External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Cloud Music announced FY23 financial results: total revenue dropped by 13% YoY to RMB7.87bn in FY23, in line with our/consensus estimate.</li><li>2H23 total revenue was down by 16% YoY to RMB3.96bn, mainly due to the adjustment of social entertainment business (-42% YoY).</li><li>Cloud music recorded adjusted net income of RMB819mn in FY23, beating our/consensus estimate of RMB686/629mn, thanks to the solid GPM improvement (+12.3ppt YoY). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cloud Music announced FY23 financial results: total revenue dropped by 13% YoY to RMB7.87bn in FY23, in line with our/consensus estimate.2H23 total revenue was down by 16% YoY to RMB3.96bn, mainly due to the adjustment of social entertainment business (-42% YoY).Cloud music recorded adjusted net income of RMB819mn in FY23, beating our/consensus estimate of RMB686/629mn, thanks to the solid GPM improvement (+12.3ppt YoY). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cloud Music (9899 HK) - Solid Core Music Business and Margin Expansion Outlook

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Cloud Village Inc. (CVI), also known as NetEase Music, raised around US$420m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 21. The IPO was almost entirely taken up by cornerstones.</li>
<li>The company had also earlier obtained investments from Baidu and Alibaba, along with other mainly PE investors. These investors will be released from their lock-up on 1st Jun 2022.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates over the past few months.</li>
</ul>


Cloud Village Inc. (CVI), also known as NetEase Music, raised around US$420m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 21. The IPO was almost entirely taken up by cornerstones.
The company had also earlier obtained investments from Baidu and Alibaba, along with other mainly PE investors. These investors will be released from their lock-up on 1st Jun 2022.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates over the past few months.


Cloud Village IPO Lock-Up - Selling the PE Stock (US$350m) Might Solve the Liquidity Issues

<ul><li>Cloud Music reported 1H23 financial results: total revenue declined by 8% YoY to RMB3.9bn (in line with consensus estimate), mainly due to the operational adjustment to social entertainment business.</li><li>Adjusted net income was RMB332mn in 1H23 (1H22: net loss of RMB217mn), beating consensus estimate of RMB96mn, primarily due to the enhanced GPM (+12pct YoY).</li><li>As social entertainment business continues to face pressure, we lower FY23-25E total revenue forecast by 8-9%; but we raise FY23-FY25E adjusted net income forecast to RMB686/974/1,365mn (previous: RMB194/618/1,065mn) on 1) better content cost saving; 2) optimized live streaming revenue-sharing ratio; 3) enhanced operating efficiency. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cloud Music reported 1H23 financial results: total revenue declined by 8% YoY to RMB3.9bn (in line with consensus estimate), mainly due to the operational adjustment to social entertainment business.Adjusted net income was RMB332mn in 1H23 (1H22: net loss of RMB217mn), beating consensus estimate of RMB96mn, primarily due to the enhanced GPM (+12pct YoY).As social entertainment business continues to face pressure, we lower FY23-25E total revenue forecast by 8-9%; but we raise FY23-FY25E adjusted net income forecast to RMB686/974/1,365mn (previous: RMB194/618/1,065mn) on 1) better content cost saving; 2) optimized live streaming revenue-sharing ratio; 3) enhanced operating efficiency. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cloud Music (9899 HK) – 1H23 Earnings Beat on Strong GPM Expansion

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 37 potential adds (including plenty of new listings) and 25 potential deletes (on market cap and liquidity) for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September.</li>
<li>We expect 32 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 24 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only.</li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


We see 37 potential adds (including plenty of new listings) and 25 potential deletes (on market cap and liquidity) for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September.
We expect 32 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 24 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only.
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Year to date, the internet sector has pulled back after rapid rallies buoyed by improved sentiment and short-term fund inflows, in line with our previous expectation.</li><li>From a full-year perspective, given the rate cut cycle has not yet started and liquidity remains tight, we suggest focusing on: 1) companies capable of boosting shareholder returns or maintaining decent returns, supported by solid fundamentals (strong competitive advantages, steady growth in core business, and stable profitability) and committed to enhancing shareholder returns (also depends on management's willingness), such as Alibaba, Tencent, and NetEase;</li><li>2) companies whose new businesses have significant market potential and are poised to bring considerable capital gains in the long run, particularly from overseas expansion and AI-related initiatives, such as Pinduoduo, Tencent, Alibaba, and Trip.com</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Year to date, the internet sector has pulled back after rapid rallies buoyed by improved sentiment and short-term fund inflows, in line with our previous expectation.From a full-year perspective, given the rate cut cycle has not yet started and liquidity remains tight, we suggest focusing on: 1) companies capable of boosting shareholder returns or maintaining decent returns, supported by solid fundamentals (strong competitive advantages, steady growth in core business, and stable profitability) and committed to enhancing shareholder returns (also depends on management's willingness), such as Alibaba, Tencent, and NetEase;2) companies whose new businesses have significant market potential and are poised to bring considerable capital gains in the long run, particularly from overseas expansion and AI-related initiatives, such as Pinduoduo, Tencent, Alibaba, and Trip.comContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - 1Q24 recap & our three stock-picking ideas

China

Beijing Enlight Media Company Limited invest, produces and distributes television programs, films and teleplays. The Company's major products include TV shows, TV entertainment programs, films and drama series.

Chinese Universe Publishing and MediaCo., Ltd. manufactures enamel-covered wires and other copper wires.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures buses and related parts.

Chinese Universe Publishing&Media (600373 CH)

China South Publishing & Media Group Company Ltd. is a media company.  The Company prints, publishes and distributes books, newspapers and journals; develops audio-visual materials; and offers digital publishing services.

ChineseAll Digital Publishing Group Co Ltd provides digital and print publishing services in China.

Chineseall Digital Publishing (300364 CH)

CITIC Guoan Information Industry Co., Ltd., through its subsidiary, installs, tests, and operates cable TV and satellite telecommunication networks. The Company also develops real estate properties .  In addition, CITIC designs network integrated systems and application software, and provides advertising services.

Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation Limited publishes, distributes books, publications and audio-visual products, and sells cultural goods. The Company's main products include textbooks, teaching aids, and general books.

Central China Land Media Co., Ltd. operates media businesses.  The company provides web services for news, publishing, movies and television related programs.

Wasu Media Holding Company Limited is a cable network provider. The Company offers cable television network operating services, interactive television, mobile phone television, internet television and video, advertising and other media information services. Wasu Media operates throughout China.

Zhe Jiang Daily Media Group Co., Ltd is a media company. The Company's interests include communication and culture industries, investment, development, management and consulting services, information integration, radio, television and other multimedia content production and management, new media technology development and investment.

China Literature is the largest online literature platform in China

DISH Network Corp. provides a direct broadcast satellite subscription television, audio programming and interactive television services to commercial and residential subscribers in the United States.

Cable One, Inc. operates as a cable company. The Company offers data, video, and voice services. Cable One serves residential and business consumers in the United States.

FUJI MEDIA HOLDINGS, INC., a member of the Fuji-Sankei Group, produces and broadcasts a variety of television programs and sells commercial spots through a network system.  The Company is advancing into digital satellite broadcasting.

KADOKAWA DWANGO CORP is a holding company established through the merger of DWAN GO and KADOKAWA. The company publishes a variety of books and magazines as well as produces movies and videos.  KADOKAWA DWANGO CORP also develops and makes int ernet communication tools for cellular phones.

Cinemark Holdings, Inc. operates movie theaters.  The Company operates in the United States and Latin America.

CyberAgent, Inc. operates blog media website, Ameba.  The Company also operates internet advertising agency, foreign exchange trading website, and creates PC and mobile contents such as advertisements and games. CyberAgent invests in companies with internet related business.

HAKUHODO DY HOLDINGS INCORPORATED is a holding company established through the merger of Hakuhodo Inc., Daiko Advertising Inc., and Yomiko Advertising Inc. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides comprehensive advertising services.

TEGNA Inc. is an international broadcasting and digital media company. The Company owns and operates television and radio stations, delivering news and informative content. TEGNA also provides digital marketing solutions in the automotive, human capital and digital marketing industries for individuals and businesses.

TOEI ANIMATION CO., LTD. plans and produces animated cartoon movies.  The Company also grants broadcasting rights and licenses for other companies to produce and sell the animated characters' merchandise.  Toei Animation stages its own promotional shows and events to advertise movies.

Telenet Group Holding NV provides telephone and internet services through a network of fiber-optic and coaxial cable.  The company offers customized packages to businesses and individual clients in Belgium.

CLOUD VILLAGE INC operates as a music company. The Company develops a leading online music paltform which provides community centric online music services, social entertainment services, and other services. Cloud Village provides its services throughout China.

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Cloud Village (9899 HK)

Cloud Music (9899 HK) - Solid Core Music Business and Margin Expansion Outlook

Cloud Music announced FY23 financial results: total revenue dropped by 13% YoY to RMB7.87bn in FY23, in line with our/consensus estimate.

CMB International

Cloud Village IPO Lock-Up - Selling the PE Stock (US$350m) Might Solve the Liquidity Issues

Cloud Village Inc. (CVI), also known as NetEase Music, raised around US$420m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 21. Investors will be released from their...

Sumeet Singh

Cloud Music (9899 HK) – 1H23 Earnings Beat on Strong GPM Expansion

Adjusted net income was RMB332mn in 1H23 (1H22: net loss of RMB217mn), beating consensus estimate of RMB96mn, primarily due to the enhanced GPM...

CMB International

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

There could be nearly 80 adds/deletes for the HSCI in September. That will trigger changes to the Southbound Stock Connect list and increase flows...

Brian Freitas

Internet - 1Q24 recap & our three stock-picking ideas

Year to date, the internet sector has pulled back after rapid rallies buoyed by improved sentiment and short-term fund inflows, in line with our...

CMB International

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