Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.</li>
<li>As long as these base supports hold, we would use any election-related pullback as an opportunity to add exposure.</li>
<li>Following the election, we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.
As long as these base supports hold, we would use any election-related pullback as an opportunity to add exposure.
Following the election, we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end.


Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The IT Services sector is anticipated to exhibit moderated growth in Q2FY25, primarily due to weaker discretionary spending, driven by uncertainties in macroeconomic conditions and upcoming elections in the US.</li><li>However, non-discretionary spending is expected to see some improvement. Many large enterprises are likely to prioritize cost optimizations, resulting in an increase in cost take-out deals, vendor consolidation, and reduced discretionary spending.</li><li>We are also expecting new deals to ramp-up indicating pick up in demand.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The IT Services sector is anticipated to exhibit moderated growth in Q2FY25, primarily due to weaker discretionary spending, driven by uncertainties in macroeconomic conditions and upcoming elections in the US.However, non-discretionary spending is expected to see some improvement. Many large enterprises are likely to prioritize cost optimizations, resulting in an increase in cost take-out deals, vendor consolidation, and reduced discretionary spending.We are also expecting new deals to ramp-up indicating pick up in demand.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q2FY25 Earnings Preview - Information Technology (IT)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Sinopec Engineering Group H / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index is a fundamentally weighted index that measures the performance of small cap stocks within Emerging Markets.</li>
<li>The changes at the October rebalance were announced after market close on 4 October with implementation scheduled at the close on 16 October.</li>
<li>There are 8 trading days to implementation and there are a bunch of stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


The WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index is a fundamentally weighted index that measures the performance of small cap stocks within Emerging Markets.
The changes at the October rebalance were announced after market close on 4 October with implementation scheduled at the close on 16 October.
There are 8 trading days to implementation and there are a bunch of stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.


WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index Rebalance: US$1bn to Trade

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Reliance Industries obtained over $7 billion in offshore financing for capital expenditure and debt refinancing.</li>
<li>Adani Enterprises plans a $1 billion share sale via a Qualified Institutional Placement.</li>
<li>Marico resumes operations in Bangladesh after political unrest, diversify market presence.</li>
</ul>


Reliance Industries obtained over $7 billion in offshore financing for capital expenditure and debt refinancing.
Adani Enterprises plans a $1 billion share sale via a Qualified Institutional Placement.
Marico resumes operations in Bangladesh after political unrest, diversify market presence.


# 43 India Insight: Reliance Offshore Financing, Adani QIP, Marico Diversify Market Presence

<ul><li>The IT Services sector is anticipated to exhibit moderated growth in Q1FY25, primarily due to weaker discretionary spending, driven by uncertainties in macroeconomic conditions and upcoming elections in the US.</li><li>However, non-discretionary spending is expected to see some improvement.</li><li>Many large enterprises are likely to prioritize cost optimizations, resulting in an increase in cost take-out deals, vendor consolidation, and reduced discretionary spending.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The IT Services sector is anticipated to exhibit moderated growth in Q1FY25, primarily due to weaker discretionary spending, driven by uncertainties in macroeconomic conditions and upcoming elections in the US.However, non-discretionary spending is expected to see some improvement.Many large enterprises are likely to prioritize cost optimizations, resulting in an increase in cost take-out deals, vendor consolidation, and reduced discretionary spending.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

It Services Q1fy25 Result Preview – Moderated Growth; Recovery Expected

India

Coforge Limited provides information technology services. The Company serves customers in India.

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Coforge (COFORGE IN)

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI $ACWI and $SPX as they hold above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670; Buys in Services, Technology,...

Vermilion Research

Q2FY25 Earnings Preview - Information Technology (IT)

The IT Services sector is anticipated to exhibit moderated growth in Q2FY25, primarily due to weaker discretionary spending, driven by...

Axis Direct

WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index Rebalance: US$1bn to Trade

There are 370 adds/257 deletes for the WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index. Round-trip trade is around US$1bn. There is big impact...

Brian Freitas

# 43 India Insight: Reliance Offshore Financing, Adani QIP, Marico Diversify Market Presence

Reliance Industries secures $7B offshore financing, Adani Enterprises plans $1B share sale, Marico resumes operations in Bangladesh.

Sudarshan Bhandari

It Services Q1fy25 Result Preview – Moderated Growth; Recovery Expected

Many large enterprises are likely to prioritize cost optimizations, resulting in an increase in cost take-out deals, vendor consolidation, and...

Axis Direct

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI $ACWI and $SPX as they hold above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670; Buys in Services, Technology,...

Vermilion Research

Q2FY25 Earnings Preview - Information Technology (IT)

The IT Services sector is anticipated to exhibit moderated growth in Q2FY25, primarily due to weaker discretionary spending, driven by...

Axis Direct

WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index Rebalance: US$1bn to Trade

There are 370 adds/257 deletes for the WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index. Round-trip trade is around US$1bn. There is big impact...

Brian Freitas

# 43 India Insight: Reliance Offshore Financing, Adani QIP, Marico Diversify Market Presence

​Reliance Industries secures $7B offshore financing, Adani Enterprises plans $1B share sale, Marico resumes operations in Bangladesh.

Sudarshan Bhandari

It Services Q1fy25 Result Preview – Moderated Growth; Recovery Expected

Many large enterprises are likely to prioritize cost optimizations, resulting in an increase in cost take-out deals, vendor consolidation, and...

Axis Direct

Reliance Industries secures $7B offshore financing, Adani Enterprises plans $1B share sale, Marico resumes operations in Bangladesh.