HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China State Construction Int'L / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-state-construction-int-l-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10038:1" rel="noopener">China State Construction Int'l (3311 HK)</a>'s backlog of HK$418.26bn is enough to cover 3x consensus forecast revenue of FY25, providing comfort for secured earnings outlook. </li>
<li>The focus on public housing and municipal projects limits its exposure to the real estate market. Its consecutive earnings growth in last five years demonstrated its resilience.</li>
<li>With ROE of 15-16%, its P/B of 0.8x is cheap. The reduction in operating cash outflow supports higher payout ratio, and its dividend yield of 5.6-6.3% is healthy. </li>
</ul>



China State Construction Int'l (3311 HK)'s backlog of HK$418.26bn is enough to cover 3x consensus forecast revenue of FY25, providing comfort for secured earnings outlook. 
The focus on public housing and municipal projects limits its exposure to the real estate market. Its consecutive earnings growth in last five years demonstrated its resilience.
With ROE of 15-16%, its P/B of 0.8x is cheap. The reduction in operating cash outflow supports higher payout ratio, and its dividend yield of 5.6-6.3% is healthy. 


China State Construction Intl (3311 HK): Steady as It Goes

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 8th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$376.5 million, led by information technology, consumer discretionary, and offset by industrials, utilities, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, CATL, Tongwei, Foxconn Industrial Internet.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 8th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$376.5 million, led by information technology, consumer discretionary, and offset by industrials, utilities, financials.
We highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, CATL, Tongwei, Foxconn Industrial Internet.


Northbound Flows (Mar 8th): China Yangtze Power, CATL, Tongwei, Foxconn Industrial Internet

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 2nd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$1,618.3 million, led by information technology, industrials, consumer staples sectors, and offset by financials, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, and Midea.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 2nd.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$1,618.3 million, led by information technology, industrials, consumer staples sectors, and offset by financials, energy.
We highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, and Midea.


Northbound Flows (Feb 2nd): Moutai, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Midea

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 9.9bn of A-shares on very strong average activity after +12.1bn RMB the week before. Some National Team buying this week. </li>
<li>Renewables selling was tempered. Energy and Finance saw net selling. Industry and Tech saw large net buying. Relatively larger net Shenzhen buying later in the week as stocks fell hard.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 9.9bn of A-shares on very strong average activity after +12.1bn RMB the week before. Some National Team buying this week. 
Renewables selling was tempered. Energy and Finance saw net selling. Industry and Tech saw large net buying. Relatively larger net Shenzhen buying later in the week as stocks fell hard.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 2 Feb 2024): Decent Net Buying, But Reversionary Net Flows

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 26th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$1,818.4 million, led by financials, utilities, information technology sectors, and offset by communication services, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CMB, China Yangtze Power, Zhongji Innolight, Centre Testing International, Agricultural Bank Of China, China State Construction Engineering, Petrochina, Tcl Zhonghuan Renewable Energy Technology, Ja Solar Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 26th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$1,818.4 million, led by financials, utilities, information technology sectors, and offset by communication services, energy.
We highlight flows for CMB, China Yangtze Power, Zhongji Innolight, Centre Testing International, Agricultural Bank Of China, China State Construction Engineering, Petrochina, Tcl Zhonghuan Renewable Energy Technology, Ja Solar Technology.


Northbound Flows (Jan 26th): CMB, China Yangtze Power, Zhongji Innolight, Petrochina

China

China State Construction Engineering Corporation Ltd. is a state-owned enterprise. The Company engages in housing construction, international building contracting, property development and investment, and infrastructure construction.

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China State Construction A (601668 CH)

China State Construction Intl (3311 HK): Steady as It Goes

CSCI has a strong backlog covering 3x forecast revenue. Its focus on public housing and municipal projects limits risk exposure to property...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Northbound Flows (Mar 8th): China Yangtze Power, CATL, Tongwei, Foxconn Industrial Internet

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, CATL, Tongwei, Foxconn...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Feb 2nd): Moutai, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Midea

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Midea.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 2 Feb 2024): Decent Net Buying, But Reversionary Net Flows

NORTHBOUND Connect saw net buying for the second week in a row. +9.9bn RMB vs last week's +12.1bn RMB. Big news in a Very Down Week ahead of...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Jan 26th): CMB, China Yangtze Power, Zhongji Innolight, Petrochina

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CMB, China Yangtze Power, Zhongji Innolight, Centre...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China State Construction Intl (3311 HK): Steady as It Goes

​CSCI has a strong backlog covering 3x forecast revenue. Its focus on public housing and municipal projects limits risk exposure to property...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Northbound Flows (Mar 8th): China Yangtze Power, CATL, Tongwei, Foxconn Industrial Internet

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, CATL, Tongwei, Foxconn...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Feb 2nd): Moutai, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Midea

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Midea.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 2 Feb 2024): Decent Net Buying, But Reversionary Net Flows

NORTHBOUND Connect saw net buying for the second week in a row. +9.9bn RMB vs last week's +12.1bn RMB. Big news in a Very Down Week ahead of...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Jan 26th): CMB, China Yangtze Power, Zhongji Innolight, Petrochina

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CMB, China Yangtze Power, Zhongji Innolight, Centre...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSCI has a strong backlog covering 3x forecast revenue. Its focus on public housing and municipal projects limits risk exposure to property...