Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Technical Analysis

Country Garden Holdings Co / Technical Analysis

<ul><li>The government has taken several steps to improve supply-side restrictions on first and second homes.</li><li>PBOC has added policy support by cutting longer-dated LPR rates for home loan pricing. Longfor Group and Country Garden are highly rated, large China Real Estate developers.</li><li>They do not seem to respond positively to many tailwinds</li></ul>

The government has taken several steps to improve supply-side restrictions on first and second homes.PBOC has added policy support by cutting longer-dated LPR rates for home loan pricing. Longfor Group and Country Garden are highly rated, large China Real Estate developers.They do not seem to respond positively to many tailwinds

Hang Seng Index Constituents 2nd June 2022

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 8th. Due to public holiday in Hong Kong, the announcement was delayed by 2 days.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight property names that saw short interest increase last week: Cifi, Country Garden, Country Garden services, and Kintor which reported Phase 3 clinical trial results for COVID-19 treatment.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 8th. Due to public holiday in Hong Kong, the announcement was delayed by 2 days.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight property names that saw short interest increase last week: Cifi, Country Garden, Country Garden services, and Kintor which reported Phase 3 clinical trial results for COVID-19 treatment.


Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

Postal Savings Bank of China C / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The China real estate situation remains challenging for banks credit quality, with more real estate developers in financial difficulties, with them either close to, or at default</li>
<li>The macro-economic picture is challenged by China’s zero-Covid policy hurting supply chains, and PBOC is tightening liquidity despite the recent small cuts to reserve requirements and benchmark rates</li>
<li>Before 4Q21 results, the larger cap banks’ credit quality snapshot shows that China Minsheng is very challenged, with Postal Savings Bank and China Merchants in strong positions</li>
</ul>


The China real estate situation remains challenging for banks credit quality, with more real estate developers in financial difficulties, with them either close to, or at default
The macro-economic picture is challenged by China’s zero-Covid policy hurting supply chains, and PBOC is tightening liquidity despite the recent small cuts to reserve requirements and benchmark rates
Before 4Q21 results, the larger cap banks’ credit quality snapshot shows that China Minsheng is very challenged, with Postal Savings Bank and China Merchants in strong positions


China Banks – Credit Quality Snapshot Ahead of 4Q21

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Wanda Commercial Management Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Wanda Commercial Management Group (WCMG) is looking to raise up to US$4bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>WCMG is a commercial operation service provider. As of Oct 2021, the firm managed 398 malls with total gross floor area (GFA) under management of 56.5m sqm.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Wanda Commercial Management Group (WCMG) is looking to raise up to US$4bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
WCMG is a commercial operation service provider. As of Oct 2021, the firm managed 398 malls with total gross floor area (GFA) under management of 56.5m sqm.
In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


Wanda Commercial Management Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Parents Leverage Status Will Be an Overhang

<ul>
<li>Wanda Commercial Management Group (WCMG) is looking to raise up to US$4bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>WCMG is a commercial operation service provider. As of Oct 2021, the firm managed 398 malls with total gross floor area (GFA) under management of 56.5m sqm.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Wanda Commercial Management Group (WCMG) is looking to raise up to US$4bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
WCMG is a commercial operation service provider. As of Oct 2021, the firm managed 398 malls with total gross floor area (GFA) under management of 56.5m sqm.
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Wanda Commercial Management Group Pre-IPO - The Positives - Aiming for One of HK's Largest 2022 IPOs

China

Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited provides real estate development services. The Company develops residential apartments, multi-functional complex buildings, government and public facilities, industrial parks, highway service stations, and schools. Country Garden Services Holdings serves clients in China.

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Country Garden Services (6098 HK)

Hang Seng Index Constituents 2nd June 2022

The government has taken several steps to improve supply-side restrictions on first and second homes. PBOC has added policy support by cutting...

Untying The Gordian Knot

HK Short Interest: Property Shorts

We highlight property names that saw weekly short interest increase: Cifi, Country Garden, Country Garden services, and Kintor which reported Phase...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Banks – Credit Quality Snapshot Ahead of 4Q21

Ahead of the first China larger cap banks to report 4Q21 at month-end, our snapshot of 3Q21 NPL metrics outlines the most challenged - China...

Victor Galliano

Wanda Commercial Management Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Parents Leverage Status Will Be an Overhang

Wanda Commercial Management Group (WCMG) is looking to raise up to US$4bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the not so...

Sumeet Singh

Wanda Commercial Management Group Pre-IPO - The Positives - Aiming for One of HK's Largest 2022 IPOs

Wanda Commercial Management Group (WCMG) is looking to raise up to US$4bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive...

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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