Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We must recognize the wide variance in credit growth rates across Asian countries</li>
<li>There are critical implications for differences in net interest income growth and profit</li>
<li>Credit metrics also tend to move in tandem with loan growth rates, as does GDP growth</li>
</ul>


We must recognize the wide variance in credit growth rates across Asian countries
There are critical implications for differences in net interest income growth and profit
Credit metrics also tend to move in tandem with loan growth rates, as does GDP growth


Asian Banks - Wide Variance in Credit Growth, and in Delta of Growth Rates in Recent Months

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Among bigger cap GEM banks, we pick five longs and two shorts as our conviction calls; we add country-based equity risk premia to our screening process</li>
<li>Our core buys are Bank Mandiri from Indonesia, Hana Financial from South Korea, CIMB Group from Malaysia, Bradesco from Brazil and CCB from China; four of these are value picks</li>
<li>Our sells are Kotak Mahindra Bank and ICICI Bank from India, both richly valued larger cap banks that have benefited from past economic and political tailwinds with headwinds now emerging</li>
</ul>


Among bigger cap GEM banks, we pick five longs and two shorts as our conviction calls; we add country-based equity risk premia to our screening process
Our core buys are Bank Mandiri from Indonesia, Hana Financial from South Korea, CIMB Group from Malaysia, Bradesco from Brazil and CCB from China; four of these are value picks
Our sells are Kotak Mahindra Bank and ICICI Bank from India, both richly valued larger cap banks that have benefited from past economic and political tailwinds with headwinds now emerging


GEM Banks; Focus on Value Attributes and Returns Recovery Potential

<ul>
<li>Of the six Malaysian banks screened, we keep value play RHB Bank on the buy list and switch our prior CIMB for Maybank</li>
<li>RHB Bank is our top pick for its undemanding PE and PBV whilst being second from top in post-provision profitability; its high CET1 ratio has not held back its ROE</li>
<li>We drop CIMB from the buy list for its weaker credit quality and low NPL coverage; we upgrade quality pick Maybank to buy for its attractive valuations</li>
</ul>


Of the six Malaysian banks screened, we keep value play RHB Bank on the buy list and switch our prior CIMB for Maybank
RHB Bank is our top pick for its undemanding PE and PBV whilst being second from top in post-provision profitability; its high CET1 ratio has not held back its ROE
We drop CIMB from the buy list for its weaker credit quality and low NPL coverage; we upgrade quality pick Maybank to buy for its attractive valuations


Malaysian Banks Screener; RHB Bank and Maybank Are Buys

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dxn-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36030:1" rel="noopener">DXN Holdings (DXN MK)</a> was listed on the Bursa Malaysia Exchange on 19th May 2023. Both promoters and Gano Global (KV Asia Capital), will come off lockup soon.</li>
<li>DXN Holdings (DXN) is a global health-oriented and wellness direct selling company.</li>
<li>Demand for the IPO was lukewarm and the shares had a turbulent debut. Aside from its weak momentum, liquidity on the stock is weak as well. </li>
</ul>



DXN Holdings (DXN MK) was listed on the Bursa Malaysia Exchange on 19th May 2023. Both promoters and Gano Global (KV Asia Capital), will come off lockup soon.
DXN Holdings (DXN) is a global health-oriented and wellness direct selling company.
Demand for the IPO was lukewarm and the shares had a turbulent debut. Aside from its weak momentum, liquidity on the stock is weak as well. 


DXN Holdings Lock-Up - PE Investor Could Sell Further Although Liquidity Is Weak

<ul>
<li>Of the six Malaysian banks screened, we keep value plays <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rhb-bank-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24161:1" rel="noopener">RHB Bank Bhd (RHBBANK MK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimb-group-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:68:1" rel="noopener">CIMB Group Holdings (CIMB MK)</a> on the buy list</li>
<li>RHB Bank is our top pick for its second from top post-provision profitability, for its high CET1 ratio not inhibiting its ROE, and for its undemanding PE and PBV valuations</li>
<li>CIMB remains our deep value pick with its solid CET1 ratio and premium pre-provision returns, despite its weaker credit quality; its modest valuations include a very attractive PEG ratio</li>
</ul>


Of the six Malaysian banks screened, we keep value plays RHB Bank Bhd (RHBBANK MK) and CIMB Group Holdings (CIMB MK) on the buy list
RHB Bank is our top pick for its second from top post-provision profitability, for its high CET1 ratio not inhibiting its ROE, and for its undemanding PE and PBV valuations
CIMB remains our deep value pick with its solid CET1 ratio and premium pre-provision returns, despite its weaker credit quality; its modest valuations include a very attractive PEG ratio


Malaysian Banks Data to June 2023 Screener; Stick with RHB Bank and CIMB

Malaysia

CIMB Group Holdings Berhad provides commercial banking and related financial services. The Company and its subsidiaries, operate as a regional universal bank offering a full range of financial products and services, covering corporate and investment banking, consumer banking, treasury, insurance and asset management.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
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CIMB Group Holdings (CIMB MK)

Asian Banks - Wide Variance in Credit Growth, and in Delta of Growth Rates in Recent Months

There is a wide variance of domestic loan growth rates in Asian countries, one must be highly selective. There are implications for growth of net...

Daniel Tabbush

GEM Banks; Focus on Value Attributes and Returns Recovery Potential

Top picks for bigger cap GEM banks include Bank Mandiri, Hana Financial, CIMB Group, Bradesco, and CCB, while Kotak Mahindra Bank and ICICI Bank...

Victor Galliano

Malaysian Banks Screener; RHB Bank and Maybank Are Buys

RHB Bank remains a buy for its strong profitability, core capital and attractive valuations; we drop CIMB due to weak credit quality, while we...

Victor Galliano

DXN Holdings Lock-Up - PE Investor Could Sell Further Although Liquidity Is Weak

DXN Holdings (DXN MK) was listed on the Bursa Malaysia Exchange on 19th May 2023. Both promoters and Gano Global (KV Asia Capital), will come off...

Clarence Chu

Malaysian Banks Data to June 2023 Screener; Stick with RHB Bank and CIMB

Among Malaysian banks, we like RHB Bank for strong profitability, premium CET1 ratio, healthy credit quality and undervalued stock, CIMB Group for...

Victor Galliano

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asian Banks - Wide Variance in Credit Growth, and in Delta of Growth Rates in Recent Months

There is a wide variance of domestic loan growth rates in Asian countries, one must be highly selective. There are implications for growth of net...

Daniel Tabbush

GEM Banks; Focus on Value Attributes and Returns Recovery Potential

​Top picks for bigger cap GEM banks include Bank Mandiri, Hana Financial, CIMB Group, Bradesco, and CCB, while Kotak Mahindra Bank and ICICI Bank...

Victor Galliano

Malaysian Banks Screener; RHB Bank and Maybank Are Buys

RHB Bank remains a buy for its strong profitability, core capital and attractive valuations; we drop CIMB due to weak credit quality, while we...

Victor Galliano

DXN Holdings Lock-Up - PE Investor Could Sell Further Although Liquidity Is Weak

DXN Holdings (DXN MK) was listed on the Bursa Malaysia Exchange on 19th May 2023. Both promoters and Gano Global (KV Asia Capital), will come off...

Clarence Chu

Malaysian Banks Data to June 2023 Screener; Stick with RHB Bank and CIMB

​Among Malaysian banks, we like RHB Bank for strong profitability, premium CET1 ratio, healthy credit quality and undervalued stock, CIMB Group for...

Victor Galliano

Top picks for bigger cap GEM banks include Bank Mandiri, Hana Financial, CIMB Group, Bradesco, and CCB, while Kotak Mahindra Bank and ICICI Bank...

Among Malaysian banks, we like RHB Bank for strong profitability, premium CET1 ratio, healthy credit quality and undervalued stock, CIMB Group for...