Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>NSE Indices have started a market consultation on dropping stocks that are not a part of the Futures &amp; Options segment from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>This will be done in two phases with a weight reduction for non-F&amp;O stocks in June and deletion from the index in September.</li>
<li>That will result in 11 inclusions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> in September and bring in a lot of flow to the stocks.</li>
</ul>


NSE Indices have started a market consultation on dropping stocks that are not a part of the Futures &amp; Options segment from the Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX). 
This will be done in two phases with a weight reduction for non-F&amp;O stocks in June and deletion from the index in September.
That will result in 11 inclusions to the Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in September and bring in a lot of flow to the stocks.


NIFTY NEXT 50 Index Market Consultation: Non-F&O Stocks Could Be Dropped

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

Colgate Palmolive (India) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The Company’s revenue growth was ~4 (flat volume growth) on account of weak rural demand.</li><li>The management remains cautiously optimistic with demand likely to recover in the upcoming quarters.</li><li>Gross margins remained flat YoY but improved after a few quarters of decline owing to RM decline and price hikes.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The Company’s revenue growth was ~4 (flat volume growth) on account of weak rural demand.The management remains cautiously optimistic with demand likely to recover in the upcoming quarters.Gross margins remained flat YoY but improved after a few quarters of decline owing to RM decline and price hikes.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Colgate Palmolive (India) Ltd - Long Road to Meaningful Recovery; Maintain HOLD

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Colgate Palmolive: Colgate’s domestic revenue grew 5% YoY (four-year CAGR sustaining at 4%), led by high single-digit growth in toothpaste (Dabur clocked c.5%)</li>
<li>Volumes arrested a declining trend of the previous four quarters and were flat (HSIE 1%) with c.1% four-year CAGR</li>
<li>GM continued to expand sequentially (100bps) to 66.9%, better than our expectation of 66%</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Colgate Palmolive: Colgate’s domestic revenue grew 5% YoY (four-year CAGR sustaining at 4%), led by high single-digit growth in toothpaste (Dabur clocked c.5%)
Volumes arrested a declining trend of the previous four quarters and were flat (HSIE 1%) with c.1% four-year CAGR
GM continued to expand sequentially (100bps) to 66.9%, better than our expectation of 66%

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Colgate Palmolive, Deepak Nitrite, Alkyl Amines, Sapphire Foods

<ul><li>Colgate Palmolive: Colgate’s domestic revenue grew 5% YoY (four-year CAGR sustaining at 4%), led by high single-digit growth in toothpaste (Dabur clocked c.5%)</li><li>Volumes arrested a declining trend of the previous four quarters and were flat (HSIE 1%) with c.1% four-year CAGR</li><li>GM continued to expand sequentially (100bps) to 66.9%, better than our expectation of 66%</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Colgate Palmolive: Colgate’s domestic revenue grew 5% YoY (four-year CAGR sustaining at 4%), led by high single-digit growth in toothpaste (Dabur clocked c.5%)Volumes arrested a declining trend of the previous four quarters and were flat (HSIE 1%) with c.1% four-year CAGRGM continued to expand sequentially (100bps) to 66.9%, better than our expectation of 66%Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Colgate Palmolive, Deepak Nitrite, Alkyl Amines

<ul><li>Expect improvement in volume CAGR, revenue to grow by 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q4FY23 (vs 12/8% in Q4FY22 and 8/10% in Q3FY23)</li><li>Companies have started seeing a gradual recovery in demand, however, it still falls short of a full recovery</li><li>Urban markets returned to positive volume growth while rural markets still remain muted</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Expect improvement in volume CAGR, revenue to grow by 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q4FY23 (vs 12/8% in Q4FY22 and 8/10% in Q3FY23)Companies have started seeing a gradual recovery in demand, however, it still falls short of a full recoveryUrban markets returned to positive volume growth while rural markets still remain mutedContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FMCG & Alco Bev: Respite in demand and margins pressure

India

Colgate-Palmolive (India) Ltd. manufactures consumer products in the oral care and body care area. The Company's products include soaps, cosmetics, toilet preparations, toothpaste, toothbrushes, shaving brushes, and glycerin.

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Colgate Palmolive (India) (CLGT IN)

NIFTY NEXT 50 Index Market Consultation: Non-F&O Stocks Could Be Dropped

A market consultation could lead to the deletion of non-F&O stocks from the NIFTY NEXT50 index in September. That means 11 new index members and...

Brian Freitas

Colgate Palmolive (India) Ltd - Long Road to Meaningful Recovery; Maintain HOLD

The Company’s revenue growth was ~4 (flat volume growth) on account of weak rural demand. The management remains cautiously optimistic with demand...

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: Colgate Palmolive, Deepak Nitrite, Alkyl Amines, Sapphire Foods

Colgate Palmolive: Colgate’s domestic revenue grew 5% YoY (four-year CAGR sustaining at 4%), led by high single-digit growth in toothpaste (Dabur...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Colgate Palmolive, Deepak Nitrite, Alkyl Amines

Colgate Palmolive: Colgate’s domestic revenue grew 5% YoY (four-year CAGR sustaining at 4%), led by high single-digit growth in toothpaste (Dabur...

HDFC Securities

FMCG & Alco Bev: Respite in demand and margins pressure

Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q4FY23 (vs 12/8% in Q4FY22 and 8/10% in Q3FY23)

HDFC Securities

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