Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3><table class="table table-striped"><tbody><tr><td style="width: 221.25px;"> </td><td style="width: 170.797px;">SUN</td><td style="width: 166.969px;">ALLT</td><td style="width: 166.984px;">SSREIT</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 221.25px;">Period</td><td style="width: 170.797px;">1H21</td><td style="width: 166.969px;">2Q21</td><td style="width: 166.984px;">1H21</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 221.25px;">Gross Revenue (S$ m)</td><td style="width: 170.797px;">166.8 (+11.6% YoY)</td><td style="width: 166.969px;">35.4 (+22.1% YoY)</td><td style="width: 166.984px;">39.1 (+14.1% YoY)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 221.25px;">NPI (S$ m)</td><td style="width: 170.797px;">112.6 (+23.9% YoY)</td><td style="width: 166.969px;">30.5 (+39.2% YoY)</td><td style="width: 166.984px;">25.7 (+23.2% YoY)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 221.25px;">DPU (S$ c)</td><td style="width: 170.797px;">4.154 (+26.1% YoY)</td><td style="width: 166.969px;">1.217 (-8.2% YoY)</td><td style="width: 166.984px;">1.48 (+214.9% YoY)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 221.25px;">NAV per Unit (S$)</td><td style="width: 170.797px;">2.062</td><td style="width: 166.969px;">0.67</td><td style="width: 166.984px;">0.52</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 221.25px;">P/B (x)</td><td style="width: 170.797px;">0.71</td><td style="width: 166.969px;">1.30</td><td style="width: 166.984px;">0.82</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 221.25px;">Occupancy (%)</td><td style="width: 170.797px;">2Q21:93.8 (SG Retail)92.1 (SG Office)93.9 (AU Office)100 (UK Office)</td><td style="width: 166.969px;">2Q21:98.2</td><td style="width: 166.984px;">1H21:83.4</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 221.25px;">Reversion (%)</td><td style="width: 170.797px;">2Q21:+2.1 (Suntec City Office)-7.2 (Suntec City Mall)</td><td style="width: 166.969px;">1H21:+2.4</td><td style="width: 166.984px;">1H21:+11.8</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 221.25px;">Gearing (%)</td><td style="width: 170.797px;">43.1</td><td style="width: 166.969px;">39.5</td><td style="width: 166.984px;">34.9</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 221.25px;">Cost of Debt (%)</td><td style="width: 170.797px;">2.41</td><td style="width: 166.969px;">2.92</td><td style="width: 166.984px;">3.4</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 221.25px;">1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)</td><td style="width: 170.797px;">5.85</td><td style="width: 166.969px;">5.98</td><td style="width: 166.984px;">6.74</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 221.25px;">Debt Hedged (%)</td><td style="width: 170.797px;">64</td><td style="width: 166.969px;">65.8</td><td style="width: 166.984px;">60.4</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 221.25px;">Target Price</td><td style="width: 170.797px;">N/A</td><td style="width: 166.969px;">N/A</td><td style="width: 166.984px;">N/A</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 221.25px;">Rating</td><td style="width: 170.797px;">N/A</td><td style="width: 166.969px;">N/A</td><td style="width: 166.984px;">N/A</td></tr></tbody></table>

SingaporeSREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached) SUNALLTSSREITPeriod1H212Q211H21Gross Revenue (S$ m)166.8 (+11.6% YoY)35.4 (+22.1% YoY)39.1 (+14.1% YoY)NPI (S$ m)112.6 (+23.9% YoY)30.5 (+39.2% YoY)25.7 (+23.2% YoY)DPU (S$ c)4.154 (+26.1% YoY)1.217 (-8.2% YoY)1.48 (+214.9% YoY)NAV per Unit (S$)2.0620.670.52P/B (x)0.711.300.82Occupancy (%)2Q21:93.8 (SG Retail)92.1 (SG Office)93.9 (AU Office)100 (UK Office)2Q21:98.21H21:83.4Reversion (%)2Q21:+2.1 (Suntec City Office)-7.2 (Suntec City Mall)1H21:+2.41H21:+11.8Gearing (%)43.139.534.9Cost of Debt (%)2.412.923.41 Yr Fwd Yield (%)5.855.986.74Debt Hedged (%)6465.860.4Target PriceN/AN/AN/ARatingN/AN/AN/A

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (22Jul21) - SUN Office Portfolio Offset Retail Weakness

Forensic Analyst

Jason Yap, CFA

Forensic Accounting

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/city-developments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:57:1" rel="noopener">City Developments (CIT SP)</a> wrote off a majority of its investments in Sincere Property and had pledged to “ring-fence” its financial exposures.  While it has taken decisive steps to stem the bleeding from the beleaguered China unit, the situation remains complex and highly fluid.  This article sets out a preliminary assessment of CDL's stated exposures compared to true underlying risks, key transactions and partner backgrounds, an outline of China's bankruptcy proceedings, and an indicative roadmap for a broader recovery.

City Developments (CIT SP) wrote off a majority of its investments in Sincere Property and had pledged to “ring-fence” its financial exposures.  While it has taken decisive steps to stem the bleeding from the beleaguered China unit, the situation remains complex and highly fluid.  This article sets out a preliminary assessment of CDL's stated exposures compared to true underlying risks, key transactions and partner backgrounds, an outline of China's bankruptcy proceedings, and an indicative roadmap for a broader recovery. 

CDL - Remedies for a Beleaguered Chinese Investment and Belligerent JV Partner

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/city-developments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:57" rel="noopener">City Developments (CIT SP)</a> will not support Sincere Property’s financial obligations; Remaining exposure at S$126m</h3>CIT was made aware of the bankruptcy claim filed by Beijing Yi He Mercury Investment Co Ltd against Sincere Property on 5Jul. CIT reiterated that it has ring-fenced its current financial exposure to its investment in Sincere Property and will not support the continuing financial obligations of Sincere Property. In Feb21, CIT booked a substantial impairment loss of S$1.78bn on its investment in China-based Sincere, which dragged the group into a net loss of S$1.92bn in 2H20. CIT's remaining exposure amounts to only S$126m as at 31Dec20.

SingaporeCity Developments (CIT SP) will not support Sincere Property’s financial obligations; Remaining exposure at S$126mCIT was made aware of the bankruptcy claim filed by Beijing Yi He Mercury Investment Co Ltd against Sincere Property on 5Jul. CIT reiterated that it has ring-fenced its current financial exposure to its investment in Sincere Property and will not support the continuing financial obligations of Sincere Property. In Feb21, CIT booked a substantial impairment loss of S$1.78bn on its investment in China-based Sincere, which dragged the group into a net loss of S$1.92bn in 2H20. CIT's remaining exposure amounts to only S$126m as at 31Dec20.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (9Jul21) - CIT Remaining Exposure S$126m at Sincere Property

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ascendas-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39" rel="noopener">Ascendas Real Estate Investment Trust (AREIT SP)</a> to divest three properties in Australia for ~4.1% NPI yield (BUY; TP S$3.55/unit)</h3>AREIT will divest three logistics properties in Australia for a total of AUD125.1m (S$128.7m). The sale price is ~16.8% higher than the total market valuations of the properties of AUD101.1m as at 31Dec20. The divestments are expected to be completed by 3Q21. AREIT had entered into two separate agreements with unrelated purchasers for the sale of two logistics properties (82 Noosa Street and 62 Stradbroke Street) in Brisbane; and one logistics property (1314 Ferntree Gully Road) in Melbourne. Assuming the divestments were completed on 1Jan20, the annualised proforma impact on AREIT’s NPI would have been a decrease of S$5.1m and DPU would have fallen by S$0.075c for FY20. Net proceeds after divestment costs are expected to be S$124.0m. If the net proceeds were used to repay AREIT’s borrowings as at 31Mar, its gearing will be reduced from 38% to around 37.5%. Post-divestment, AREIT will own 95 properties in Singapore, 34 properties in Australia, 30 properties in the US and 49 properties in the UK/Europe. <table class="table table-striped"><tbody><tr><td style="width: 59.3438px;">Asset</td><td style="width: 48.4375px;">Asset Type</td><td style="width: 45.9375px;">FY20 Gross Revenue</td><td style="width: 59.5781px;">NLA as at 31Dec20</td><td style="width: 59.5625px;">Occupancy as at 31Dec20</td><td style="width: 60.6406px;">Acquisition Date</td><td style="width: 60.6406px;">Acquisition Price</td><td style="width: 101.734px;">Valuation as at 31Dec20(A$1.000:S$0.980)</td><td style="width: 94.9219px;">Sale Price(A$1.00:S$1.029)</td><td style="width: 63.7188px;">Buyer</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 59.3438px;">82 Noosa Street, Brisbane, Australia</td><td style="width: 48.4375px;">Logistics</td><td style="width: 45.9375px;">S$3.3m</td><td style="width: 59.5781px;">38,000sqm</td><td style="width: 59.5625px;">100%</td><td style="width: 60.6406px;">Oct15</td><td style="width: 60.6406px;">S$66.0m</td><td style="width: 101.734px;">A$53.0m (S$51.9m)</td><td rowspan="2" style="width: 94.9219px;">A$101.6m (S$104.5m)or A$1,624psqm</td><td rowspan="2" style="width: 63.7188px;">SIRE (Strategic Industrial Real Estate), an Arrow Capital Partners vehicle in cooperation with Altis Property Partners</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 59.3438px;">62 Stradbroke Street, Brisbane, Australia</td><td style="width: 48.4375px;">Logistics</td><td style="width: 45.9375px;">S$2.6m</td><td style="width: 59.5781px;">24,555sqm</td><td style="width: 59.5625px;">100%</td><td style="width: 60.6406px;">Oct15</td><td style="width: 60.6406px;">S$35.9m</td><td style="width: 101.734px;">A$37.4m (S$36.7m)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 59.3438px;">1314 Ferntree Gully Road, Melbourne, Australia</td><td style="width: 48.4375px;">Logistics</td><td style="width: 45.9375px;">S$0.5m</td><td style="width: 59.5781px;">16,134sqm</td><td style="width: 59.5625px;">100%</td><td style="width: 60.6406px;">Jun18</td><td style="width: 60.6406px;">S$16.4m</td><td style="width: 101.734px;">A$16.6m (S$16.3m)</td><td style="width: 94.9219px;">A$23.5m (S$24.2m)or A$1,500psqm</td><td style="width: 63.7188px;">China Tube Pty Ltd and Haelram Pty Ltd</td></tr><tr><td colspan="2" style="width: 128.781px;">TOTAL</td><td style="width: 45.9375px;">S$6.4m</td><td style="width: 59.5781px;"> </td><td style="width: 59.5625px;"> </td><td style="width: 60.6406px;"> </td><td style="width: 60.6406px;">S$118.3m</td><td style="width: 101.734px;">A$107.1m (S$104.9m)</td><td style="width: 94.9219px;">A$125.1m (S$128.7m)</td><td style="width: 63.7188px;"> </td></tr></tbody></table>Comments:<ul><li>Taking reference from FY20 AUS Portfolio NPI Margin of 79.0%, the blended NPI yield based on S$128.7m Sale Price would be ~3.9%. Note that comparing the exchange rate adopted for Sale Price vs. Valuation as at 31Dec20, the AUD has strengthen ~5%. Using the 31Dec20 exchange rate, the blended NPI yield would be ~4.1%. Together with its recent divestment of 11 Changi North Way (at S$16.0m), AREIT would have a total divestment proceeds S$144.7m and booking total S$33.8m divestment gain</li><li>Moving forward, we expect AREIT’s DPU to be propelled by both organic and inorganic growth while it reconstitute its portfolio. Notwithstanding the S$1.19bn worth of acquisitions in 1Q21 (estimated to be 1.5% DPU accretive) and the acquisition of remaining 75% of Galaxis (estimated to be 0.40% DPU accretive), the new BTS business park development for Grab as well as UBIX redevelopment (formerly 25 &amp; 27 Ubi Road 4) should start contributing by 2H21 (expected to add S$14.2m to NPI on a full-year basis at 6.4%-7.5% NPI yields)</li><li>We believe AREIT remains in a virtuous cycle of growth. The S$420.0m EFR exercise in 4May21 as well as repayment debt utilizing the divestment proceeds should lower its gearing. With greater financial flexibility, relatively low cost of equity and low interest rate environment, AREIT has further scope for inorganic growth. We have a BUY rating with TP of S$3.55/Unit.</li></ul>

SingaporeAscendas Real Estate Investment Trust (AREIT SP) to divest three properties in Australia for ~4.1% NPI yield (BUY; TP S$3.55/unit)AREIT will divest three logistics properties in Australia for a total of AUD125.1m (S$128.7m). The sale price is ~16.8% higher than the total market valuations of the properties of AUD101.1m as at 31Dec20. The divestments are expected to be completed by 3Q21. AREIT had entered into two separate agreements with unrelated purchasers for the sale of two logistics properties (82 Noosa Street and 62 Stradbroke Street) in Brisbane; and one logistics property (1314 Ferntree Gully Road) in Melbourne. Assuming the divestments were completed on 1Jan20, the annualised proforma impact on AREIT’s NPI would have been a decrease of S$5.1m and DPU would have fallen by S$0.075c for FY20. Net proceeds after divestment costs are expected to be S$124.0m. If the net proceeds were used to repay AREIT’s borrowings as at 31Mar, its gearing will be reduced from 38% to around 37.5%. Post-divestment, AREIT will own 95 properties in Singapore, 34 properties in Australia, 30 properties in the US and 49 properties in the UK/Europe. AssetAsset TypeFY20 Gross RevenueNLA as at 31Dec20Occupancy as at 31Dec20Acquisition DateAcquisition PriceValuation as at 31Dec20(A$1.000:S$0.980)Sale Price(A$1.00:S$1.029)Buyer82 Noosa Street, Brisbane, AustraliaLogisticsS$3.3m38,000sqm100%Oct15S$66.0mA$53.0m (S$51.9m)A$101.6m (S$104.5m)or A$1,624psqmSIRE (Strategic Industrial Real Estate), an Arrow Capital Partners vehicle in cooperation with Altis Property Partners62 Stradbroke Street, Brisbane, AustraliaLogisticsS$2.6m24,555sqm100%Oct15S$35.9mA$37.4m (S$36.7m)1314 Ferntree Gully Road, Melbourne, AustraliaLogisticsS$0.5m16,134sqm100%Jun18S$16.4mA$16.6m (S$16.3m)A$23.5m (S$24.2m)or A$1,500psqmChina Tube Pty Ltd and Haelram Pty LtdTOTALS$6.4m   S$118.3mA$107.1m (S$104.9m)A$125.1m (S$128.7m) Comments:Taking reference from FY20 AUS Portfolio NPI Margin of 79.0%, the blended NPI yield based on S$128.7m Sale Price would be ~3.9%. Note that comparing the exchange rate adopted for Sale Price vs. Valuation as at 31Dec20, the AUD has strengthen ~5%. Using the 31Dec20 exchange rate, the blended NPI yield would be ~4.1%. Together with its recent divestment of 11 Changi North Way (at S$16.0m), AREIT would have a total divestment proceeds S$144.7m and booking total S$33.8m divestment gainMoving forward, we expect AREIT’s DPU to be propelled by both organic and inorganic growth while it reconstitute its portfolio. Notwithstanding the S$1.19bn worth of acquisitions in 1Q21 (estimated to be 1.5% DPU accretive) and the acquisition of remaining 75% of Galaxis (estimated to be 0.40% DPU accretive), the new BTS business park development for Grab as well as UBIX redevelopment (formerly 25 &amp; 27 Ubi Road 4) should start contributing by 2H21 (expected to add S$14.2m to NPI on a full-year basis at 6.4%-7.5% NPI yields)We believe AREIT remains in a virtuous cycle of growth. The S$420.0m EFR exercise in 4May21 as well as repayment debt utilizing the divestment proceeds should lower its gearing. With greater financial flexibility, relatively low cost of equity and low interest rate environment, AREIT has further scope for inorganic growth. We have a BUY rating with TP of S$3.55/Unit.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (4Jun21) - AREIT Divesting 3 AUS Props for ~4.1% Yield

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a> to acquire HP Tokyo HQ building for S$474.7m; DPU accretive by +2.4%</h3><ul><li>MAGIC has entered into an agreement to buy 98.47% effective interest in a freehold single-tenanted office building in Tokyo at an agreed property value of JPY38.8bn (S$474.7m). The property is now used as Hewlett-Packard Japan headquarters from Hulic Co, an unrelated third party vendor. The balance effective interest of 1.53% in the property will be held by Mapletree Investments Japan Kabushiki Kaisha, an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of Mapletree Investments, MAGIC’s sponsor</li><li>The property is 100% leased to Hewlett-Packard Japan and has a lease expiry of 8.8 years. The AUM of the enlarged portfolio will stand at S$8.4bn, or an increase of 6% from existing portfolio of S$7.9bn. Contribution from Japan will increase from 16.6% to 21.3% by AUM, or an increase from 22.4% to 26.7% by NPI</li><li>MAGIC intends to finance the purchase and relevant costs through a combination of debt financing and issuance of perpetual securities. The estimated NPI yield is 3.7%. On a FY21 pro-forma basis, the acquisition is expected to be DPU accretive by +2.4%</li><li>Aggregate leverage post acquisition is expected to be 41.9%, up marginally from 41.5%. Completion is subject to the conditions being fulfilled and is expected to take place by 30Jun.</li></ul><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/210/110/original/image003.png?1622425518" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="210110"></figure></section>

SingaporeMapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP) to acquire HP Tokyo HQ building for S$474.7m; DPU accretive by +2.4%MAGIC has entered into an agreement to buy 98.47% effective interest in a freehold single-tenanted office building in Tokyo at an agreed property value of JPY38.8bn (S$474.7m). The property is now used as Hewlett-Packard Japan headquarters from Hulic Co, an unrelated third party vendor. The balance effective interest of 1.53% in the property will be held by Mapletree Investments Japan Kabushiki Kaisha, an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of Mapletree Investments, MAGIC’s sponsorThe property is 100% leased to Hewlett-Packard Japan and has a lease expiry of 8.8 years. The AUM of the enlarged portfolio will stand at S$8.4bn, or an increase of 6% from existing portfolio of S$7.9bn. Contribution from Japan will increase from 16.6% to 21.3% by AUM, or an increase from 22.4% to 26.7% by NPIMAGIC intends to finance the purchase and relevant costs through a combination of debt financing and issuance of perpetual securities. The estimated NPI yield is 3.7%. On a FY21 pro-forma basis, the acquisition is expected to be DPU accretive by +2.4%Aggregate leverage post acquisition is expected to be 41.9%, up marginally from 41.5%. Completion is subject to the conditions being fulfilled and is expected to take place by 30Jun.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (31May21) - MAGIC Acquires HP Tokyo HQ Building

Singapore

City Developments Limited is a property developer and owner. The Company, through its subsidiaries, are principally engaged in the investment of properties and shares, property management, project management and the provision of consultancy services, hospitality-related information technology, and procurement services. City Developments has a global presence.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

City Developments (CIT SP)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (22Jul21) - SUN Office Portfolio Offset Retail Weakness

SUN office portfolio offset retail weakness; ALLT boosted by AUS acquisitions; SSREIT robust operational metrics; CIT extends tenant support; FILRT...

SCCM Asia Research

CDL - Remedies for a Beleaguered Chinese Investment and Belligerent JV Partner

CDL wrote off its investment in Sincere Property and looks to turn the page. This article examines how this can be done with regard to risks, China...

Jason Yap, CFA

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (9Jul21) - CIT Remaining Exposure S$126m at Sincere Property

CIT remaining exposure S$126m at Sincere Property; HDB resale prices ~1.7% away from peak; DD/JFC first and largest industrial REIT in Phils; LPKR...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (4Jun21) - AREIT Divesting 3 AUS Props for ~4.1% Yield

AREIT divesting 3 AUS props for ~4.1% yield; CIT plans UK-backed SREIT IPO; Hilton Orchard undergoing rebranding; SG bungalow prices reaching new...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (31May21) - MAGIC Acquires HP Tokyo HQ Building

MAGIC acquires HP Tokyo HQ building; CIT is not pressured to sell assets; Keppel Land expands in HCM; Indo 1Q21 resi sales +14% YoY; EAST dips back...

SCCM Asia Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)