China and US Equity Analyst

Roger Xie

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>China mainland funds have accelerated their capital deployment in Hong Kong market in the new year. According to data provider Wind, the fund inflow to Hong Kong has exceeded RMB 150 billion in first three weeks of January. Since the Hong Kong-China Stock Connect program kicked off in 2014, the accumulated funds from China to Hong Kong have reached RMB 1.66 trillion. We estimate the annual fund inflow to Hong Kong market could be as high as RMB 600 billion in next 5 years.</li>
<li>The accelerated fund inflow underscored the attractiveness of Hong Kong market in several aspects. 1) Hong Kong market overall valuation is cheaper than China A-share. For dual-list A and H-shares, Hong Kong listed H-shares are traded at average 35% discount to their A-share peers. 2) Liquidity at both China and Hong Kong market remains abundant. The data analytics firm EPFR reported that there are 20 weeks of consecutive fund inflow to Hong Kong market. 3) <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> has transformed itself to a capital raising and trading venue for China new economy companies. And these particular sectors have become favorite for China domestic funds.</li>
<li>The top-10 holdings of Hong Kong-listed companies for China funds are: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK) , </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener"> </a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yihai-int-l-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22803:1" rel="noopener">Yihai Int’L Holding (1579 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingdee-international-sftwr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37:1" rel="noopener">Kingdee International Software (268 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinyi-solar-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:318:1" rel="noopener">Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:492:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-services-holdings-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27343:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> </li>
</ul>


China mainland funds have accelerated their capital deployment in Hong Kong market in the new year. According to data provider Wind, the fund inflow to Hong Kong has exceeded RMB 150 billion in first three weeks of January. Since the Hong Kong-China Stock Connect program kicked off in 2014, the accumulated funds from China to Hong Kong have reached RMB 1.66 trillion. We estimate the annual fund inflow to Hong Kong market could be as high as RMB 600 billion in next 5 years.
The accelerated fund inflow underscored the attractiveness of Hong Kong market in several aspects. 1) Hong Kong market overall valuation is cheaper than China A-share. For dual-list A and H-shares, Hong Kong listed H-shares are traded at average 35% discount to their A-share peers. 2) Liquidity at both China and Hong Kong market remains abundant. The data analytics firm EPFR reported that there are 20 weeks of consecutive fund inflow to Hong Kong market. 3) HKEX (388 HK) has transformed itself to a capital raising and trading venue for China new economy companies. And these particular sectors have become favorite for China domestic funds.
The top-10 holdings of Hong Kong-listed companies for China funds are: Tencent Holdings (700 HK) , Meituan (3690 HK) , Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK) , HKEX (388 HK) , Yihai Int’L Holding (1579 HK) , Kingdee International Software (268 HK) , Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK) , Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK) , Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK) , Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) 


China Equity Strategy: Domestic Funds Rush to Deploy Capital in Hong Kong Market

APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<p>Share prices of China property management companies surged today on the back of favorable policies published by The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development (MOHURD).</p>
<p>In this note, we discuss the salient points form the announcement, the knock-on effect, and the companies that we think will benefit the most.</p>

Share prices of China property management companies surged today on the back of favorable policies published by The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development (MOHURD).
In this note, we discuss the salient points form the announcement, the knock-on effect, and the companies that we think will benefit the most.

China Property Management Services - Green-Light to Grow

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Quantitative Analysis

<div><p>The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.</p></div><div><p>Hong Kong saw shorts rise on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-services-holdings-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27343:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (HK) (9618 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase (9999 HK)</a> while there was short covering on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)</a>. Shorts increased on Industrials, Consumer Discretionary and Real Estate, and decreased on Financials and Information Technology names.</p></div><div><p>In Japan, stocks that saw the most shorts were <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honda-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:154:1" rel="noopener">Honda Motor (7267 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kao-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12933:1" rel="noopener">Kao Corp (4452 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/central-japan-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13520:1" rel="noopener">Central Japan Railway Co (9022 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bridgestone-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8914:1" rel="noopener">Bridgestone Corp (5108 JP)</a> while shorts decreased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/m3-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13316:1" rel="noopener">M3 Inc (2413 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/takeda-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11747:1" rel="noopener">Takeda Pharmaceutical (4502 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11028:1" rel="noopener">Toto Ltd (5332 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/casio-computer-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18338:1" rel="noopener">Casio Computer (6952 JP)</a>. Sectorally, shorts increased on Consumer Discretionary, Information Technology, Consumer Staples and Industrials, and decreased on Health Care names.</p></div><div><p>In Korea, there were large short positions put on in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-chem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3583:1" rel="noopener">LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (000660 KS)</a>.</p></div><div><p>Stocks in Taiwan that saw the highest increase in shorts were <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/largan-precision-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9126:1" rel="noopener">Largan Precision (3008 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unimicron-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18778:1" rel="noopener">Unimicron Technology (3037 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chung-hsin-electric-machinery-mfg-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3380:1" rel="noopener">Chung Hsin Electric &amp; Machinery Mfg (1513 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innolux-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4509:1" rel="noopener">Innolux Corp (3481 TT)</a> while shorts were covered on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (2330 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/walsin-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11084:1" rel="noopener">Walsin Technology (2492 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/epistar-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6849:1" rel="noopener">Epistar Corp (2448 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novatek-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10904:1" rel="noopener">Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT)</a>.   </p></div>

The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.Hong Kong saw shorts rise on Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK), JD.com (HK) (9618 HK), China Mobile (941 HK) and NetEase (9999 HK) while there was short covering on Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK), Tencent Holdings (700 HK), Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) and Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK). Shorts increased on Industrials, Consumer Discretionary and Real Estate, and decreased on Financials and Information Technology names.In Japan, stocks that saw the most shorts were Honda Motor (7267 JP), Kao Corp (4452 JP), Central Japan Railway Co (9022 JP) and Bridgestone Corp (5108 JP) while shorts decreased on M3 Inc (2413 JP), Takeda Pharmaceutical (4502 JP), Toto Ltd (5332 JP) and Casio Computer (6952 JP). Sectorally, shorts increased on Consumer Discretionary, Information Technology, Consumer Staples and Industrials, and decreased on Health Care names.In Korea, there were large short positions put on in LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS), Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) and SK Hynix (000660 KS).Stocks in Taiwan that saw the highest increase in shorts were Largan Precision (3008 TT), Unimicron Technology (3037 TT), Chung Hsin Electric &amp; Machinery Mfg (1513 TT) and Innolux Corp (3481 TT) while shorts were covered on TSMC (2330 TT), Walsin Technology (2492 TT), Epistar Corp (2448 TT) and Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT).   

Asia Short Interest: JD, NetEase, Xiaomi, SMIC, M3, Toto, LG Chem, Celltrion, Largan, TSMC

Equity Research in HK and Mainland China

Li Tang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>We are still reasonably positive on the outlook for underlying demand for housing amid an uneven economic recovery in which consumer confidence over employment and income prospects is building.Mortgage availability remains good. We believe monetary policy will continue to normalise as the economic recovery continues, even as PBOC ensures sufficient short-term liquidity to manage financial risks.</p>
<ul class="" type="disc">
<li>China New Home prices grew at slowest monthly pace since March of this year</li>
<li>The real estate investment and property sales remained robust In Nov</li>
<li>Developer financing growth accelerated in Nov</li>
<li>30 large cities property sales still relatively strong in Dec, but with regional divergence</li>
<li>Xi'an and Hangzhou city tighten  property control policy by raising  down payment ratio for the second home buyer.</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align: left;">Top picks: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vanke-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26076:1" rel="noopener">China Vanke (000002 CH)</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yango-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Yango Group (000671 CH)</a> ,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-land-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">China Resources Land (1109 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/poly-real-estate-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Poly Real Estate Group Co., (600048 CH), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shimao-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shimao Co Ltd A (600823 CH)</a> </p>

We are still reasonably positive on the outlook for underlying demand for housing amid an uneven economic recovery in which consumer confidence over employment and income prospects is building.Mortgage availability remains good. We believe monetary policy will continue to normalise as the economic recovery continues, even as PBOC ensures sufficient short-term liquidity to manage financial risks.

China New Home prices grew at slowest monthly pace since March of this year
The real estate investment and property sales remained robust In Nov
Developer financing growth accelerated in Nov
30 large cities property sales still relatively strong in Dec, but with regional divergence
Xi'an and Hangzhou city tighten  property control policy by raising  down payment ratio for the second home buyer.

Top picks: China Vanke (000002 CH) Yango Group (000671 CH) ,China Resources Land (1109 HK), Poly Real Estate Group Co., (600048 CH), Shanghai Shimao Co Ltd A (600823 CH) 

China Real Estate: Property Sales Growth Turns Positive but Investment Slowed,new Home Prices Cool

<p>The Hang Seng Indexes Company Limited (HSIL) should announce the results of the March 2021 review of the Hang Seng Family of Indexes on 19 February. The constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 5 March.</p><p>We expect the March 21 review for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> to have only 1 deletion, though there is a low probability of another set of changes. Post <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-health-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29677:1" rel="noopener">JD Health (6618 HK)</a>'s Fast Entry into the index, there needs to be one deletion at the March review. At the current time, the lowest ranked index constituent is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petrochina-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:262:1" rel="noopener">Petrochina Co Ltd H (857 HK)</a> and the stock should be deleted at the March review.</p><p>There was a medium probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-services-holdings-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27343:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK)</a> being included in the index. That has now become a low probability event post <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-health-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29677:1" rel="noopener">JD Health (6618 HK)</a>'s inclusion in the index. If <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-services-holdings-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27343:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK)</a> is included in the index, then <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hengan-intl-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29:1" rel="noopener">Hengan Intl Group (1044 HK)</a> could be deleted.</p><p>The potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> over the next 6 months will also have serious implications for the dividend futures expiring in 2021, 2022 and beyond.</p>

The Hang Seng Indexes Company Limited (HSIL) should announce the results of the March 2021 review of the Hang Seng Family of Indexes on 19 February. The constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 5 March.We expect the March 21 review for the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) to have only 1 deletion, though there is a low probability of another set of changes. Post JD Health (6618 HK)'s Fast Entry into the index, there needs to be one deletion at the March review. At the current time, the lowest ranked index constituent is Petrochina Co Ltd H (857 HK) and the stock should be deleted at the March review.There was a medium probability of Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK) being included in the index. That has now become a low probability event post JD Health (6618 HK)'s inclusion in the index. If Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK) is included in the index, then Hengan Intl Group (1044 HK) could be deleted.The potential changes to the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) over the next 6 months will also have serious implications for the dividend futures expiring in 2021, 2022 and beyond.

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: One Deletion For Sure, Could Be One More Change

China

Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited provides real estate development services. The Company develops residential apartments, multi-functional complex buildings, government and public facilities, industrial parks, highway service stations, and schools. Country Garden Services Holdings serves clients in China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Country Garden Services (6098 HK)

China Equity Strategy: Domestic Funds Rush to Deploy Capital in Hong Kong Market

China mainland funds have accelerated their capital deployment in Hong Kong market in the new year. The fund inflow to Hong Kong has exceeded RMB...

Roger Xie

China Property Management Services - Green-Light to Grow

Share prices of China property management companies surged today on the back of favorable policies published by The Ministry of Housing and Urban...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

Asia Short Interest: JD, NetEase, Xiaomi, SMIC, M3, Toto, LG Chem, Celltrion, Largan, TSMC

The weekly short interest report looks at large moves across HK, Japan, Korea and Taiwan names to gauge investor interest in the stock.

Brian Freitas

China Real Estate: Property Sales Growth Turns Positive but Investment Slowed,new Home Prices Cool

We are still positive on the outlook for underlying demand for housing amid an uneven economic recovery in which consumer confidence over...

Li Tang

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: One Deletion For Sure, Could Be One More Change

Following JD Health's Fast Entry into the HSCEI, PetroChina is a high probability deletion in March. There is a low probability of Country Garden...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)