Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Yes, carrier margins and returns in Q2/H1 plunged dramatically compared to 2022</li>
<li>
Yes, carrier margins and returns in Q2/H1 were quite good by historical standards</li>
<li>In this insight we provide context to help readers evaluate carrier performance in 2023</li>
</ul>



Yes, carrier margins and returns in Q2/H1 plunged dramatically compared to 2022

Yes, carrier margins and returns in Q2/H1 were quite good by historical standards
In this insight we provide context to help readers evaluate carrier performance in 2023


Evergreen Marine: 'H1 Earnings Plunged Dramatically Y/Y' | Also, 'H1 Earnings Were Pretty Damn Good'

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maanshan-dingtai-rare-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4128:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (002352 CH)</a> could raise between HK$26-33bn (US$3.4-4.2bn) in its H-share listing depending on the H-shares discount and exercise of the overallotment option.</li>
<li>The H-shares could get Fast Entry to certain indices and regular entry to others depending on the number of shares that are allotted to cornerstone and/or strategic investors.</li>
<li>The H-shares will be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the end of the price stabilisation period. Inclusion in the Hang Seng Composite Index will come later.</li>
</ul>



S.F. Holding (002352 CH) could raise between HK$26-33bn (US$3.4-4.2bn) in its H-share listing depending on the H-shares discount and exercise of the overallotment option.
The H-shares could get Fast Entry to certain indices and regular entry to others depending on the number of shares that are allotted to cornerstone and/or strategic investors.
The H-shares will be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the end of the price stabilisation period. Inclusion in the Hang Seng Composite Index will come later.


SF Holding (002352 CH): H-Share Listing & Index Implications

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 7th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,104.6 million, led by consumer staples, financials, and offset by consumer discretionary, communication services, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Zte, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media Information Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 7th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,104.6 million, led by consumer staples, financials, and offset by consumer discretionary, communication services, utilities.
We highlight flows for Zte, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media Information Technology.


Northbound Flows (Jul 7th): ZTE, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for PetroChina, China Mobile, Xpeng, Bilibili, Kuaishou, CCB, ICBC, BYD, HSBC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows for PetroChina, China Mobile, Xpeng, Bilibili, Kuaishou, CCB, ICBC, BYD, HSBC.


Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: $366m Outflows in June

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 23rd.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Sunny Optical, Js Global Life, Trip.Com, Meituan.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 23rd.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Sunny Optical, Js Global Life, Trip.Com, Meituan.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Sunny Optical, JS Global Life, Trip.Com, Meituan

China

COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd. offers shipping services. The Company provides container shipping, terminal operation, bulk shipping, and container leasing services. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings conducts businesses worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (601919 CH)

Evergreen Marine: 'H1 Earnings Plunged Dramatically Y/Y' | Also, 'H1 Earnings Were Pretty Damn Good'

Evergreen, Maersk, and ZIM have all reported H1 results. Yes, margins and returns were a fraction of what they were in 2021-22, but H123 earnings...

Tracking Traffic

Northbound Flows (Jul 7th): ZTE, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Zte, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: $366m Outflows in June

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for June and highlight flows for PetroChina, China Mobile, Xpeng, Bilibili, Kuaishou, CCB, ICBC, BYD, HSBC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Sunny Optical, JS Global Life, Trip.Com, Meituan

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 23rd and highlight short interest changes in Sunny Optical, Js Global...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Evergreen Marine: 'H1 Earnings Plunged Dramatically Y/Y' | Also, 'H1 Earnings Were Pretty Damn Good'

Evergreen, Maersk, and ZIM have all reported H1 results. Yes, margins and returns were a fraction of what they were in 2021-22, but H123 earnings...

Tracking Traffic

SF Holding (002352 CH): H-Share Listing & Index Implications

SF Holdings could raise between HK$26-33bn in its H-shares listing. The discount vs A-shares and cornerstone/strategic allocation will be key in...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (Jul 7th): ZTE, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Zte, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: $366m Outflows in June

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for June and highlight flows for PetroChina, China Mobile, Xpeng, Bilibili, Kuaishou, CCB, ICBC, BYD, HSBC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Sunny Optical, JS Global Life, Trip.Com, Meituan

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 23rd and highlight short interest changes in Sunny Optical, Js Global...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM