Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yuexiu-property-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18097:1" rel="noopener">Yuexiu Property (123 HK)</a> Rights start trading today. Last day is next Monday. There is a general pattern to the flows and it behooves investors to be aware.</li>
<li>There is a pattern to these trades which is worth understanding.</li>
<li>In this case, I expect it is worth going long Yuexiu Rights vs Short peer basket equity earlier in the cycle.</li>
</ul>


The Yuexiu Property (123 HK) Rights start trading today. Last day is next Monday. There is a general pattern to the flows and it behooves investors to be aware.
There is a pattern to these trades which is worth understanding.
In this case, I expect it is worth going long Yuexiu Rights vs Short peer basket equity earlier in the cycle.


European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Civitas Social Housing PLC / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Property developer/investor CK Asset Holdings made a 80p/share (+1.425p dividend) cash takeover offer for value-destroyer Civitas Social Housing REIT, implied equity value £485million, 44% premium and 26.7% discount to NAV.</li>
<li>Before offer announcement, Civitas traded at 50% discount to NAV, 8.1% dividend yield (covered &lt;1x). Although my fair value estimate (dividend discount model) is 83p, shareholders will likely cash in.</li>
<li>Spread is 1.26%/3.91% (gross/annualised, assuming all payments by 11 September for simplicity). Readacross: Triple Point (SOHO LN), at 49% discount/NAV, 10.1% dividend yield (covered 0.92x), could also be a target.</li>
</ul>


Property developer/investor CK Asset Holdings made a 80p/share (+1.425p dividend) cash takeover offer for value-destroyer Civitas Social Housing REIT, implied equity value £485million, 44% premium and 26.7% discount to NAV.
Before offer announcement, Civitas traded at 50% discount to NAV, 8.1% dividend yield (covered &lt;1x). Although my fair value estimate (dividend discount model) is 83p, shareholders will likely cash in.
Spread is 1.26%/3.91% (gross/annualised, assuming all payments by 11 September for simplicity). Readacross: Triple Point (SOHO LN), at 49% discount/NAV, 10.1% dividend yield (covered 0.92x), could also be a target.


CK Asset Holdings/Civitas Social Housing: Recommended Offer

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on May 12th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK), Haier Smart Home (6690 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on May 12th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK), Haier Smart Home (6690 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 12th): Aia, China Mengniu Dairy, Haier Smart Home

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on May 5th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK), Esr (1821 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on May 5th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK), Esr (1821 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 5th): Aia, China Mengniu Dairy, ESR

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Apr 28th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK), Ck Asset (1113 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Aia (1299 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Apr 28th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK), Ck Asset (1113 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Aia (1299 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Apr 28th): Aia, Swire Pacific, Ck Asset

Hong Kong

The Wharf (Holdings) Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops and invests in real estate properties. The Company also owns and manages hotels and operates logistics business. In addition, the Wharf operates telecommunication business, cable television, and Internet-related businesses.

Henderson Land Development Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops, invests in, and manages properties. The Company also provides project management, construction, and finance services. In addition, Henderson Land Development operates department stores, hotels, and infrastructure business.

China Overseas Land & Investment Limited provides real estate services. The Company develops, manages, and invests in commercial properties. China Overseas Land & Investment serves customers globally.

China Overseas Land & Investment (688 HK)

Swire Properties Limited develops and manages commercial, retail, and residential properties. The Company's investment portfolio includes office and retail premises, and serviced apartments and other residential accommodation.

Hongkong Land is a major listed property investment, management and development group. 

The Group owns and manages more than 850,000 sq. m. of prime office and luxury retail property in key Asian cities, principally in Hong Kong, Singapore, Beijing and Jakarta.  The Group also has a number of high quality residential, commercial, and mixed-use projects under development in cities across Greater China and Southeast Asia.  In Singapore, its subsidiary, MCL Land, is a well-established residential developer.  

Hongkong Land Holdings Limited is incorporated in Bermuda and has a standard listing on the London Stock Exchange, with secondary listings in Bermuda and Singapore.  The Group’s assets and investments are managed from Hong Kong by Hongkong Land Limited.  Hongkong Land is a member of the Jardine Matheson Group.

Sino Land Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops and invests in properties, trades and invests in securities, and provides financing services. The Company also operates hotels and provides building management services.

Swire Pacific Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, focuses on real estate, aviation, beverage, industrial, marine services, trading, and industrial businesses. Swire Pacific operates worldwide.

Tsim Sha Tsui Properties Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops, invests in, and sells properties.  The Company also provides management services, operates hotels, trades securities, and provides financing services.

Hang Lung Properties Limited, through its subsidiaries, invests in, develops, and manages properties. The Company also manages parking lots. Hang Lung Properties serves customers in Hong Kong.

SM Prime Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, is engaged in residential property, shopping malls, offices, hotels and convention centers development.

Ayala Land is the largest property developer in the Philippines with a track record in developing large-scale, integrated, mixed-use, and sustainable estates. It offers a balanced and complementary mix of residential developments, shopping centers, offices, hotels and resorts, construction, property management and strategic investments.

DAIWA HOUSE INDUSTRY CO., LTD. designs and builds residential, commercial, and institutional buildings.  The Company constructs single-family houses, collective housings, condominiums, stores, office buildings, factories, and hospitals. DAIWA HOUSE INDUSTRY also operates real estate businesses. The Company, through its subsidiaries, manages hotels and golf country clubs.

Sumitomo Realty & Development Co., Ltd. develops, manages, and sells houses and condominiums.  The Company also develops and manages real estates in overseas. Sumitomo Realty & Development undertakes infrastructure projects, manages real estate properties, and provides financing services to its customers.  The Company operates fitness clubs and restaurants as well.

Godrej Properties, Ltd. is a real estate development company.

Oberoi Realty LTD., is a real estate development company operating in Mumbai, focused on premium developments. The Company's main focus is residential projects but they also have a diversified portfolio of projects covering segments of the real estate market, which target the upper end of the respective income or market segment.

Longfor Properties Co. Ltd. operates in the property development, property investment and property management businesses in China.

Poly Real Estate Group Co., Ltd. mainly develops and sells residential homes. The company is also in the business of leasing and rental of real estates, and property management.

Poly Real Estate Group Co., Ltd (600048 CH)

Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated provides real estate and investment management services.  The Company serves multinationals, corporations, institutions, occupiers, and investors from offices in markets located around the world. Jones Lang provides services such as tenant representation, property management, agency leasing, finance, and valuations.

Phoenix Mills Ltd. is engaged, directly and through its subsidiaries and investments in the business of ownership, management, and development of large-format retail-led mixed use properties. The Company's properties include shopping, entertainment, commercial, residential, and hospitality properties. Phoenix Mills owns and operates High Street Phoenix Center in Mumbai.

CK Asset Holdings Limited operates real estate businesses. The Company provides real estate development, leasing, marketing, property management, and hotel serviced suite services domestically and internationally. CK Asset Holdings also operates real estate investment trust, aircraft leasing, and assets management businesses.

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CK Asset Holdings (1113 HK)

Yuexiu Rights - The Trading Pattern Fits

Yuexiu Property (123 HK) Rights are trading today. The stock is trading down, as expected, as those who do not wish to re-up sell their rights. I...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 12th): Aia, China Mengniu Dairy, Haier Smart Home

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Aia (1299 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 5th): Aia, China Mengniu Dairy, ESR

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Aia (1299 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Apr 28th): Aia, Swire Pacific, Ck Asset

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Aia (1299 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Yuexiu Rights - The Trading Pattern Fits

Yuexiu Property (123 HK) Rights are trading today. The stock is trading down, as expected, as those who do not wish to re-up sell their rights. I...

Travis Lundy

CK Asset Holdings/Civitas Social Housing: Recommended Offer

CK Asset Holdings made a 80p/share cash takeover offer for value-destroyer Civitas Social Housing. Before announcement, Civitas traded at 50%...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 12th): Aia, China Mengniu Dairy, Haier Smart Home

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Aia (1299 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 5th): Aia, China Mengniu Dairy, ESR

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Aia (1299 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Apr 28th): Aia, Swire Pacific, Ck Asset

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Aia (1299 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM