Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to ride this trend higher and buy dips as long as ACWI-US and EEM-US remain above supports at $110 and $41-$42.</li>
<li>In our previous Int'l Compass (June 27) we discussed the rotation that we believed was starting, whereby global Technology (IXN-US) would consolidate as investors rotate to laggard areas.</li>
<li>This rotation has continued while Technology goes through a healthy consolidation. Continue to focus on other more value-oriented Sectors while Technology/growth consolidates</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to ride this trend higher and buy dips as long as ACWI-US and EEM-US remain above supports at $110 and $41-$42.
In our previous Int'l Compass (June 27) we discussed the rotation that we believed was starting, whereby global Technology (IXN-US) would consolidate as investors rotate to laggard areas.
This rotation has continued while Technology goes through a healthy consolidation. Continue to focus on other more value-oriented Sectors while Technology/growth consolidates


Rotation Continues; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Global Financials, Industrials, Discretionary

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>As of 14th Jun’24, the systemic credit growth continues to remain near a multi-year high, registering a robust growth of ~19% YoY (~15.5% YoY ex-HDFC).</li><li>The retail and SME segments have been the major drivers of this growth, as corporate lending continues to remain sluggish.</li><li>However, it is witnessing a gradual recovery. Mirroring the systemic credit growth trends, we expect banks under our coverage (incl. SFBs) to register an equally strong credit growth of ~18/3% YoY/QoQ (ex-HDFC). Post a strong show on deposits in the previous quarter (Q4FY24), the pace of deposit accretion at a systemic level has decelerated. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

As of 14th Jun’24, the systemic credit growth continues to remain near a multi-year high, registering a robust growth of ~19% YoY (~15.5% YoY ex-HDFC).The retail and SME segments have been the major drivers of this growth, as corporate lending continues to remain sluggish.However, it is witnessing a gradual recovery. Mirroring the systemic credit growth trends, we expect banks under our coverage (incl. SFBs) to register an equally strong credit growth of ~18/3% YoY/QoQ (ex-HDFC). Post a strong show on deposits in the previous quarter (Q4FY24), the pace of deposit accretion at a systemic level has decelerated. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q1FY25 Earnings Preview - Banking, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)

<ul><li>Axis Top Picks: We are proud to share that our Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 47% over the last one year, beating the benchmark Nifty 50 index (25.1% return over the same period) by a wide margin.</li><li>A few picks that reported excellent returns included Cholamandalam Investment &amp; Finance Company (14.7%), Varun Beverages (14.2%), J.Kumar Infraprojects (9.9%), Federal Bank (9.4%) and TVS Motor Company (8.5%). </li><li>Pick of the Week (PoW): POW calls delivered an astounding monthly strike rate of 85% in Jun’24.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Top Picks: We are proud to share that our Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 47% over the last one year, beating the benchmark Nifty 50 index (25.1% return over the same period) by a wide margin.A few picks that reported excellent returns included Cholamandalam Investment &amp; Finance Company (14.7%), Varun Beverages (14.2%), J.Kumar Infraprojects (9.9%), Federal Bank (9.4%) and TVS Motor Company (8.5%). Pick of the Week (PoW): POW calls delivered an astounding monthly strike rate of 85% in Jun’24.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Research Scorecard Report for June 2024

<ul><li>The Axis Top Picks Basket delivered an excellent return of 5.4% in the last three months against the 2.5% return posted by Nifty 50, thereby beating the benchmark by a wide margin of 2.9%.</li><li>Over the last one year, the basket has gained 43.2%.</li><li>Moreover, it gives us immense joy to inform you that our Top Picks Basket has delivered an impressive return of 284% since its inception (May’20), which stands well above the 143% return delivered by the NIFTY 50 index over the same period. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The Axis Top Picks Basket delivered an excellent return of 5.4% in the last three months against the 2.5% return posted by Nifty 50, thereby beating the benchmark by a wide margin of 2.9%.Over the last one year, the basket has gained 43.2%.Moreover, it gives us immense joy to inform you that our Top Picks Basket has delivered an impressive return of 284% since its inception (May’20), which stands well above the 143% return delivered by the NIFTY 50 index over the same period. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Top Picks for the Month of June 2024

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With the "Postcard" series, our objective is to bring to our readers on-ground insights based on interactions across key channels located in tier 2 and tier 3 locations.</li>
<li>For this postcard, we travel to the magnificent and iconic city of Agra. </li>
<li>We were pleasantly surprised by the rapid pace of electrification among three-wheelers, which is the topic of this postcard.</li>
</ul>


With the "Postcard" series, our objective is to bring to our readers on-ground insights based on interactions across key channels located in tier 2 and tier 3 locations.
For this postcard, we travel to the magnificent and iconic city of Agra. 
We were pleasantly surprised by the rapid pace of electrification among three-wheelers, which is the topic of this postcard.


Postcard from Agra | India's 3W EV Adaptation On the Ground

India

Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company Limited operates as a financial services provider. The Company offers vehicle finance, home equity loans, investment advisory, stock broking, and other financial services to customers.

Cholamandalam Investment and Finance (CIFC IN)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Cholamandalam Investment and Finance (CIFC IN)

Rotation Continues; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Global Financials, Industrials, Discretionary

Rotation Continues; Bullish Outlook Intact as $ACWI and $EEM hold above $110 and $41-42; Buys in global Financials, Industrials, and Consumer...

Vermilion Research

Q1FY25 Earnings Preview - Banking, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)

As of 14th Jun’24, the systemic credit growth continues to remain near a multi-year high, registering a robust growth of ~19% YoY (~15.5% YoY ex...

Axis Direct

Axis Research Scorecard Report for June 2024

We are proud to share that our Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 47% over the last one year, beating the benchmark Nifty 50...

Axis Direct

Axis Top Picks for the Month of June 2024

The Axis Top Picks Basket delivered an excellent return of 5.4% in the last three months against the 2.5% return posted by Nifty 50, thereby...

Axis Direct

Postcard from Agra | India's 3W EV Adaptation On the Ground

Exploring the rapid electrification of three-wheelers in Agra, providing on-ground insights from tier 2 and tier 3 locations.

Pranav Bhavsar

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Rotation Continues; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Global Financials, Industrials, Discretionary

Rotation Continues; Bullish Outlook Intact as $ACWI and $EEM hold above $110 and $41-42; Buys in global Financials, Industrials, and Consumer...

Vermilion Research

Q1FY25 Earnings Preview - Banking, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)

As of 14th Jun’24, the systemic credit growth continues to remain near a multi-year high, registering a robust growth of ~19% YoY (~15.5% YoY ex...

Axis Direct

Axis Research Scorecard Report for June 2024

We are proud to share that our Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 47% over the last one year, beating the benchmark Nifty 50...

Axis Direct

Axis Top Picks for the Month of June 2024

The Axis Top Picks Basket delivered an excellent return of 5.4% in the last three months against the 2.5% return posted by Nifty 50, thereby...

Axis Direct

Postcard from Agra | India's 3W EV Adaptation On the Ground

​Exploring the rapid electrification of three-wheelers in Agra, providing on-ground insights from tier 2 and tier 3 locations.

Pranav Bhavsar

Exploring the rapid electrification of three-wheelers in Agra, providing on-ground insights from tier 2 and tier 3 locations.