China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>3690.HK/BABA/JD/DADA/DDL/9699.HK: Douyin adds a more prominent entrance for its 1-hr delivery supermarket feature (-/-/-/-/+)</li>
<li>Kanzhun Limited: No signal for rebound in job market in China yet</li>
<li>700 HK： QQ Browser today announced the launch of the "PDF Reading Assistant" , which uses Tencent's own LLM Hunyuan to assist users.（/）</li>
</ul>


3690.HK/BABA/JD/DADA/DDL/9699.HK: Douyin adds a more prominent entrance for its 1-hr delivery supermarket feature (-/-/-/-/+)
Kanzhun Limited: No signal for rebound in job market in China yet
700 HK： QQ Browser today announced the launch of the "PDF Reading Assistant" , which uses Tencent's own LLM Hunyuan to assist users.（/）


China TMT Update-Oct.14-3690.HK/BABA/JD/DADA/DDL/9699.HK/Kanzhun/700.HK/CPNG:Douyin 1-Hr Delivery

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 27 September, Maeil Business Daily reported that SK Square signed an MOU with Qoo10 to pursue a joint management of 11st. </li>
<li>It appears that Alibaba may have been reviewing this deal but it is no longer interested in pursuing 11st.</li>
<li>A deal between Qoo10 and 11st could occur, but this is not certain, which means some of the cash proceeds to FI would need to be burdened by SK Square.</li>
</ul>


On 27 September, Maeil Business Daily reported that SK Square signed an MOU with Qoo10 to pursue a joint management of 11st. 
It appears that Alibaba may have been reviewing this deal but it is no longer interested in pursuing 11st.
A deal between Qoo10 and 11st could occur, but this is not certain, which means some of the cash proceeds to FI would need to be burdened by SK Square.


SK Square: M&A of 11st - Alibaba Out and Qoo10 In?

<ul>
<li>Maeil Business Daily reported that Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) is considering on acquiring a controlling stake in 11st, which is a leading e-commerce platform owned by SK Square</li>
<li>In 2018, 11st was valued at 2.7 trillion won by financial investors. However, the current valuation of 11st is estimated to have declined to about 1 trillion won (US$760 million).</li>
<li>We estimate that the probability of Alibaba acquiring 11st is about 60-70%. </li>
</ul>


Maeil Business Daily reported that Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) is considering on acquiring a controlling stake in 11st, which is a leading e-commerce platform owned by SK Square
In 2018, 11st was valued at 2.7 trillion won by financial investors. However, the current valuation of 11st is estimated to have declined to about 1 trillion won (US$760 million).
We estimate that the probability of Alibaba acquiring 11st is about 60-70%. 


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings (ARM US)</a> has priced its IPO at US$51.00 per ADS, at the top end of the price range. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> will raise gross proceeds of US$4.9bn.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/arm-holdings-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111238" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/arm-holdings-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111471" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/arm-holdings-ipo-unattractive-price-range" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:112285" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings IPO: Unattractive Price Range</a>. </li>
<li>The ARM IPO is structurally set up for a first-day pop. Beyond the first-day euphoria, ARM will face the daunting task of delivering bullish estimates to justify the IPO price.</li>
</ul>



ARM Holdings (ARM US) has priced its IPO at US$51.00 per ADS, at the top end of the price range. Softbank Group (9984 JP) will raise gross proceeds of US$4.9bn.
We previously discussed the IPO in ARM Holdings IPO: The Bull Case, ARM Holdings IPO: The Bear Case and ARM Holdings IPO: Unattractive Price Range. 
The ARM IPO is structurally set up for a first-day pop. Beyond the first-day euphoria, ARM will face the daunting task of delivering bullish estimates to justify the IPO price.


ARM Holdings IPO Trading: Structurally Set up for a First-Day Pop, but Then What?

<ul>
<li>Luckin Coffee: Luckin Coffee “store transfer” program achieved preliminary result</li>
<li>CPNG/BABA: Statistics Korea published 2Q23 cross-border ecommerce data (- /+)</li>
<li>3690.HK: Douyin taking measures to boost local services business (-)</li>
</ul>


Luckin Coffee: Luckin Coffee “store transfer” program achieved preliminary result
CPNG/BABA: Statistics Korea published 2Q23 cross-border ecommerce data (- /+)
3690.HK: Douyin taking measures to boost local services business (-)


China TMT Update-Luckin /CPNG/BABA/3690.HK/Douyin-Store Transfer/Korea Cross-Border Ecommerce

South Korea

Coupang, Inc. operates as an e-commerce company. The Company offers dynamic end-to-end e-commerce and logistic solutions. Coupang serves customers worldwide.

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Coupang (CPNG US)

China TMT Update-Oct.14-3690.HK/BABA/JD/DADA/DDL/9699.HK/Kanzhun/700.HK/CPNG:Douyin 1-Hr Delivery

Douyin adds a more prominent entrance for its 1-hr delivery supermarket feature; No signal for rebound in job market in China yet; QQ Browser...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

SK Square: M&A of 11st - Alibaba Out and Qoo10 In?

On 27 September, Maeil Business Daily reported that SK Square signed an MOU with Qoo10 to pursue a joint management of 11st.

Douglas Kim

SK Square: Will Alibaba Acquire 11st?

Maeil Business Daily reported that Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) is considering on acquiring a controlling stake in 11st, which is a leading e...

Douglas Kim

ARM Holdings IPO Trading: Structurally Set up for a First-Day Pop, but Then What?

The ARM IPO is structurally set up for a first-day pop. Beyond the first-day euphoria, ARM will face the daunting task of delivering bullish...

Arun George

China TMT Update-Luckin /CPNG/BABA/3690.HK/Douyin-Store Transfer/Korea Cross-Border Ecommerce

Luckin Coffee “store transfer” program achieved preliminary result;CPNG/BABA: Statistics Korea published 2Q23 cross-border ecommerce data (-...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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