Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy, Urbem (HK) Limited

Steven Chen

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul data-v-2d66ea9f="">
<li data-v-2d66ea9f="">When it comes to equity investing, the best offense is usually a solid defense;</li>
<li data-v-2d66ea9f="">This is why we prefer to “partner” with managements demonstrating a prudent gene;</li>
<li data-v-2d66ea9f="">Here, we reference three of our holdings to demonstrate the signs of prudent management.</li>
</ul>


When it comes to equity investing, the best offense is usually a solid defense;
This is why we prefer to “partner” with managements demonstrating a prudent gene;
Here, we reference three of our holdings to demonstrate the signs of prudent management.


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul data-v-2d66ea9f="">
<li data-v-2d66ea9f="">We like to regard managers of our (partially) owned companies as trusted partners, and therefore, look for owner-oriented stewards that treat shareholders fairly;</li>
<li data-v-2d66ea9f="">We present some easy-to-grasp gimmicks that can be leveraged to gauge this factor.</li>
</ul>


We like to regard managers of our (partially) owned companies as trusted partners, and therefore, look for owner-oriented stewards that treat shareholders fairly;
We present some easy-to-grasp gimmicks that can be leveraged to gauge this factor.


Some Easy-To-Grasp Gimmicks to Gauge Management Compensation

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Financial Select Sector SPDR F / Technical Analysis

<p>We continue to see a steady flow of risk-on signals that have us moving toward an outright bullish outlook for the broad US equity market. Below we discuss several bullish developments that leads us to believe we are close to exiting the "mixed market environment" that we have referenced since late March.</p><p>Charts highlighted: XLF, KBE, Copper, US Dollar, IWD, XLY, Bitcoin, S&amp;P 500, APO, LPLA, ARCC, JHG, KKR, ALLY, CACC, OMF, CIT, WD, GATX, LC, CODI, WRLD, ATLC, BCPC, TROX, ASPN, ASIX, LXU, HWKN, MOS, CF, ICL, SQM, UAN, IPI</p>

We continue to see a steady flow of risk-on signals that have us moving toward an outright bullish outlook for the broad US equity market. Below we discuss several bullish developments that leads us to believe we are close to exiting the "mixed market environment" that we have referenced since late March.Charts highlighted: XLF, KBE, Copper, US Dollar, IWD, XLY, Bitcoin, S&amp;P 500, APO, LPLA, ARCC, JHG, KKR, ALLY, CACC, OMF, CIT, WD, GATX, LC, CODI, WRLD, ATLC, BCPC, TROX, ASPN, ASIX, LXU, HWKN, MOS, CF, ICL, SQM, UAN, IPI

Upgrading Financials To Overweight; Downgrading Communications To Market Weight

<ul>
<li>The share of BOTB has been hammered this year;</li>
<li>But was Mr. Market right to panic?</li>
<li>Through a deep dive into the company's business economics and valuation, I see a favorable risk-reward ratio for BOTB's long-term shareholders at this level.</li>
</ul>


The share of BOTB has been hammered this year;
But was Mr. Market right to panic?
Through a deep dive into the company's business economics and valuation, I see a favorable risk-reward ratio for BOTB's long-term shareholders at this level.


Best of the Best PLC: There Appears to Be Some Money Left on the Table

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

<ul>
<li>Shares of Assured Guaranty (AGO.US) should continue to outperform in 2020.</li>
<li>AGO should realize benefits of a full year of favorable rating agency investment portfolio capital charges, and the repurchase USD 500 mn shares stock at accretive levels.</li>
<li>Value creation strategy at BlueMountain is earnings accretive and additive to capital return.</li>
</ul>


Shares of Assured Guaranty (AGO.US) should continue to outperform in 2020.
AGO should realize benefits of a full year of favorable rating agency investment portfolio capital charges, and the repurchase USD 500 mn shares stock at accretive levels.
Value creation strategy at BlueMountain is earnings accretive and additive to capital return.


Assured Guaranty – It Keeps Getting Better

United States

Credit Acceptance Corporation provides funding, receivables management, collection, sales training, and related services to automobile dealers.  The Company provides indirect financing for buyers with limited access to traditional sources of consumer credit.  Credit Acceptance operates in the United States.

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Credit Acceptance (CACC US)

Signs of Prudent Management

We reference three holdings from regions across the world to demonstrate the signs that we like when gauging management prudence.

Steven Chen

Some Easy-To-Grasp Gimmicks to Gauge Management Compensation

Additionally, here are two US-listed mid-cap companies we have been following to illustrate both sides of the management pay matter.

Steven Chen

Upgrading Financials To Overweight; Downgrading Communications To Market Weight

We are upgrading Financials to overweight; Financial Sector ETFs (XLF, RYF), banks (KBE, KRE), and insurance stocks (KIE) are all breaking out to...

Vermilion Research

Best of the Best PLC: There Appears to Be Some Money Left on the Table

Asset-light, scalable, cash-rich operations, prudent capital allocation, and a depressed share price can mean a favorable risk-reward ratio for...

Steven Chen

Assured Guaranty – It Keeps Getting Better

Shares of Assured Guaranty (AGO.US) should continue to outperform in 2020. AGO should realize benefits of a full year of favorable rating agency...

Thomas J. Monaco

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