Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<figure class="editor-figure">Moderation likely but it ain't over yet<img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/005/034/original/Tank%20Price%20Performance.JPG?1453075386" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="5034"></figure> Source: Bloomberg, DMER<ul>
<li>The uptrend in share prices that started in the tail end of FY14 continued in 2015 mainly on prospects of improved profitability of companies in a demand-driven market. The market capitalisation of DMER’s tanker shipping index moved up by ~USD 1.8bn because of the upsurge in stock prices and generated a return of ~27% during the year.</li>
<li>
Nordic American Tanker enjoyed the benefits of full exposure to the spot market as day rates remained…</li>
</ul>

Moderation likely but it ain't over yet Source: Bloomberg, DMER
The uptrend in share prices that started in the tail end of FY14 continued in 2015 mainly on prospects of improved profitability of companies in a demand-driven market. The market capitalisation of DMER’s tanker shipping index moved up by ~USD 1.8bn because of the upsurge in stock prices and generated a return of ~27% during the year.

Nordic American Tanker enjoyed the benefits of full exposure to the spot market as day rates remained…


Tanker Shipping-2016 - Moderation Likely but It Ain't over Yet, The Preferred Investment In Shipping

2015: Investors catch a falling knife disguised as pocket of value<img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/004/981/original/Price%20Performance.JPG?1452658223" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="4981"> Source: Bloomberg, DMER<ul>
<li>Investors suffered massive wealth erosion in 2015, as share prices of dry bulk companies kept tumbling during the year. DMER’s shipping index, which is based on the market cap of leading dry bulk companies, was down ~43% in 2015.</li>
<li>
Dry bulk owners were confronted with weak shipping demand because of the slowdown in Chinese economy, which resulted in huge losses. BDI touched record lows of 415 at the onset of…</li>
</ul>

2015: Investors catch a falling knife disguised as pocket of value Source: Bloomberg, DMER
Investors suffered massive wealth erosion in 2015, as share prices of dry bulk companies kept tumbling during the year. DMER’s shipping index, which is based on the market cap of leading dry bulk companies, was down ~43% in 2015.

Dry bulk owners were confronted with weak shipping demand because of the slowdown in Chinese economy, which resulted in huge losses. BDI touched record lows of 415 at the onset of…


Dry Bulk Shipping - 2016 - Falling Knife Disguised as Pocket of Value ?

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

As a response to my note yesterday on where we are in energy's long bottoming out process, we had a good long reply from a long time energy transport industry executive, who kindly shared his feedback and insight. Further detailed below.&nbsp;

As a response to my note yesterday on where we are in energy's long bottoming out process, we had a good long reply from a long time energy transport industry executive, who kindly shared his feedback and insight. Further detailed below.&nbsp;

Further Insight on History of Big Misses in Oil and Energy (Long Response)

The Horrible Very Bad Day for MLPs and Energy... The Story ContinuesThe rebound/sell-off pattern is exactly as expected so far. The amplitudes appear a little greater than anticipated, but on the whole they are not surprising given the years of commodities rallies we experienced on the back of China and easy central bank money. Back on 29 Sept in my note &ldquo;Commodities: The Harder They Come, The Harder They Fall...&rdquo; the main message was be ready to trade the carnage, within an overall classic pattern. This followed an earlier note on the Horrible things that awaited MLPs I wrote back around 6 August.We got these trades, and flagged the trimming of positions that was needed in some of the names we picked. In August it made sense to expect that MLPs were looking bad and we should wait for blood on the streets. And we saw panic selling again in September before rebounds... and in the last week-- sheer panic selling. What follows is a quick review of issues/drivers, especially lessons we have seen in past, and what we can expect going forward.

The Horrible Very Bad Day for MLPs and Energy... The Story ContinuesThe rebound/sell-off pattern is exactly as expected so far. The amplitudes appear a little greater than anticipated, but on the whole they are not surprising given the years of commodities rallies we experienced on the back of China and easy central bank money. Back on 29 Sept in my note &ldquo;Commodities: The Harder They Come, The Harder They Fall...&rdquo; the main message was be ready to trade the carnage, within an overall classic pattern. This followed an earlier note on the Horrible things that awaited MLPs I wrote back around 6 August.We got these trades, and flagged the trimming of positions that was needed in some of the names we picked. In August it made sense to expect that MLPs were looking bad and we should wait for blood on the streets. And we saw panic selling again in September before rebounds... and in the last week-- sheer panic selling. What follows is a quick review of issues/drivers, especially lessons we have seen in past, and what we can expect going forward.

Understanding the Trading Pattern in Energy Related (And the Poor Industry Forecasting Skills)

Our theme has been to expect some mergers in container equipment and transport equipment owners. NOL and Chinese carriers are also exploring options, as discussed in last few months. But today we have a live deal between Triton and TAL Int'l Group which will create the largest container lessor through a "merger of equals". Let's review a few more points and issues.

Our theme has been to expect some mergers in container equipment and transport equipment owners. NOL and Chinese carriers are also exploring options, as discussed in last few months. But today we have a live deal between Triton and TAL Int'l Group which will create the largest container lessor through a "merger of equals". Let's review a few more points and issues.

Container Equipment Mergers Here: TAL Int'l to Merge with Triton

United States

Waste Connections, Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste collection services for commercial, industrial and residential customers. The Company offers collection, landfill disposal, and recycling services for various recyclable materials, including compost, cardboard, office paper, plastic containers, glass bottles, and ferrous and aluminum metals.

Waste Management, Inc. provides waste management services including collection, transfer, recycling, resource recovery and disposal services, and operates waste-to-energy facilities.  The Company serves municipal, commercial, industrial, and residential customers throughout North America.

Rollins, Inc., through its subsidiary, Orkin Exterminating Company, Inc., provides essential pest control services.  The Company also provides protection against termite damage, rodents, and insects.  Rollins serves customers in the United States, Canada, and Mexico.

Copart, Inc. provides vehicle suppliers, primarily insurance companies, with a variety of services to process and sell salvage vehicles through auctions. Salvaged vehicles are primarily sold to licensed dismantlers, rebuilders, and used vehicle dealers.

Republic Services, Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste collection and disposal services in the United States.  The Company provides solid waste collection services for commercial, industrial, municipal, and residential customers.  Republic also operates transfer stations, landfills, and recycling facilities.

Clean Harbors, Inc. provides a variety of environmental remediation and industrial waste management services to customers in the United States and Puerto Rico.  The Company's services include treatment and disposal of hazardous and non-hazardous solid and liquid waste, surface remediation, groundwater restoration, waste packaging, as well as analytical testing and consulting.

Tetra Tech, Inc. provides specialized management consulting and technical services primarily in resource management, infrastructure, and communications. The Company's clients include a diverse base of public and private sector organizations.  Tetra Tech operates offices in the United States and internationally.

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. provides integrated, non-hazardous solid waste services throughout the eastern United States.  The Company provides collection, transfer, disposal, and recycling services, generates steam, and manufactures finished products utilizing recyclable materials primarily throughout the eastern portion of the United States.

MSA Safety Incorporated develops, manufactures, and supplies safety products that protect people and facility infrastructures. The Company's core products include self-contained breathing apparatus, fixed gas and flame detection systems, portable gas detection instruments, head protection, and fall protection products. MSA Safety markets its products worldwide.

The Brink's Company provides security services globally.  The Company provides secure transportation, cash logistics and other security-related services to banks and financial institutions, retailers, government agencies, mints, jewelers and other commercial operations around the world.

Brambles Limited is a global support services group which provides pallet and plastic container pooling services and information management services.

Rentokil Initial plc provides fully integrated facilities management and essential support services to government and commercial sector organisations of all sizes across all business sectors. The Company provides services in pest control, hygiene, workwear, facilities and plants.

RB Global, Inc. provides a marketplace for insights, services, and transaction solutions for commercial assets and vehicles. The Company offers its customers end-to-end transaction solutions for used commercial and other durable assets through its omnichannel platform, which includes auctions, online marketplaces, listing services, and private brokerage services.

SECOM CO., LTD. provides comprehensive security services.  The Company provides on-line centralized security services, home security systems, and home medical services,

Toppan Printing Co., Ltd. is a printing company that provides commercial and publication printing services. The Company also prints securities paper, packaging products, and electronic related products such as photomasks and colorfilters. Toppan Printing also produces inks and operates a text book publication business.

Mineral Resources Ltd. offers contract crushing services to the mining industry in Australia.  The Company serves gold, iron ore, tantalum, and coal companies.

DAI NIPPON PRINTING CO., LTD. offers printing services for commercial and industrial use.  The printing items include information media such as books, periodicals, and text books, wrapping paper and containers, stationeries, and advertising medium.  The Company provides design and production services as well.  Dai Nippon Printing also produces soft drinks including Coca Cola.

YTO Express Group Co., Ltd. provides global express services. The Company also provides general cargo warehousing, domestic air transport agency, car rental, supply chain management, and other related services throughout China..

Edenred offers prepaid vouchers for products and services.  The Company's vouchers for restaurant meals, childcare, and other products and services are used to reward employees and loyal customers.

Cintas Corporation designs, manufactures and implements corporate identity uniform programs.  The Company also provides entrance mats, restroom supplies, promotional products, document management, fire protection, and first aid and safety services.

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Cintas Corp (CTAS US)

Tanker Shipping-2016 - Moderation Likely but It Ain't over Yet, The Preferred Investment In Shipping

Moderation likely but it ain't over yet Source: Bloomberg, DMER The uptrend in share prices that started in the tail end of FY14 continued in 2015...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Dry Bulk Shipping - 2016 - Falling Knife Disguised as Pocket of Value ?

2015: Investors catch a falling knife disguised as pocket of value Source: Bloomberg, DMER Investors suffered massive wealth erosion in 2015, as...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Further Insight on History of Big Misses in Oil and Energy (Long Response)

As a response to my note yesterday on where we are in energy's long bottoming out process, we had a good long reply from a long time energy...

Charles De Trenck

Container Equipment Mergers Here: TAL Int'l to Merge with Triton

Our theme has been to expect some mergers in container equipment and transport equipment owners. NOL and Chinese carriers are also exploring...

Charles De Trenck

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tanker Shipping-2016 - Moderation Likely but It Ain't over Yet, The Preferred Investment In Shipping

Moderation likely but it ain't over yet Source: Bloomberg, DMER The uptrend in share prices that started in the tail end of FY14 continued in 2015...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Dry Bulk Shipping - 2016 - Falling Knife Disguised as Pocket of Value ?

2015: Investors catch a falling knife disguised as pocket of value Source: Bloomberg, DMER Investors suffered massive wealth erosion in 2015, as...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Further Insight on History of Big Misses in Oil and Energy (Long Response)

As a response to my note yesterday on where we are in energy's long bottoming out process, we had a good long reply from a long time energy...

Charles De Trenck

Understanding the Trading Pattern in Energy Related (And the Poor Industry Forecasting Skills)

The Horrible Very Bad Day for MLPs and Energy... The Story ContinuesThe rebound/sell-off pattern is exactly as expected so far. The amplitudes...

Charles De Trenck

Container Equipment Mergers Here: TAL Int'l to Merge with Triton

Our theme has been to expect some mergers in container equipment and transport equipment owners. NOL and Chinese carriers are also exploring...

Charles De Trenck