Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com (9961 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-services-holdings-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27343:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group (881 HK)</a> at the upcoming rebalance in September.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 1.2% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$744m. The official capping will be done based on closing prices from 29 August.</li>
<li>Short interest has been rising on the potential adds and short covering could take the stocks higher, especially <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Trip.com (9961 HK) and Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK) could replace Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK) and Zhongsheng Group (881 HK) at the upcoming rebalance in September.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 1.2% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$744m. The official capping will be done based on closing prices from 29 August.
Short interest has been rising on the potential adds and short covering could take the stocks higher, especially Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK). 


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in September

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jan 27th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Esr (1821 HK), China Yongda Automobiles Services (3669 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Esr (1821 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jan 27th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Esr (1821 HK), China Yongda Automobiles Services (3669 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Esr (1821 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jan 27th): Aia, Esr, China Yongda

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-meidong-auto-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10795:1" rel="noopener">China Meidong Auto (1268 HK)</a> trades at a 12x/9x PE FY22/23E with a 6.5% dividend yield at a 20 HKD/share price (assuming an 80% payout ratio).</li>
<li>In buying <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-meidong-auto-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10795:1" rel="noopener">China Meidong Auto (1268 HK)</a>, you get an industry leader in the dealership space with supreme execution (35% ROE/47% CAGR profit growth/best capital allocator).</li>
<li>The integration of the Starchase Porsche Dealerships provides an upside potential, as the management, with their superior track record, can significantly improve the target's operations.</li>
</ul>



China Meidong Auto (1268 HK) trades at a 12x/9x PE FY22/23E with a 6.5% dividend yield at a 20 HKD/share price (assuming an 80% payout ratio).
In buying China Meidong Auto (1268 HK), you get an industry leader in the dealership space with supreme execution (35% ROE/47% CAGR profit growth/best capital allocator).
The integration of the Starchase Porsche Dealerships provides an upside potential, as the management, with their superior track record, can significantly improve the target's operations.


China Meidong: Back the Porsche at 20 HKD

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Five stock remains, and nine new join the fray</li>
<li>Since its inception, the portfolio has gained 75% versus MSCI Asia ex Japan's 64%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Portfolio changes: Five stock remains, and nine new join the fray
Since its inception, the portfolio has gained 75% versus MSCI Asia ex Japan's 64%


<p>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based upon our FVMR Methodology. Our research team constantly reviews the Asian markets to try to find interesting ideas based on Fundamentals or Valuation or Momentum or Risk or some combination thereof.</p>

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based upon our FVMR Methodology. Our research team constantly reviews the Asian markets to try to find interesting ideas based on Fundamentals or Valuation or Momentum or Risk or some combination thereof.

China

Beijing Bashi Media Co., Ltd. provides urban bus transportation and advertising services.  The Company also provides taxi, inter-provincial transportation, car rental, and other transportation related services.

Wuxi Commercial Mansion Grand Orient Co., Ltd. operates a department store retail business. Its department stores sell a variety of products including home appliances, apparel, textiles, and leather products.  Wuxi Commercial also sells cars. The Company sells its general merchandise through its own website www.eastall.com and has operation in food serve.

Wuxi Commercial Mansion Grand Orient Co (600327 CH)

Fujian Zhangzhou Development Co., Ltd., trades automobile, manages and operates toll roads, produces and distributes tap water, and provides waste management services.

China Meidong Auto Holdings Limited is an automobile dealership and maintenance group in China.

Global Top E-Commerce Co.,Ltd. is in the businesses of cross-border E-commerce and the design, production and marketing of trouseres for men and women.

Global Top E-Commerce Co., Ltd. A (002640 CH)

Pang Da Automobile Trade Company Limited sells, repairs and provides maintenance services for cars and construction machinery.

Beijing Digital Telecom Co., Ltd. is a communication company that services The People's Republic of China.  The Company is a distributor of communications terminals and related services. It also retails mobile communications and digital products.

Beijing Sanfo Outdoor Products Co. Ltd. offers outdoor sports products. The Company operates retail stores throughout China, providing outdoor clothing, gear, tents, and other related products. Beijing Sanfo Outdoor Products also offers direct sales via the internet, telephone, and mail.

Shanghai Aiyingshi Co., Ltd. retails maternal and child products. The Company provides children's dairy products, diapers, feeding and maternity supplies, toys, baby clothing and shoes, and other related products. Shanghai Aiyingshi markets its products in China.

GOME Retail Holdings Limited retails household appliances. The Company provides televisions, washing machines, computers, mobile phones, digital devices, air conditioners, and other products. GOME Retail Holdings also provides equipment repairing, recycling, and other services.

VT HOLDINGS CO., LTD. sells automobiles produced by Honda, replacement parts, and used cars.  The Company provides vehicle maintenance and repair services and arranges automobile financing and insurance.

PC Jeweller Ltd. manufacture, retails, and wholesale jewelry.  The Company sells jewelry through its showrooms and over the Internet.  PC Jeweller offers a wide range of products including gold jewellery, diamond jewellery and other jewellery including silver articles, with a focus on diamond jewellery and jewellery for weddings.

GEO Holdings Corporation operates stores that rent and sell videos, CDs, DVDs, games, and books nationwide. The Company also buys and sells used books and CDs. GEO operates its own stores and also franchise stores.

Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc. sells home furnishings.  The Company stores are located in southern and central United States.  Haverty's offers brand name furniture, such as Broyhill, Thomasville, Lane/Action, La-Z-Boy, and Clayton Marcus.

Cortina Holdings Limited retails and distributes luxury watches in the Asia Pacific region.  The Company also trades, imports, and exports pens, lighters, and clocks.

Shinsegae International Co., Ltd. was spun off from Shinsegae in 1996.  The company imports and distributes famous foreign brands and manufactures/distribut es domestic brand.  The Company's line of business includes the wholesale distribution of men's and women's apparel.

UNITED ARROWS LTD., operates fashion stores, specializing in casual clothing and accessory for men and women.  The Company has stores nationwide.  Main forces are United Arrows, Green Label Relaxing and Chrome Hearts.

America's Car-Mart, Inc, sells and finances the sale of used automobiles and trucks.  The Company operates its dealerships primarily in small cities and rural locations throughout the South-Central United States and provides financing for substantially all of its customers.  Car-Mart's customers are principally consumers with limited or damaged credit histories.

Designer Brands Inc. designs, produces, and retails footwear and accessories. The Company offers shoes, boots, sandals, sneakers, socks, handbags, and accessories. Designer Brands serves customers in the United States.

Symphony Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and trades footwear products.  The Company also invests in properties.

China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings Ltd. retails passenger vehicles. The Company sells new and used vehicles and offers automobile rentals. China Yongda Automobiles also provides service.

China Yongda Automobile Services Hldg (3669 HK)

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China Yongda Automobile Services Hldg (3669 HK)

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in September

There should be 2 changes to the HSCEI in September with Trip.com & CTF replacing CG Services & Zhongsheng. Short interest has been increasing on...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jan 27th): Aia, Esr, China Yongda

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Aia (1299 HK), Esr...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Meidong: Back the Porsche at 20 HKD

China Meidong Auto (1268 HK) trades at a 12x/9x FY22/23E with a 6.5% dividend yield at a 20 HKD/share price ( assuming an 80% payout ratio ). We...

Sameer Taneja

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 36

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Five stock remains, and nine new join...

A. Stotz Investment Research

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 34

Our research team constantly reviews the Asian markets to try to find interesting ideas based on Fundamentals or Valuation or Momentum or Risk or...

A. Stotz Investment Research

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52-week Range

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