Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>8 days ago I wrote Murakami-san upped his stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exedy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6516:1" rel="noopener">Exedy Corp (7278 JP)</a> to 23.5%, could buy more into earnings, and earnings could deliver a buyback. That was ¥3495/3600.</li>
<li>He bought more, reported 24.72% as of 22-Oct). I bet he reports more in a week. Also, Exedy today reported a small yoy gain in H1 revenue. OP+76%yoy. NP+17%yoy.</li>
<li>The company also reported a BIG div hike to ¥200/yr and a giant ¥30bn buyback. Activists and Murakami hangers-on have won. So watch out! The playbook is different than expected.</li>
</ul>


8 days ago I wrote Murakami-san upped his stake in Exedy Corp (7278 JP) to 23.5%, could buy more into earnings, and earnings could deliver a buyback. That was ¥3495/3600.
He bought more, reported 24.72% as of 22-Oct). I bet he reports more in a week. Also, Exedy today reported a small yoy gain in H1 revenue. OP+76%yoy. NP+17%yoy.
The company also reported a BIG div hike to ¥200/yr and a giant ¥30bn buyback. Activists and Murakami hangers-on have won. So watch out! The playbook is different than expected.


[JAPAN ACTIVISM] Exedy (7278) - You Won, BIG Capital Payout, Murakami Up. Now Watch Out!

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Iain Pocock

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Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

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Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

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The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

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<ul><li>Global base oils prices face growing upward pressure versus feedstock/diesel prices following slump in crude oil prices.</li><li>Firming base oils premium points to tightening supply and rising demand, incentivizing refiners to maintain or raise output.</li><li>Recent slump in crude oil prices reflects concern about slowdown in global economic activity and subsequent drop in demand.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices face growing upward pressure versus feedstock/diesel prices following slump in crude oil prices.Firming base oils premium points to tightening supply and rising demand, incentivizing refiners to maintain or raise output.Recent slump in crude oil prices reflects concern about slowdown in global economic activity and subsequent drop in demand.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 7 April

<ul><li>US Group II base oils export price-discount to CFR India prices widens further through March 2025 even ahead of imposition of US tariffs and slump in crude oil prices.</li><li>US Group I brightstock export price flips to rare discount to CFR India price in recent weeks.</li><li>Ongoing weakness of US export prices points to weaker-than-usual domestic demand.</li></ul>

US Group II base oils export price-discount to CFR India prices widens further through March 2025 even ahead of imposition of US tariffs and slump in crude oil prices.US Group I brightstock export price flips to rare discount to CFR India price in recent weeks.Ongoing weakness of US export prices points to weaker-than-usual domestic demand.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 7 April

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils prices resume rise versus feedstock/gasoil prices.</li><li>Rising margins point to still-firm supply-demand fundamentals at start of Q2 2025.</li><li>That dynamic could change in coming weeks if economic growth slows, compounding typical seasonal dip in demand from end of second quarter.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils prices resume rise versus feedstock/gasoil prices.Rising margins point to still-firm supply-demand fundamentals at start of Q2 2025.That dynamic could change in coming weeks if economic growth slows, compounding typical seasonal dip in demand from end of second quarter.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 7 April

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand could fall in face of slumping crude oil prices and concern about slower-than-expected economic growth in the region.</li><li>Concern about weaker demand cuts fundamentals-related support that could cushion against impact of falling crude oil prices.</li><li>Concern about more muted demand and expected improvement in base oils supply in coming weeks would contrast with increasingly high base oils margins caused by lower crude oil prices.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand could fall in face of slumping crude oil prices and concern about slower-than-expected economic growth in the region.Concern about weaker demand cuts fundamentals-related support that could cushion against impact of falling crude oil prices.Concern about more muted demand and expected improvement in base oils supply in coming weeks would contrast with increasingly high base oils margins caused by lower crude oil prices.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 7 April

Japan

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. operates as a holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, imports, refines, and sells crude oil as well engages in the independent development of oil resources.

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Cosmo Energy Holdings (5021 JP)

[JAPAN ACTIVISM] Exedy (7278) - You Won, BIG Capital Payout, Murakami Up. Now Watch Out!

Exedy (7278) Earnings were OK/decent. Murakami-san has gone to 24.7%. We have a sharply higher dividend payout and policy, and a HUGE buyback....

Travis Lundy

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 7 April

Global base oils prices face growing upward pressure versus feedstock/diesel prices following slump in crude oil prices. Firming base oils premium...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 7 April

US Group II base oils export price-discount to CFR India prices widens further through March 2025 even ahead of imposition of US tariffs and slump...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 7 April

Asia’s base oils prices resume rise versus feedstock/gasoil prices. Rising margins point to still-firm supply-demand fundamentals at start of Q2...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 7 April

Asia’s base oils demand could fall in face of slumping crude oil prices and concern about slower-than-expected economic growth in the...

Base Oil News

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