Independent Research, US Dominant Players, Investment Talk

Investment Talk

Independent Research, US Dominant Players

Investment Talk is for readers who wish to learn about companies that are potentially outside of their own circle of research, as well as those who are longing to become part of a community of like-minded investors and learn more about investment research. I would describe myself as a long-term investor who typically takes a 3Y to 5Y outlook, before reassessing once that period matures. I follow the adage that one should research, reach a conclusion, and then verify and continue to hold so long as the thesis remains intact. My own investing style is one that seeks to find dominant players within their respective market who have shown signs of monopoly or oligopolistic behaviour, unlikely to be disrupted, in tandem with discovering market disruptors who have a high likelihood of disrupting their respective market. Equally (and weighted accordingly) I seek to discover more nuanced, misunderstood, situations with a shorter time frame.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>At the September meeting, the FOMC raised their fed funds rate target by 75bps, or 3% in the last 7 months.</li><li>Powell has been quite clear that his intention is to put the long-term health of the economy top of his mind in his effort to quash inflation before it gets out of hand; remarking that “I wish there were a painless way to do that. There isn't. We have to get supply and demand back into alignment. The way we do that is by slowing the economy.”</li><li>The last meeting demonstrated a hawkish shift in economic projections.</li></ul>

At the September meeting, the FOMC raised their fed funds rate target by 75bps, or 3% in the last 7 months.Powell has been quite clear that his intention is to put the long-term health of the economy top of his mind in his effort to quash inflation before it gets out of hand; remarking that “I wish there were a painless way to do that. There isn't. We have to get supply and demand back into alignment. The way we do that is by slowing the economy.”The last meeting demonstrated a hawkish shift in economic projections.

Senior Equity Derivatives Trader

Simon Harris

Equity Derivatives

Credit Suisse Group  / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Company making headlines over possible liquidity issues along with Deutsche Bank</li>
<li>CDS has blown out to GFC levels, driving implied vols higher</li>
<li>Sell volatility on a relative basis to monetise the spike in option premium</li>
</ul>


Company making headlines over possible liquidity issues along with Deutsche Bank
CDS has blown out to GFC levels, driving implied vols higher
Sell volatility on a relative basis to monetise the spike in option premium


EQD | Credit Suisse (CSGN SW): Fears of Bank Failure Are Unjustified. Sell the Spike in Volatility

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Four things to know about China’s plan to go ‘all-out’ on infrastructure</li><li>Did Henan authorities abuse virus controls to stymie swindled bank depositors?</li><li>Chart of the Day: China’s record high youth unemployment rate</li></ul>

Four things to know about China’s plan to go ‘all-out’ on infrastructureDid Henan authorities abuse virus controls to stymie swindled bank depositors?Chart of the Day: China’s record high youth unemployment rate

CX Daily: Four Things to Know About China’s Plan to Go ‘All-Out’ on Infrastructure

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ayasdi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35954:1" rel="noopener">Ayasdi (0343503Z US)</a> is somewhat unique in it using a mathematical framework – topology, to analyse data sets and detect financial crime and fraud.</li>
<li>The company follows a quote-pricing model, but pricing is generally considered less expensive than the industry average.  </li>
<li>The growth of financial crime and the bioinformatics industry alongside improved recognition for the company can be expected to drive future revenues.</li>
</ul>



Ayasdi (0343503Z US) is somewhat unique in it using a mathematical framework – topology, to analyse data sets and detect financial crime and fraud.
The company follows a quote-pricing model, but pricing is generally considered less expensive than the industry average.  
The growth of financial crime and the bioinformatics industry alongside improved recognition for the company can be expected to drive future revenues.


AyasdiAI: Exposing Financial Crime Using Topology

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Horta-Osorio Is Out:Credit Suisse Group (CSGN.VX) (“Credit Suisse”) Chairman Antonio Horta-Osório abruptly resigned on January 16, 2022, following breaches of quarantine rules in both Switzerland and the United Kingdom;</li>
<li>
Lehmann Not Lehman:With CEO Gottstein’s alleged resistance to strategic change, we remain cautious that the current strategic direction of Credit Suisse will not be maintained;  and   </li>
<li>
Blunders Could Force Sale:There have been numerous costly high profile blunders at Credit Suisse in 2021. A reversion to the “Bad Old Days” could force a sale.   </li>
</ul>



Horta-Osorio Is Out:Credit Suisse Group (CSGN.VX) (“Credit Suisse”) Chairman Antonio Horta-Osório abruptly resigned on January 16, 2022, following breaches of quarantine rules in both Switzerland and the United Kingdom;

Lehmann Not Lehman:With CEO Gottstein’s alleged resistance to strategic change, we remain cautious that the current strategic direction of Credit Suisse will not be maintained;  and   

Blunders Could Force Sale:There have been numerous costly high profile blunders at Credit Suisse in 2021. A reversion to the “Bad Old Days” could force a sale.   


Switzerland

Credit Suisse Group AG operates as a wealth management firm. The Company specializes in investment banking and offers wealth management activities aiming to capitalize on both the large pool of wealth within mature markets, as well as the significant growth in wealth in Asia Pacific and other emerging markets. Credit Suisse Group serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Credit Suisse Group (CSGN SW)

US Economy - Key Macro Events This Week

This week's key events for the US economy include FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday, updated CPI data for September on Thursday, and the Retail...

Investment Talk

EQD | Credit Suisse (CSGN SW): Fears of Bank Failure Are Unjustified. Sell the Spike in Volatility

A look at Credit Suisse to assess the rumours of bank failure. We see an opportunity to sell the spike in implied vols against DBK which has also...

Simon Harris

CX Daily: Four Things to Know About China’s Plan to Go ‘All-Out’ on Infrastructure

Four things to know about China’s plan to go ‘all-out’ on infrastructure. Did Henan authorities abuse virus controls to stymie swindled bank...

Caixin Global

AyasdiAI: Exposing Financial Crime Using Topology

Ayasdi is unique where it uses a mathematical framework – topology, to analyse data sets and detect financial crime and fraud. Most products are...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Credit Suisse Group – Lehmann Moment

CREDIT SUISSE: Credit Suisse Chairman Horta-Osório resigned following breaches of quarantine. With the CEO’s resistance to strategic change, we are...

Thomas J. Monaco

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)