IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Hollysys Automation Technologies / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a> shareholders vote on Ascendent’s US$26.50 offer on 8 February. The special meeting will not be held as the 30% shareholding threshold is no longer satisfied.</li>
<li>The proxy statement shows that despite Dazheng Consoritum’s competing public campaign, it has withdrawn its court injunction and has struggled to provide proof of financing.</li>
<li>The proxy statement suggests that the special committee ran a fair process. While shareholders should approve Ascendent's offer, the 0.2% gross spread indicates an unfavourable risk/reward profile.</li>
</ul>



Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US) shareholders vote on Ascendent’s US$26.50 offer on 8 February. The special meeting will not be held as the 30% shareholding threshold is no longer satisfied.
The proxy statement shows that despite Dazheng Consoritum’s competing public campaign, it has withdrawn its court injunction and has struggled to provide proof of financing.
The proxy statement suggests that the special committee ran a fair process. While shareholders should approve Ascendent's offer, the 0.2% gross spread indicates an unfavourable risk/reward profile.


Hollysys (HOLI US): Vote on 8 February as Hopes of a Rival Offer Fade

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 122.8% as of Jan 5th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.5ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, consumer staples, communication services and offset by utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BYD, Fuyao Glass, China Southern, China Longyuan.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 122.8% as of Jan 5th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.5ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, consumer staples, communication services and offset by utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BYD, Fuyao Glass, China Southern, China Longyuan.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 5th): BYD, Fuyao Glass, China Southern, China Longyuan

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 123.1% as of Dec 29th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -4.6ppt week on week, led by communication services, health care, consumer discretionary and offset by consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, ZTE, Datang Intl, First Tractor, Hua Hong Semi.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 123.1% as of Dec 29th.
The average A-H premium changed by -4.6ppt week on week, led by communication services, health care, consumer discretionary and offset by consumer staples.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, ZTE, Datang Intl, First Tractor, Hua Hong Semi.


A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 29th): China Tourism, ZTE, Datang Intl, First Tractor, Hua Hong Semi

<ul>
<li>Dazheng (without Recco) has returned with <a href="https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20231224144642/en/Buyer-Consortium-Led-by-Dazheng-Group-Announces-Enhanced-All-Cash-Proposal-of-US29.00-Per-Share-to-Acquire-Hollysys" target="_blank" rel="noopener">a revised US$29.00 offer</a> for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>, 9.4% higher than Ascendent Capital’s US$26.50 binding offer.</li>
<li>While Dazheng’s proposal represents an all-time high, it would likely not be a superior proposal based on the Ascendent merger agreement due to the clauses on financing and due diligence.</li>
<li>Nevertheless, to avoid the high risk that shareholders vote down the Ascendent offer and/or there are substantial dissenting shareholders, the Board will likely ask Ascendent to match Dazheng's offer.  </li>
</ul>


Dazheng (without Recco) has returned with a revised US$29.00 offer for Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US), 9.4% higher than Ascendent Capital’s US$26.50 binding offer.
While Dazheng’s proposal represents an all-time high, it would likely not be a superior proposal based on the Ascendent merger agreement due to the clauses on financing and due diligence.
Nevertheless, to avoid the high risk that shareholders vote down the Ascendent offer and/or there are substantial dissenting shareholders, the Board will likely ask Ascendent to match Dazheng's offer.  


Hollysys (HOLI US): Dazheng Ups the Ante with a US$29.00 Competing Offer

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 129.1% as of Dec 15th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.2ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, communication services, real estate and offset by utilities, health care, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CMB, China Tourism, Ping An Insurance, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 129.1% as of Dec 15th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.2ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, communication services, real estate and offset by utilities, health care, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CMB, China Tourism, Ping An Insurance, BYD.


A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 15th): CMB, China Tourism, Ping An Insurance, BYD

China

Ningbo Yunsheng (Group) Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets rare earth permanent magnet, music boxes, and electrical and textile machinery. The Company also operates import and export business.  The Company markets its products worldwide under the Yunsheng brand name.

Nanjing Huadong Electronics Information & Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures fluorescent lamps, crystal resonators, oscilloscope tubes, and energy conservation lights.  The Company also provides power services.

CPT Technology Group Co., Ltd. mainly engaged in new flat panel display and liquid crystal display modules design, manufacturing, sales and after-sales services.

Goldenmax International Technology Limited develops, produces and sells copper-clad laminates products (CCL), which are used for making printed circuit boards. The Company's main products are CCL products which are of FR-4 and CEM-3 standards.

Goldenmax International Technology (002636 CH)

Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. provides and integrates train-borne electrical systems for the PRC Railway industry.  The Company also develops, manufactures, and sells train power converters, auxiliary power supply equipment and control systems for trains for urban rail systems

Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. (3898 HK)

Henan Pinggao Electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets electrical equipment. The Company produces high pressure plates, high voltage equipment, circuit breakers, switches, insulated switchgears, and other products. Henan Pinggao Electric also operates import and export businesses.

China XD Electric Co., Ltd. designs, produces, sells and tests power transmission, distribution and control equipment. The company's products include high voltage switchgear substation, transformer, inductor, capacitor, instrument transformer, and insulator.

COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. offers marine shipping services. The Company provides refined oil transportation, crude oil transportation, and other services. COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation also ships iron ores, dry bulks, coal, and other products.

Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H) (1138 HK)

Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H)

China Eastern Airlines Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the civil aviation industry. It offers passenger, cargo, mail delivery, ground, cargo handling, and other extended transportation services.

Zhejiang Expressway Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, designs, constructs, operates, and manages high grade roads, as well as develops and operates certain ancillary services, such as technical consultation, advertising, automobile servicing, and fuel facilities.

Kyosan Electric Manufacturing Co., Ltd. produces railway signals, road traffic control systems, and semiconductor products.  The Company's products include Automatic Train Control (ATC), signals, traffic information displays, and uninterruptible power supply (UPS).

SurplusGLOBAL, Inc. markets and focuses on secondary semiconductor equipment markets. The Company distributes semiconductor front-end, back-end, display, light-emitting diode (LED), and solar equipment. SurplusGLOBAL serves customers globally.

Sterlite Technologies Limited, created via a spin-off of the telecom business of Sterlite Industries, provides optical fiber, cable and jelly filled telecom cable products.

PowerNet Technologies Corporation manufactures electrical components. The Company produces and sells switching mode power supplies, connectors, asymmetric digital subscriber line and cable modems, earphone jacks, inverters, adapters, and other related products. PowerNet Technologies markets its products in Korea and China.

Yamato Holdings Co., Ltd. mainly provides door-to-door parcel delivery services. The Company has developed a nationwide delivery system specializing in time-specified delivery. Yamato Holdings offers moving services and other comprehensive transportation services including logistics services for both domestic and overseas customers as well as financial and autoworks services.

Seatrium Ltd offers engineering solutions for the offshore, marine, and energy industries. The Company provides rigs and floaters, repairs and upgrades, offshore platforms, and specialized shipbuilding. Seatrium serves customers worldwide.

Malaysia Airports Holdings Berhad is an investment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides management, maintenance, and operation of designated airports.  Malaysia Airports also operates duty-free and non-duty free stores as well as provides food and beverage outlets at the airports.

Seibu Holdings Inc. offers diversified operation. The Company through its subsidiary companies operates transportation, construction, hotel, leisure facilities, and real estate business. Seibu Holdings provides group enterprises strategy planning, operation management, asset management and supply, and business promotions.

Samsung Engineering Co., Ltd. provides engineering construction and project management services in the domestic and international markets. The Company constructs refinery plants, petrochemical plants, gas plants, hydrocarbon upstream, power plants, metallurgy plant, industrial plants, and water treatment facilities.

Seek Limited operates an Internet website.  The Company offers online employment advertisements and online training in Australia and New Zealand, and offers online employment advertisements in the United Kingdom targeted at Australian and New Zealand job seekers.

China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation Limited manufactures rail transit related systems. The Company researches, develops, designs, manufactures, sells and installs rail transit communication and signal systems. China Railway Signal & Communication also provides consulting, design and supervision work for urban transit projects and mainline railway projects.

China Railway Signal & Communication (3969 HK)

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China Railway Signal & Communication (3969 HK)

Hollysys (HOLI US): Vote on 8 February as Hopes of a Rival Offer Fade

The vote should get up due to shareholder fatigue, Dazheng’s foot-dragging, a withdrawn injunction and no special meeting. With shares trading...

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 5th): BYD, Fuyao Glass, China Southern, China Longyuan

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Maanshan Iron and Nanjing Panda.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 29th): China Tourism, ZTE, Datang Intl, First Tractor, Hua Hong Semi

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlighted A-H premium changes for China Tourism, ZTE, Datang Intl, First Tractor, Hua Hong...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hollysys (HOLI US): Dazheng Ups the Ante with a US$29.00 Competing Offer

While higher, the Board has the basis not to deem Dazheng’s proposal superior. However, due to the risk that shareholders vote down its offer,...

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 15th): CMB, China Tourism, Ping An Insurance, BYD

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CMB, China Tourism, Ping An Insurance, BYD.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)