External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Confluent (CFLT) is an infrastructure software company offering managed data streaming and processing services</li><li>The company went public in 2019 and has experienced a decrease in stock price, presenting a potential opportunity for rerating</li><li>Confluent's strong product story around Apache Flink and usage by companies like FedEx and Uber position it for future growth</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.</em></p>

Confluent (CFLT) is an infrastructure software company offering managed data streaming and processing servicesThe company went public in 2019 and has experienced a decrease in stock price, presenting a potential opportunity for reratingConfluent's strong product story around Apache Flink and usage by companies like FedEx and Uber position it for future growthThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Confluent Inc (CFLT) - Thursday, Mar 28, 2024

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Confluent Inc.'s Q1 2024 performance indicates a robust start for the fiscal year, surpassing all guided metrics with a total revenue growth of 25% to $217 Million, a testament to the successful execution of the firm's strategies, especially amidst a somewhat unpredictable macro-environment.</li><li>Noteworthy in these earnings is the impressive growth of Confluent Cloud, now accounting for over half of the company's subscription revenue and emerging as the fastest-growing offering with a 45% increase to $107 Million.</li><li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li></ul>

Confluent Inc.'s Q1 2024 performance indicates a robust start for the fiscal year, surpassing all guided metrics with a total revenue growth of 25% to $217 Million, a testament to the successful execution of the firm's strategies, especially amidst a somewhat unpredictable macro-environment.Noteworthy in these earnings is the impressive growth of Confluent Cloud, now accounting for over half of the company's subscription revenue and emerging as the fastest-growing offering with a 45% increase to $107 Million.Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Confluent Inc.: Initiation of Coverage -  Shift Towards Consumption Profile & Other Pivotal Growth Drivers

Stock Picking & Investing, BluSuit

BluSuit

Stock Picking & Investing

Financial markets, high growth & innovative business coverage, macro economics, trading strategy and market insight

<ul>
<li>When I first came across Confluent, I quickly dismissed it because it was expensive. At the time, it was trading at 40x P/S and I couldn’t justify that sort of stock price.</li>
<li>But fortunately I have had the chance the accumulate more at depressed levels.</li>
<li>Obviously, Confluent was caught up in the tech bubble and its inevitable bursting which may leave its chart looking unattractive at first glance.</li>
</ul>


When I first came across Confluent, I quickly dismissed it because it was expensive. At the time, it was trading at 40x P/S and I couldn’t justify that sort of stock price.
But fortunately I have had the chance the accumulate more at depressed levels.
Obviously, Confluent was caught up in the tech bubble and its inevitable bursting which may leave its chart looking unattractive at first glance.


Confluent - Opening a New Market Opportunity

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

<ul>
<li>I remain bullish on the stock and reiterate a $37 PT. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/confluent-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33443:1" rel="noopener">Confluent (CFLT US)</a> delivered upside to total revenue, gross margin, and non-GAAP operating margin estimates.</li>
<li>The company raised guidance for CY23 total revenue and profitability. There were plenty of positives, including cloud momentum and customer demand.</li>
<li>The US-based data streaming pioneer appears well positioned to outperform my estimates, and I see a path to profitability (non-GAAP) in CY24 at the earliest.</li>
</ul>


I remain bullish on the stock and reiterate a $37 PT. Confluent (CFLT US) delivered upside to total revenue, gross margin, and non-GAAP operating margin estimates.
The company raised guidance for CY23 total revenue and profitability. There were plenty of positives, including cloud momentum and customer demand.
The US-based data streaming pioneer appears well positioned to outperform my estimates, and I see a path to profitability (non-GAAP) in CY24 at the earliest.


Confluent. 2Q Wrap: Solid Results and Leadership Position In a $60B+ TAM

<ul>
<li>Freshworks, a cloud-based customer services software unicorn, held its first Investor Day on September 7, 2023. Management highlighted the long-term target to deliver the Rule of 40 by 2025. </li>
<li>The 2023 Investor Day agenda included company vision and strategy, solutions in action, strategy for durable growth, customer spotlight, and financial overview, among others. </li>
<li>Management plans to deliver a long-term balance of growth and profitability, with the 2026 model leading to an FCF margin of 20%+ and $1B+ revenue. </li>
</ul>


Freshworks, a cloud-based customer services software unicorn, held its first Investor Day on September 7, 2023. Management highlighted the long-term target to deliver the Rule of 40 by 2025. 
The 2023 Investor Day agenda included company vision and strategy, solutions in action, strategy for durable growth, customer spotlight, and financial overview, among others. 
Management plans to deliver a long-term balance of growth and profitability, with the 2026 model leading to an FCF margin of 20%+ and $1B+ revenue. 


Freshworks: 2023 Investor Day and Valuation Update

United States

Paycom Software Inc provides cloud-based HCM software solution delivered as Software-as-a-Service.  The Company provides functionality and data analytics that businesses need to manage the complete employment life cycle from recruitment to retirement.

Varonis Systems, Inc. designs and develops data security software solutions. The Company offers data management systems to organize, manage, and protect unstructured and semi-structured data such as documents, spreadsheets, presentations, media files, and other business data. Varonis Systems operates worldwide.

Qualys, Inc. provides information technology security risk and compliance management solutions. The Company offers products for vulnerability management, policy compliance, web application scanning, malware detection, and associated security products. Qualys conducts business in the United States.

CommVault Systems, Inc. provides data management software applications and related services. The Company develops, markets, and sells a suite of data management software applications designed to protect and manage data throughout its lifecycle.

Pegasystems Inc. develops customer relationship management software.  The software automates customer interactions across transaction-intensive enterprises. The Company provides its products to customers in the banking, mutual funds and securities, mortgage services, card services, insurance, healthcare management, and telecommunications industries.

Paylocity Holding Corporation is a provider of cloud-based payroll and human capital management, or HCM, software solutions for medium-sized organizations.

Dropbox, Inc. operates as a platform as a service company. The Company offers a platform that enables users to store and share files, photos, videos, songs, and spreadsheets. Dropbox serves customers worldwide.

Smartsheet Inc. provides software solutions. The Company offers cloud-based platform for work execution and management which enables teams and organizations to plan, capture, manage, automate, and improve business outcomes. Smartsheet serves customers in the State of Washington.

Qualtrics International Inc. provides technological services. The Company offers application software for education, human resources, market research, automotive, travel, hospital, media, government, and airline sectors. Qualtrics International serves customers worldwide.

BILL Holdings, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, offers cloud-based applications that simplifies, digitizes, and automates back-office financial processes for small and mid-sized businesses. BILL Holdings serves customers worldwide.

CAPCOM CO., LTD. develops consumer video game software.  The Company also develops, manufactures, markets, and leases arcade game machines.  Capcom also operates amusement facilities.

Hundsun Technologies Inc develops application software for security firms, commercial banks, fund management firms, and other industries.  The Company also sells computer hardware and provides system integration services.

International Games System Co., Ltd. plans, designs, develops, manufactures, and markets software and hardware for arcade games, PC games, and Internet on-line games.

Globant S.A. is a software solutions company. The Company provides engineering, design, and innovation services for clients throughout North America and Europe.

Trend Micro Incorporated develops and markets anti-virus computer software and internet security software.  The Company also sells its products in the United States, Europe, and Asia.

Konami Holdings Corporation provides digital entertainment, health and fitness and gaming products. The Company develops and sells video games, mobile games and computer games, gaming machines, pachislot and pachinko machines, and fitness machines as well as operates health and fitness clubs.

Tata Elxsi Limited manufactures computers and workstations besides providing system design, software development and integration services. The Group supplies its products to a number of industries, including the automotive, metals, consumer products, finance, IT & Communications, energy, chemicals, engineering, pharmaceuticals, entertainment and agro industries.

ORACLE CORPORATION JAPAN sells a variety of software, including database management system software, application development tools, decision-making support tools, and business related applications.  The Company also provides support services for users.

Altium Limited develops electronic design automation (EDA) software for the Microsoft Windows operating system.  Altium's products facilitate and aid in the design of electronic products such as printed circuit boards.  The Group's products are utilized by telecommunications, automotive, defense, science and consumer electronics industries.

Temenos AG provides integrated software solutions. The Company offers analytics, channels, financial crime mitigation, funds and securities, risk and compliance, and front office and digital banking suits for the management of administrative tasks at banks and financial services companies. Temenos operates worldwide.

Confluent, Inc. operates as a software company. The Company develops cloud-native platform is designed to unleash real-time data. Confluent serves customers worldwide

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Confluent (CFLT US)

Confluent Inc (CFLT) - Thursday, Mar 28, 2024

Confluent (CFLT) is an infrastructure software company offering managed data streaming and processing services. The company went public in 2019 and...

Value Investors Club

Confluent Inc.: Initiation of Coverage - Shift Towards Consumption Profile & Other Pivotal Growth Drivers

Confluent Inc.'s Q1 2024 performance indicates a robust start for the fiscal year, surpassing all guided metrics with a total revenue growth of...

Baptista Research

Confluent - Opening a New Market Opportunity

When I first came across Confluent, I quickly dismissed it because it was expensive. At the time, it was trading at 40x P/S and I couldn’t justify...

BluSuit

Confluent. 2Q Wrap: Solid Results and Leadership Position In a $60B+ TAM

Confluent reported solid results and achieved sustained high growth despite a choppy macro environment and smaller average deal sizes. The company...

Andrei Zakharov

Freshworks: 2023 Investor Day and Valuation Update

2023 Investor Day highlights massive TAM, ongoing business momentum, adoption of multi-product strategy, and AI monetization opportunities: PT...

Andrei Zakharov

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