Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

While Tech continues to plot higher, still mocking reversion-to-the-mean forces, sector leadership is broadening into value segments. Two stand out: Energy and Materials. Both exhibit timely technicals, and we expect both to yield relative outperformance in 2018. Overweight. In today’s report we highlight actionable names within global the Energy and Materials sectors.

While Tech continues to plot higher, still mocking reversion-to-the-mean forces, sector leadership is broadening into value segments. Two stand out: Energy and Materials. Both exhibit timely technicals, and we expect both to yield relative outperformance in 2018. Overweight. In today’s report we highlight actionable names within global the Energy and Materials sectors.

Global Head of Research, Smartkarma

Mark Artherton

Global Head of Research

LR Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In This Issue:Tencent Snaps up another stake, China launches its super-regulator, Latin America's election bonanza, is big oil regaining its mojo, Putin's Grey Cardinal see a Western Tsar rising, nonlinear finance, and Timber's come back.<div class="content-highlight">1.  Disclosure issues for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21716" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21716:1">Steinhoff International Holdin (SNH GR)</a> continue to get worse.  The company potentially failed to disclose a USD810m loan to a company where they had a minority stake.  The accusation is that this loan should have been disclosed under…</div>

In This Issue:Tencent Snaps up another stake, China launches its super-regulator, Latin America's election bonanza, is big oil regaining its mojo, Putin's Grey Cardinal see a Western Tsar rising, nonlinear finance, and Timber's come back.1.  Disclosure issues for Steinhoff International Holdin (SNH GR) continue to get worse.  The company potentially failed to disclose a USD810m loan to a company where they had a minority stake.  The accusation is that this loan should have been disclosed under…

We are seeing a majority of energy-related equities stage bullish price and RS reversals, emerging from bullish bases and breaking to multi-month highs.In this report we focus on bullish opportunities in E&amp;P companies.  We will continue to monitor the service related names for signs of similar price action.Highlighted and actionable charts: TOT, RDS.A, BP, PBR, EOG, OXY, APC, MRO, MUR, IMO, ECA, CXO, CLR, COG, XEC, PDCE, SRCI and SM.

We are seeing a majority of energy-related equities stage bullish price and RS reversals, emerging from bullish bases and breaking to multi-month highs.In this report we focus on bullish opportunities in E&amp;P companies.  We will continue to monitor the service related names for signs of similar price action.Highlighted and actionable charts: TOT, RDS.A, BP, PBR, EOG, OXY, APC, MRO, MUR, IMO, ECA, CXO, CLR, COG, XEC, PDCE, SRCI and SM.

Short-term rotation is underway. FANG stocks and parts of Tech, both long-term leaders, have become a short-term source of funds. Fortunately, this weakness is confined, resulting in sector and group rotation, not widespread selling. There is still plenty to like about this market, including areas we have shied away from for most of the year, such as energy and retailers.  This report highlights investment opportunities within the energy sector.

Short-term rotation is underway. FANG stocks and parts of Tech, both long-term leaders, have become a short-term source of funds. Fortunately, this weakness is confined, resulting in sector and group rotation, not widespread selling. There is still plenty to like about this market, including areas we have shied away from for most of the year, such as energy and retailers.  This report highlights investment opportunities within the energy sector.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Tactical Shift in Favoring Value over Growth; Buy Energy; Retailers Bottoming

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

Japan’s breakout adds to an attractive global trendJapan’s base breakout, Europe’s rebound at the 200-day, and EM’s advance to all-time highs – it’s this technical panorama that confirms a risk-on environment, and supports a bullish outlook. Ignore the daily charts—the source of noise—and stick with the weeklies—they tell the true story: up and to the right.In today’s report, we highlight actionable themes in two countries (Japan and Norway) and one sector (energy).

Japan’s breakout adds to an attractive global trendJapan’s base breakout, Europe’s rebound at the 200-day, and EM’s advance to all-time highs – it’s this technical panorama that confirms a risk-on environment, and supports a bullish outlook. Ignore the daily charts—the source of noise—and stick with the weeklies—they tell the true story: up and to the right.In today’s report, we highlight actionable themes in two countries (Japan and Norway) and one sector (energy).

Int'l Compass: Japan Is Breaking Out; Energy Stocks Are Bottoming; Norway Is Emerging as Leadership

United States

ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports and markets crude oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids, liquefied natural gas and bitumen on a worldwide basis.

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Conocophillips (COP US)

Look to Commodity Sectors for Leadership

While Tech continues to plot higher, still mocking reversion-to-the-mean forces, sector leadership is broadening into value segments. Two...

Vermilion Research

21 Things Worth Knowing (#11)

In This Issue:Tencent Snaps up another stake, China launches its super-regulator, Latin America's election bonanza, is big oil regaining its mojo,...

Mark Artherton

Energy Stocks Bottoming

We are seeing a majority of energy-related equities stage bullish price and RS reversals, emerging from bullish bases and breaking to multi-month...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Tactical Shift in Favoring Value over Growth; Buy Energy; Retailers Bottoming

Short-term rotation is underway. FANG stocks and parts of Tech, both long-term leaders, have become a short-term source of funds. Fortunately, this...

Vermilion Research

Int'l Compass: Japan Is Breaking Out; Energy Stocks Are Bottoming; Norway Is Emerging as Leadership

Japan’s breakout adds to an attractive global trendJapan’s base breakout, Europe’s rebound at the 200-day, and EM’s advance to all-time highs –...

Vermilion Research

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