Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There could be 17 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. Some changes from earlier following 45 new F&amp;O stocks.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 61.5% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 63.4bn (US$752m).</li>
<li>The potential inclusions to the index have outperformed the potential deletions since the start of June. This trend could continue for a couple of weeks till the changes are announced.</li>
</ul>


There could be 17 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. Some changes from earlier following 45 new F&amp;O stocks.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 61.5% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 63.4bn (US$752m).
The potential inclusions to the index have outperformed the potential deletions since the start of June. This trend could continue for a couple of weeks till the changes are announced.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: More Changes with New F&O Stocks

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In Q4FY24, Coforge Ltd. (Coforge) reported revenue of Rs 2,359 Cr, up 1.5% QoQ and 1.8% QoQ (in CC terms) which stood below expectations.</li><li>The company’s operating profit stood at Rs 425 Cr, up 5.9% QoQ due to moderated operating expenses.</li><li>Its operating margins improved by 75bps to 18%, which was largely led by moderated operating expenses and higher utilization during the quarter. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Q4FY24, Coforge Ltd. (Coforge) reported revenue of Rs 2,359 Cr, up 1.5% QoQ and 1.8% QoQ (in CC terms) which stood below expectations.The company’s operating profit stood at Rs 425 Cr, up 5.9% QoQ due to moderated operating expenses.Its operating margins improved by 75bps to 18%, which was largely led by moderated operating expenses and higher utilization during the quarter. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Coforge - Results Below Expectations; Strong Outlook Continues

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Sharekhan

Sharekhan

Sharekhan is India's leading broking house providing services from easy online trading, research to wide array of financial products. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Sharekhan's research report onCoforge Fund-raising through QIP to assist the company in acquiring horizontal capability, forging partnerships/alliances and expansion in existing verticals or building new verticals.</li><li>The company expects a complete reversal of furloughs and deal ramp-ups to contribute to a sharp uptick in margins in Q4FY24.</li><li>Further, moderating attrition, peaking out of SG&amp;A expenses, higher offshoring and better utilization would aid in margins uptick in FY25.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sharekhan's research report onCoforge Fund-raising through QIP to assist the company in acquiring horizontal capability, forging partnerships/alliances and expansion in existing verticals or building new verticals.The company expects a complete reversal of furloughs and deal ramp-ups to contribute to a sharp uptick in margins in Q4FY24.Further, moderating attrition, peaking out of SG&amp;A expenses, higher offshoring and better utilization would aid in margins uptick in FY25.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Coforge Ltd - Well Placed to Deliver Top Quadrant Performance

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coforge-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8639:1" rel="noopener">Coforge (COFORGE IN)</a> is looking to raise around US$386m in its upcoming qualified institutional placement (QIP).</li>
<li>In an announcement released on Saturday, Coforge had mentioned its board’s approval to raise up to INR32bn via a QIP. Since then, the shares have corrected 9.1%.</li>
<li>The deal would be a large one to digest at 14 days of three month ADV. That being said, the company’s last selldown did well.</li>
</ul>



Coforge (COFORGE IN) is looking to raise around US$386m in its upcoming qualified institutional placement (QIP).
In an announcement released on Saturday, Coforge had mentioned its board’s approval to raise up to INR32bn via a QIP. Since then, the shares have corrected 9.1%.
The deal would be a large one to digest at 14 days of three month ADV. That being said, the company’s last selldown did well.


Coforge QIP Early Look - Shares Have Corrected Since the Announcement, Last Deal Did Well

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.</li>
<li>As long as these base supports hold, we would use any election-related pullback as an opportunity to add exposure.</li>
<li>Following the election, we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.
As long as these base supports hold, we would use any election-related pullback as an opportunity to add exposure.
Following the election, we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end.


Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

India

Coforge Limited provides information technology services. The Company serves customers in India.

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Coforge (COFORGE IN)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: More Changes with New F&O Stocks

We forecast 17 changes a side for the index in Dec. Some of the changes have changed following 45 new F&O inclusions. The forecast adds have...

Brian Freitas

Coforge - Results Below Expectations; Strong Outlook Continues

In Q4FY24, Coforge Ltd. (Coforge) reported revenue of Rs 2,359 Cr, up 1.5% QoQ and 1.8% QoQ (in CC terms) which stood below expectations.

Axis Direct

Coforge Ltd - Well Placed to Deliver Top Quadrant Performance

Further, moderating attrition, peaking out of SG&A expenses, higher offshoring and better utilization would aid in margins uptick in FY25.

Sharekhan

Coforge QIP Early Look - Shares Have Corrected Since the Announcement, Last Deal Did Well

Coforge (COFORGE IN) is looking to raise around US$386m in its upcoming QIP. In an announcement, Coforge mentioned its board’s approval to raise up...

Clarence Chu

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI $ACWI and $SPX as they hold above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670; Buys in Services, Technology,...

Vermilion Research

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