Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Based on our CityScreener(TM) methodology using house price, sales volumes, land sales and new starts metrics, we highlight the major cities in China where we believe the housing markets (new home sales) either enjoy a strong sustained momentum or have a potential cyclical upside relative to other cities.

Based on our CityScreener(TM) methodology using house price, sales volumes, land sales and new starts metrics, we highlight the major cities in China where we believe the housing markets (new home sales) either enjoy a strong sustained momentum or have a potential cyclical upside relative to other cities. 

China Housing: City Picks For The Near-Term Cyclical Upside

China housing markets start 2019 off a record high base in 2018 in terms of new home sales volumes. With the official NBS January-February data at the national level only expected to be published mid-March, we take a brief look at the early indicators for January-February in the weekly data to February 24 and January data for some major cities and average contract sales for select developers.

China housing markets start 2019 off a record high base in 2018 in terms of new home sales volumes. With the official NBS January-February data at the national level only expected to be published mid-March, we take a brief look at the early indicators for January-February in the weekly data to February 24 and January data for some major cities and average contract sales for select developers.

China Housing: Early Indicators For Sales Volumes In 2019

The long-awaited outline of the development plans for the Guangdong - Hong Kong - Macau Greater Bay Area (GBA) was announced Monday evening local time. In this note, we look at the China housing market dynamics in the key 8-9 cities on the mainland and the land acquisition activity by the major developers.

The long-awaited outline of the development plans for the Guangdong - Hong Kong - Macau Greater Bay Area (GBA) was announced Monday evening local time. In this note, we look at the China housing market dynamics in the key 8-9 cities on the mainland and the land acquisition activity by the major developers.

China Housing In The Guangdong - Hong Kong - Macau Greater Bay Area (GBA)

Beyond the aggregate figures, most investors interested in China housing markets would look at the breakdown by Tier. We introduce a few alternative ways to cut the house price growth data, illustrating some consistent patterns that could be more meaningful for any investment thesis than the simple by-tier.

Beyond the aggregate figures, most investors interested in China housing markets would look at the breakdown by Tier. We introduce a few alternative ways to cut the house price growth data, illustrating some consistent patterns that could be more meaningful for any investment thesis than the simple by-tier.

China Housing: Cities Without Tiers - An Alternative Data Cut With Illuminating Patterns

We expect a gradual slowdown for prices and volumes - ending the year slightly negative year-on-year, off a high base, with the selective easing and relatively low land supply cushioning the impact of a cyclical downturn otherwise driven by financing conditions for developers, increased supply of new homes at the time of slowing sales off record volumes in 2018, and broader economic slowdown due to macro factors.

We expect a gradual slowdown for prices and volumes - ending the year slightly negative year-on-year, off a high base, with the selective easing and relatively low land supply cushioning the impact of a cyclical downturn otherwise driven by financing conditions for developers, increased supply of new homes at the time of slowing sales off record volumes in 2018, and broader economic slowdown due to macro factors.

China

China Vanke Co., Ltd. operates real estate development businesses.  The Company provides housing renovation, housing loans, real estate brokerage, and other businesses. China Vanke also operates logistics, material supply, and other businesses.

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China Vanke (000002 CH)

China Housing: City Picks For The Near-Term Cyclical Upside

Based on our CityScreener(TM) methodology using house price, sales volumes, land sales and new starts metrics, we highlight the major cities in...

Robert Ciemniak

China Housing: Early Indicators For Sales Volumes In 2019

China housing markets start 2019 off a record high base in 2018 in terms of new home sales volumes. With the official NBS January-February data at...

Robert Ciemniak

China Housing In The Guangdong - Hong Kong - Macau Greater Bay Area (GBA)

The long-awaited outline of the development plans for the Guangdong - Hong Kong - Macau Greater Bay Area (GBA) was announced Monday evening local...

Robert Ciemniak

China Housing: Cities Without Tiers - An Alternative Data Cut With Illuminating Patterns

Beyond the aggregate figures, most investors interested in China housing markets would look at the breakdown by Tier. We introduce a few...

Robert Ciemniak

China Housing: 2019 Forecast

We expect a gradual slowdown for prices and volumes - ending the year slightly negative year-on-year, off a high base, with the selective easing...

Robert Ciemniak

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)