Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-5225'>Country Garden Holdings Co</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-10946'>Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-4160'>NagaCorp Ltd</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-8085'>Times China</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Country Garden Holdings CoLippo Malls Indonesia Retail TrustNagaCorp LtdTimes China

Morning Views Asia: Country Garden Holdings Co, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, NagaCorp Ltd

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We saw another week of strong property data where new home/secondary home sales went up 23%/12% WoW.</li><li>This is in line with our sales leading index GAIN and our upgrade report that sales is more sustainable than what market thinks.</li><li>The solid housing recovery has also accelerated housing construction activities that its construction resumption rate recovered to 84.1%, higher than 2022 already, and only slightly lagging behind the infrastructure (87.3%) and government projects (88.2%). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We saw another week of strong property data where new home/secondary home sales went up 23%/12% WoW.This is in line with our sales leading index GAIN and our upgrade report that sales is more sustainable than what market thinks.The solid housing recovery has also accelerated housing construction activities that its construction resumption rate recovered to 84.1%, higher than 2022 already, and only slightly lagging behind the infrastructure (87.3%) and government projects (88.2%). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – Property+ Weekly: Sales momentum accelerated on lower tier cities

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China Jinmao Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/lifestyle-international-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Lifestyle International Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Geely Auto</a></li><li><a href='/entities/first-pacific-co-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>First Pacific Co</a></li><li><a href='/entities/tata-motors-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Tata Motors Ltd</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:China Jinmao HoldingsLifestyle International HoldingsGeely AutoFirst Pacific CoTata Motors Ltdand more...

The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

  The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - February 2023 - Lucror Analytics

Equity Bottom-Up

Country Garden Holdings Co / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We think Mr. Yeung’s retirement poses no material impact on CG as the ground has been laid back in 2018 with Ms. Yan being the co-Chairlady and stable management (The triangle Mr. Mo, Dr. Cheng and Ms. Wu).</li><li>Instead, we think the change may give current management more flexibility for the strategy.</li><li>Fundamental-wise, CG still recorded 35% YoY sales decline in 2M23 due to lack of new launches and underperforming lower tier cities. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We think Mr. Yeung’s retirement poses no material impact on CG as the ground has been laid back in 2018 with Ms. Yan being the co-Chairlady and stable management (The triangle Mr. Mo, Dr. Cheng and Ms. Wu).Instead, we think the change may give current management more flexibility for the strategy.Fundamental-wise, CG still recorded 35% YoY sales decline in 2M23 due to lack of new launches and underperforming lower tier cities. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Country Garden (2007 HK) – Mr. Yeung’s retirement not a surprise

China

Country Garden Holdings Company Limited is a real estate developer.  The Company builds villas, townhouses and apartments in Mainland China. Country Gardens also develops large-scale community facilities such as schools, hotels, hospitals, and theme parks.

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Country Garden Holdings Co (2007 HK)

Morning Views Asia: Country Garden Holdings Co, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, NagaCorp Ltd

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

China Property Sector – Property+ Weekly: Sales momentum accelerated on lower tier cities

This is in line with our sales leading index GAIN and our upgrade report that sales is more sustainable than what market thinks.

CMB International

Weekly Wrap - 03 Mar 2023

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Monthly - February 2023 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top...

Lucror Analytics

Country Garden (2007 HK) – Mr. Yeung’s retirement not a surprise

We think Mr. Yeung’s retirement poses no material impact on CG as the ground has been laid back in 2018 with Ms. Yan being the co-Chairlady and...

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)