Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 23rd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Mineral Resource, Macquarie, Aurizon, Endeavour, Flight Centre Tr, Rio Tinto.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 23rd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Mineral Resource, Macquarie, Aurizon, Endeavour, Flight Centre Tr, Rio Tinto.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 23rd): Mineral Resource, Macquarie, Aurizon, Endeavour

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:917:1" rel="noopener">CSL Ltd (CSL AU)</a> has reduced its profit projection for FY23 due to higher-than-anticipated adverse impact from Fx. The company now expects a Fx headwind of $230–250M from $175M earlier.</li>
<li>After considering modest recovery of CSL Behring gross margin and generic competition for Ferinject in Europe, CSL expects FY24 NPATA to grow 13–18% to $2.9–3.0B at constant currency.</li>
<li>All eyes are now on the U.S. launch of the one-time gene therapy Hemgenix for Hemophilia B. CSL expects the first patient to take Hemgenix within the next few weeks.</li>
</ul>



CSL Ltd (CSL AU) has reduced its profit projection for FY23 due to higher-than-anticipated adverse impact from Fx. The company now expects a Fx headwind of $230–250M from $175M earlier.
After considering modest recovery of CSL Behring gross margin and generic competition for Ferinject in Europe, CSL expects FY24 NPATA to grow 13–18% to $2.9–3.0B at constant currency.
All eyes are now on the U.S. launch of the one-time gene therapy Hemgenix for Hemophilia B. CSL expects the first patient to take Hemgenix within the next few weeks.


CSL Ltd (CSL AU): FY23 Guidance Cut Drags Near-Term Prospect; Long-Term Growth Drivers Still Intact

CRISPR Therapeutics AG / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crispr-therapeutics-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23652:1" rel="noopener">CRISPR Therapeutics AG (CRSP US)</a> completed regulatory submissions for exa-cel in the U.S., EU, and UK, positioning exa-cel to potentially become the first approved CRISPR-based therapy in the world.</li>
<li>According to Evaluate Pharma, if approved, exa-cel’s revenue is expected to be $1B+ in 2028, with expected market share of 20% in sickle cell and 36% in beta thalassemia.</li>
<li>As of March 31, 2023, CRISPR has cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities of $1,889.5M, which is sufficient to fund its operating expenses for ~3 years.</li>
</ul>



CRISPR Therapeutics AG (CRSP US) completed regulatory submissions for exa-cel in the U.S., EU, and UK, positioning exa-cel to potentially become the first approved CRISPR-based therapy in the world.
According to Evaluate Pharma, if approved, exa-cel’s revenue is expected to be $1B+ in 2028, with expected market share of 20% in sickle cell and 36% in beta thalassemia.
As of March 31, 2023, CRISPR has cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities of $1,889.5M, which is sufficient to fund its operating expenses for ~3 years.


CRISPR Therapeutics AG (CRSP US): First Genome Editing Based Drug Candidate Seeking FDA Approval

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:917:1" rel="noopener">CSL Ltd (CSL AU)</a> is well-positioned to report double-digit revenue and profit growth through FY25, driven by strong performance of existing business and new growth engines.</li>
<li>CSL will launch FDA-approved gene therapy Hemgenix for Hemophilia B in the US in 2H23. With estimated global annual peak sales of $2.4B, Hemgenix is a compelling opportunity for CSL.</li>
<li>During H1FY23, CSL reported record level of plasma collections, with 36% growth in                volume. Current plasma collection is 10% above the pre-pandemic. Higher volume and yield will improve profitability.</li>
</ul>



CSL Ltd (CSL AU) is well-positioned to report double-digit revenue and profit growth through FY25, driven by strong performance of existing business and new growth engines.
CSL will launch FDA-approved gene therapy Hemgenix for Hemophilia B in the US in 2H23. With estimated global annual peak sales of $2.4B, Hemgenix is a compelling opportunity for CSL.
During H1FY23, CSL reported record level of plasma collections, with 36% growth in                volume. Current plasma collection is 10% above the pre-pandemic. Higher volume and yield will improve profitability.


CSL Ltd (CSL AU): Looking into New Engines for Sustainable and Profitable Growth

Neuren Pharmaceuticals / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/neuren-pharmaceuticals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4494:1" rel="noopener">Neuren Pharmaceuticals (NEU AU)</a>'s lead product Daybue (trofinetide) has obtained FDA approval for the treatment of Rett syndrome in adult and pediatric patients two years of age and older.  </li>
<li>Daybue is expected to be available in the US in April, 2023. Neuren is eligible to receive royalties on net sales of trofinetide in North America, plus milestone payments.  </li>
<li>Geography expansion of trofinetide (mainly European approval and launch), label expansion possibility of trofinetide, and Neuren’s pipeline progress can act as potential upside catalysts for the stock.</li>
</ul>



Neuren Pharmaceuticals (NEU AU)'s lead product Daybue (trofinetide) has obtained FDA approval for the treatment of Rett syndrome in adult and pediatric patients two years of age and older.  
Daybue is expected to be available in the US in April, 2023. Neuren is eligible to receive royalties on net sales of trofinetide in North America, plus milestone payments.  
Geography expansion of trofinetide (mainly European approval and launch), label expansion possibility of trofinetide, and Neuren’s pipeline progress can act as potential upside catalysts for the stock.


Neuren Pharmaceuticals (NEU AU): It’s Not Too Late to Join the Bandwagon; More Stream Is Still Left

United States

CSL Limited develops, manufactures, and markets human pharmaceutical and diagnostic products derived from human plasma. The Company provides products include pediatric and adult vaccines, infection, pain medicine, skin disorder remedies, antivenoms, anticoagulants, and immunoglobulins.

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CSL (CSL AT)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 23rd): Mineral Resource, Macquarie, Aurizon, Endeavour

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Mineral Resource, Macquarie, Aurizon, Endeavour,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSL Ltd (CSL AU): FY23 Guidance Cut Drags Near-Term Prospect; Long-Term Growth Drivers Still Intact

CSL reduced FY23 profit projection due to higher-than-anticipated Fx headwind of $230–250M from $175M. Strong demand for existing products and new...

Tina Banerjee

CRISPR Therapeutics AG (CRSP US): First Genome Editing Based Drug Candidate Seeking FDA Approval

CRISPR completed regulatory submissions for exa-cel (world’s first CRISPR gene editing drug) in US and awaits FDA action date. Exa-cel has the...

Tina Banerjee

CSL Ltd (CSL AU): Looking into New Engines for Sustainable and Profitable Growth

New management, upcoming product launch in US, diversification into kidney disease, plasma collection recovery, and rich pipeline indicate an...

Tina Banerjee

Neuren Pharmaceuticals (NEU AU): It’s Not Too Late to Join the Bandwagon; More Stream Is Still Left

Neuren’s North American partner gained FDA approval for its first drug, triggering milestone and royalty payment. Reasonable valuation and upcoming...

Tina Banerjee

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