Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 127.4% as of Oct 21st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.8ppt weeok on week, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, energy and offset by financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, Pharmaron, Flat Glass, Shanghai Fudan, GWM, China Life.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 127.4% as of Oct 21st.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.8ppt weeok on week, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, energy and offset by financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, Pharmaron, Flat Glass, Shanghai Fudan, GWM, China Life.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 21st): Remegen, Pharmaron, Flat Glass, Shanghai Fudan, GWM, China Life

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giant-biogene-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35950:1" rel="noopener">Giant Biogene Holding (GBH HK)</a> aims to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>GB is a leader in the bioactive ingredient-based professional skin treatment product industry in China.</li>
<li>We had looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our previous notes. In this note, we’ll talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Giant Biogene Holding (GBH HK) aims to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO.
GB is a leader in the bioactive ingredient-based professional skin treatment product industry in China.
We had looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our previous notes. In this note, we’ll talk about valuations.


Giant Biogene Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 130.2% as of Oct 14th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 5.3ppt weeok on week, led by information technology, real estate, materials and offset by communication services, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CMB, China Pacific, Remegen, Tigermed, Shanghai Fudan, YOFC, GWM, CGS.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 130.2% as of Oct 14th.
The average A-H premium changed by 5.3ppt weeok on week, led by information technology, real estate, materials and offset by communication services, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CMB, China Pacific, Remegen, Tigermed, Shanghai Fudan, YOFC, GWM, CGS.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 14th): CMB, China Pacific, Remegen, Tigermed, Shanghai Fudan, YOFC, GWM, CGS

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/calb-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35985:1" rel="noopener">CALB (3931 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$38.00 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$9.9 billion (US$1.3 billion). The H Share will start trading tomorrow.</li>
<li>Grey market prices across various platforms show the shares last traded at HK$37.30-38.00 per share i.e., -2% down to unchanged compared to the IPO price.</li>
<li>Despite peer multiple derating, the IPO price continues to imply a discount to the median peer CY2023 EV/EBITDA multiple. CALB should be, at least, valued in line with peer multiples.</li>
</ul>



CALB (3931 HK) priced its H Share at HK$38.00 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$9.9 billion (US$1.3 billion). The H Share will start trading tomorrow.
Grey market prices across various platforms show the shares last traded at HK$37.30-38.00 per share i.e., -2% down to unchanged compared to the IPO price.
Despite peer multiple derating, the IPO price continues to imply a discount to the median peer CY2023 EV/EBITDA multiple. CALB should be, at least, valued in line with peer multiples.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.</li>
<li>Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.
Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.
Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

China

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Ltd. retails automobiles.  The Company imports and retails primarily luxury and mid- to high-end automobile brands.

Shanghai Yuyuan Tourist Mart Co., Ltd. processes gold and operates jewelry stores.  The Company also manages department stores, provides import and export trading service, produces pharmaceutical products, offers food service, and develops real estate properties.

Topsports International Holdings Limited operates as a sports shoes and apparel retailer. The Company sells sports shoes, sports shirts, and other products. Topsports International Holdings markets its products throughout China.

Topsports International Holdings (6110 HK)

Suning.com Co., Ltd. operates retail chain stores to sell household appliances, electronic products, office equipment, and communication products. The Company also provides installation and maintenance services.

EEKA Fashion Holdings Limited engages in apparel design and development businesses. The Company produces high-fashion women's apparel products. EEKA Fashion Holdings sells products through domestic department stores and shopping centers.

Pang Da Automobile Trade Company Limited sells, repairs and provides maintenance services for cars and construction machinery.

Beijing Bashi Media Co., Ltd. provides urban bus transportation and advertising services.  The Company also provides taxi, inter-provincial transportation, car rental, and other transportation related services.

Wuxi Commercial Mansion Grand Orient Co., Ltd. operates a department store retail business. Its department stores sell a variety of products including home appliances, apparel, textiles, and leather products.  Wuxi Commercial also sells cars. The Company sells its general merchandise through its own website www.eastall.com and has operation in food serve.

Wuxi Commercial Mansion Grand Orient Co (600327 CH)

Fujian Zhangzhou Development Co., Ltd., trades automobile, manages and operates toll roads, produces and distributes tap water, and provides waste management services.

China Meidong Auto Holdings Limited is an automobile dealership and maintenance group in China.

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited retails jewelry.  The Company sells rings, necklaces, earrings, pendants, bracelets, and small statues.  Chow Tai Fook Jewellery operates retail stores in China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, Malaysia, and Singapore.

Dick's Sporting Goods, Inc. operates as a sporting goods retailer that manages stores primarily in the eastern and central United States. The Company owns stores that offers a broad selection of brand name sporting goods equipment, apparel, and footwear.

Burlington Stores, Inc. owns and operates clothing retail stores. The Company offers, through its stores and internet sites, men's, women's, and children's apparel. Burlington Holding operates within the United States and Puerto Rico.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co.  a specialty retailer that operates stores and direct-to-consumer operations. Through these channels, the Company sells: casual sportswear apparel, including knit and woven shirts, graphic t-shirts, fleece, jeans and woven pants, shorts, sweaters, and outerwear; personal care products; and accessories for men, women and kids.

HIKARI TSUSHIN, INC. is a mobile telecommunication service subscription agency. The Company also operates telecommunication services stores, HIT SHOP, which sell cellular telephones, and related goods.  Hikari Tsushin also sells office automation equipment and insurance.

Murphy USA Inc. produces and distributes petroleum products. The Company engages in refining, marketing, and transportation of oil and gas products. Murphy USA provides products and services worldwide.

The Gap, Inc., is an international specialty retailer operating retail and outlet stores.  The Company sells casual apparel, accessories and personal care products for men, women, and children. The Gap operates stores in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Ireland, and Japan.

Ulta Beauty, Inc. operates a chain of beauty stores. The Company offers cosmetics, fragrance, skin, and hair care products, as well as salon services. Ulta Beauty serves customers throughout the United States.

Lithia Motors, Inc. retails, finances, and services new and used vehicles. The Company also provides other related services and products, such as the sale of parts and accessories, extended service contracts, aftermarket automotive products, and collision repair services. Lithia Motors operates throughout the United States.

Williams-Sonoma, Inc. retails cooking and serving equipment, home furnishings, and home accessories through retail stores, mail order catalogs and e-commerce. The Company offers its merchandise under the Williams-Sonoma, Pottery Barn, Pottery Barn Kids, Pottery Barn Teen, and West Elm.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited engages in sales of duty free goods and tax goods. The Company sells tobacco, wine and spirits, perfume, cosmetics, fashion and accessories, watches, jewelry, food, luggage products,and other products. China Tourism Group Duty Free also engages in investment and development of tourism destination commercial complexes.

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China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 21st): Remegen, Pharmaron, Flat Glass, Shanghai Fudan, GWM, China Life

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Remegen, Pharmaron, Flat Glass, Shanghai Fudan, GWM, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Giant Biogene Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Giant Biogene Holding (GBH HK) aims to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 14th): CMB, China Pacific, Remegen, Tigermed, Shanghai Fudan, YOFC, GWM, CGS

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CMB, China Pacific, Remegen, Tigermed, Shanghai Fudan, YOFC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CALB IPO: Trading Debut

Grey market prices are down -2% to flat to the IPO price. Despite peer multiple derating, the IPO price implies a discount to the median peer EV...

Arun George

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

There could be 3 adds in December while there will be MANY more changes in March. The adds should outnumber the deletes, but there will be many...

Brian Freitas

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