Biotech companies’ P/S range based on different product revenue growth. Due to low profitability, there is “a valuation discount” if they are included in global valuation system.</li>
<li>KPC has agreed to acquire 51% interest in CR Shenghuo from CR Sanjiu. Due to good performance, we are full of expectations for the future acquisition/integration within China Resources.</li>
</ul>


The 10th national VBP officially begins. Enterprises involved in this VBP include Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (2196 HK)Shanghai Pharmaceuticals (2607 HK), Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical (002422 CH), CSPC (1093 HK), etc..
We analyzed Chinese Biotech companies’ P/S range based on different product revenue growth. Due to low profitability, there is “a valuation discount” if they are included in global valuation system.
KPC has agreed to acquire 51% interest in CR Shenghuo from CR Sanjiu. Due to good performance, we are full of expectations for the future acquisition/integration within China Resources.


China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.24) - 10th VBP, Biotech Valuation Logic, China Resources Reorganization

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Alteogen has signed an exclusive license agreement with Daiichi Sankyo to develop and commercialize a subcutaneous version of Enhertu. Volpara won $7.3M contract from the U.S. Defense Health Agency.</li>
<li>Santen Pharmaceutical has rolled out Rhopressa ophthalmic solution in South Korea for the treatment of open-angle glaucoma or ocular hypertension.</li>
<li>Sun Pharmaceutical’s launch of alopecia drug Leqselvi in the U.S. will be delayed due to litigation with Incyte. Recently, a U.S. District Court decided to grant a preliminary injunction.</li>
</ul>


Alteogen has signed an exclusive license agreement with Daiichi Sankyo to develop and commercialize a subcutaneous version of Enhertu. Volpara won $7.3M contract from the U.S. Defense Health Agency.
Santen Pharmaceutical has rolled out Rhopressa ophthalmic solution in South Korea for the treatment of open-angle glaucoma or ocular hypertension.
Sun Pharmaceutical’s launch of alopecia drug Leqselvi in the U.S. will be delayed due to litigation with Incyte. Recently, a U.S. District Court decided to grant a preliminary injunction.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Nov 10)- Alteogen, Santen Pharmaceutical, Beigene, Sun Pharmaceutical

<ul>
<li>Sino Biopharm plans to acquire Hob Biotech through "equity transfer + voluntary partial offer". The purchase price of RMB33.74/share is expensive considering the small market size and weak fundamentals.</li>
<li>Hob may not bring much financial value/asset appreciation to Sino Biopharm. Synergies between the two is limited.The main purpose for Sino Biopharm to acquire Hob is to achieve A-share listing.</li>
<li>Future valuation performance of Hob depends on what type of assets it will receive from Sino Biopharm as well as afterwards operation, which if smooth, will significantly boost Hob’s valuation.</li>
</ul>


Sino Biopharm plans to acquire Hob Biotech through "equity transfer + voluntary partial offer". The purchase price of RMB33.74/share is expensive considering the small market size and weak fundamentals.
Hob may not bring much financial value/asset appreciation to Sino Biopharm. Synergies between the two is limited.The main purpose for Sino Biopharm to acquire Hob is to achieve A-share listing.
Future valuation performance of Hob depends on what type of assets it will receive from Sino Biopharm as well as afterwards operation, which if smooth, will significantly boost Hob’s valuation.


Sino Biopharm (1177.HK) To Acquire Hob Biotech (688656.CH)- Time to Buy Hob and Sell Sino Biopharm?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 25th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Li Auto, Xiaomi, Xinyi Solar, Geely Auto, Trip.Com.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 25th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Li Auto, Xiaomi, Xinyi Solar, Geely Auto, Trip.Com.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Li Auto, Xiaomi, Xinyi Solar, Geely Auto, Trip.Com

Equity Bottom-Up

Innovent Biologics Inc / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The third batch of TCM VBP expansion and successive price reduction will continue to be implemented. The price dominance of exclusive TCM patent medicines may collapse based on this VBP.</li>
<li>Since 2019, the ADC drug market has entered a period of rapid growth, the significance of which is that the good story of ADC CXO is able to continue.</li>
<li>Innovent divested important subsidiary at low price, which apparently "irritated" investors. Valuation of Innovent will move towards traditional enterprise such as CSPC. Time to offload Innovent as investment logic changes.</li>
</ul>


The third batch of TCM VBP expansion and successive price reduction will continue to be implemented. The price dominance of exclusive TCM patent medicines may collapse based on this VBP.
Since 2019, the ADC drug market has entered a period of rapid growth, the significance of which is that the good story of ADC CXO is able to continue.
Innovent divested important subsidiary at low price, which apparently "irritated" investors. Valuation of Innovent will move towards traditional enterprise such as CSPC. Time to offload Innovent as investment logic changes.


China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.3) - TCM VBP Update, ADC CXO's Logic Is Solid, "Ugly Move" Of Innovent

China

CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pharmaceutical products.  The Company's products include vitamin C, antibiotics and common generic drugs. The Company is also engages in the development of innovative drugs and antibiotics.

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CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.24) - 10th VBP, Biotech Valuation Logic, China Resources Reorganization

The 10th national VBP kicks off. Chinese Biotech face valuation discount when included in global valuation system. China Resources is undergoing...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Nov 10)- Alteogen, Santen Pharmaceutical, Beigene, Sun Pharmaceutical

Alteogen partners with Daiichi Sankyo for Enhertu, Volpara secures $7.3M contract, Santen launches Rhopressa in South Korea, Sun Pharma's Leqselvi...

Tina Banerjee

Sino Biopharm (1177.HK) To Acquire Hob Biotech (688656.CH)- Time to Buy Hob and Sell Sino Biopharm?

The price Sino Biopharm pays to acquire Hob is expensive.The main purpose is not asset appreciation but achieve A-share listing. Hob's future...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HK Short Interest Weekly: Li Auto, Xiaomi, Xinyi Solar, Geely Auto, Trip.Com

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 25th and highlight short interest changes in Li Auto, Xiaomi, Xinyi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.3) - TCM VBP Update, ADC CXO's Logic Is Solid, "Ugly Move" Of Innovent

The 3rd batch of TCM VBP will hit the performance of exclusive TCM varieties.Due to the "ugly move" of Innovent's management, we advise investors...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.24) - 10th VBP, Biotech Valuation Logic, China Resources Reorganization

The 10th national VBP kicks off. Chinese Biotech face valuation discount when included in global valuation system. China Resources is undergoing...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Nov 10)- Alteogen, Santen Pharmaceutical, Beigene, Sun Pharmaceutical

​Alteogen partners with Daiichi Sankyo for Enhertu, Volpara secures $7.3M contract, Santen launches Rhopressa in South Korea, Sun Pharma's Leqselvi...

Tina Banerjee

Sino Biopharm (1177.HK) To Acquire Hob Biotech (688656.CH)- Time to Buy Hob and Sell Sino Biopharm?

The price Sino Biopharm pays to acquire Hob is expensive.The main purpose is not asset appreciation but achieve A-share listing. Hob's future...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HK Short Interest Weekly: Li Auto, Xiaomi, Xinyi Solar, Geely Auto, Trip.Com

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 25th and highlight short interest changes in Li Auto, Xiaomi, Xinyi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.3) - TCM VBP Update, ADC CXO's Logic Is Solid, "Ugly Move" Of Innovent

The 3rd batch of TCM VBP will hit the performance of exclusive TCM varieties.Due to the "ugly move" of Innovent's management, we advise investors...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Alteogen partners with Daiichi Sankyo for Enhertu, Volpara secures $7.3M contract, Santen launches Rhopressa in South Korea, Sun Pharma's Leqselvi...