ANIMAL SPIRITS Update: OPEC Fuels Base Effect - Oil, Inflation & The Fed, Yields, Financials and EM
Executive Summary OPEC production cut plan supports our macro thesis of an oil-led, inflation expectations uplift. Our original WTI peak base...
208 Views
ANIMAL SPIRITS™ REPORT: Greater China View - China "Goldilocks", HK "Revival" & Taiwan "Bond-Proxy"
Investment ConclusionsMacro, Index and Sector Views Our macro baseline scenario is positive on emerging markets (EM) in Q4, 2016. We see...
324 Views
The Big Picture for the Major Banks Is Playing Out as Expected, but CBD Apartment Risk Is Increasing
The big picture for Australia’s four wide-moat major banks is playing out as expected. Loan growth is slowing but only modestly; net interest...
538 Views
Consumer Banks in Asia May Fare Better at a Time when Large Corporate Stresses Are Evident
There is plenty of corporate risk out there. We have seen this across several large economies in the way of meaningful corporate stress. In South...
179 Views
ANIMAL SPIRITS™ UPDATE: Japan Equity Market Outlook - BOJ, Fed & The Value Trap
Executive Summary This week, the Fed has behaved consistently with our macro roadmap by not raising rates yet but running the US economy "hot". Two...
218 Views