HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China Railway Signal & Communication / Equity Bottom-Up

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-signal-communication-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:613:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Signal &amp; Communication (3969 HK)</a> (CRSC) has achieved good share price performance YTD, but we think there is more room to go for the rest of the year.</li>
<li>We like its steady domestic growth, exposure to overseas recovery, strong order backlog, and net cash position. 1Q23 new contracts reached Rmb13.7bn, an impressive 35.8% YoY growth.</li>
<li>Unlike the highly-geared infrastructure construction peers, CRSC's net cash equals 52% of the share price. On such basis, its P/B of 0.7x relative to ROE of 9-10% is inexpensive.</li>
</ul>



China Railway Signal &amp; Communication (3969 HK) (CRSC) has achieved good share price performance YTD, but we think there is more room to go for the rest of the year.
We like its steady domestic growth, exposure to overseas recovery, strong order backlog, and net cash position. 1Q23 new contracts reached Rmb13.7bn, an impressive 35.8% YoY growth.
Unlike the highly-geared infrastructure construction peers, CRSC's net cash equals 52% of the share price. On such basis, its P/B of 0.7x relative to ROE of 9-10% is inexpensive.


China CRSC (3969 HK): Uniquely Positioned with Strong Financials

China Energy Engineering / Equity Bottom-Up

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-energy-engineering-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21017:1" rel="noopener">China Energy Engineering (3996 HK)</a> is a laggard in this round of "China style valuation" rally. With strong earnings and project backlog, there is good room to catch up.</li>
<li>Its 1Q23 earnings growth is ahead of the infrastructure trio, and so as the new contracts signed. Moreover, it has a faster growth in overseas market. </li>
<li>The 3-year EPS CAGR is projected at 16.3%, yet it just trades on 5x PER. Its ROE of 9.4% makes it attractively priced at only 0.4x P/B for FY23.</li>
</ul>



China Energy Engineering (3996 HK) is a laggard in this round of "China style valuation" rally. With strong earnings and project backlog, there is good room to catch up.
Its 1Q23 earnings growth is ahead of the infrastructure trio, and so as the new contracts signed. Moreover, it has a faster growth in overseas market. 
The 3-year EPS CAGR is projected at 16.3%, yet it just trades on 5x PER. Its ROE of 9.4% makes it attractively priced at only 0.4x P/B for FY23.


Energy China (3996 HK): Tempting Risk-Return Payoff

China Communications Construction / Equity Bottom-Up

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-communications-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1" rel="noopener">China Communications Construction (1800 HK)</a> should see more valuation upside as it narrows the discount to book through more asset disposal, spin-off, restructuring and securitisation.</li>
<li>Healthy 1Q23 earnings demonstrated underlying business strength. We expect new contract growth to accelerate in the rest of this year. Backlog estimated to cover 4.7x FY23F revenue.</li>
<li>Gross margin has stabilised in 1Q23 when compared with 1Q in previous years. Contribution from concessions will improve as traffic recovers and projects get mature. </li>
</ul>



China Communications Construction (1800 HK) should see more valuation upside as it narrows the discount to book through more asset disposal, spin-off, restructuring and securitisation.
Healthy 1Q23 earnings demonstrated underlying business strength. We expect new contract growth to accelerate in the rest of this year. Backlog estimated to cover 4.7x FY23F revenue.
Gross margin has stabilised in 1Q23 when compared with 1Q in previous years. Contribution from concessions will improve as traffic recovers and projects get mature. 


China Comm Const (1800 HK): Bullish Outlook Reaffirmed

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Horizon Construction Development / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-construction-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35117:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK)</a> is looking to raise US$250m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>HCD is an equipment operation service provider in China. It provides services covering the full cycle of projects.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we take a look at the company’s refiled PHIP updates.</li>
</ul>



Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK) is looking to raise US$250m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
HCD is an equipment operation service provider in China. It provides services covering the full cycle of projects.
In our previous note, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we take a look at the company’s refiled PHIP updates.


Horizon Construction Dev Pre-IPO - Refiled PHIP Updates - Affected by COVID-19 & Fueled by More Debt

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Tencent, Meituan, China Mobile, ICBC, Bilibili, and outflows from CCB, Geely, Sunny Optical.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into Tencent, Meituan, China Mobile, ICBC, Bilibili, and outflows from CCB, Geely, Sunny Optical.


Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: 1Y High Inflows in March

China

China Railway Construction Corporation Ltd is a full service construction company.  The Company's services include construction operations, survey design and consulting. China Railway also has manufacturing operations, real estate operations, and logistics. The Company specializes in railway construction.

China Railway Construction Corp (1186 HK)

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China Railway Construction Corp (1186 HK)

China CRSC (3969 HK): Uniquely Positioned with Strong Financials

CRSC's strengths lie in its steady domestic growth, overseas recovery exposure, strong order backlog, and net cash position. It is undemanding at...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Energy China (3996 HK): Tempting Risk-Return Payoff

With stronger earnings growth, better new contract momentum, higher overseas potential and undemanding valuations, Energy China has potential to...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Comm Const (1800 HK): Bullish Outlook Reaffirmed

Despite a 43.2% YTD surge in share price, there are still significant upside for CCCC. It will escalate value-releasing strategies while secured...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Horizon Construction Dev Pre-IPO - Refiled PHIP Updates - Affected by COVID-19 & Fueled by More Debt

Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK) is looking to raise US$250m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we take a look at the...

Ethan Aw

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: 1Y High Inflows in March

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for March and highlight flows for Tencent, Meituan, China Mobile, ICBC, Bilibili, CCB, Geely, Sunny Optical.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)