Head of China Research - Forsyth Barr Asia, Forsyth Barr Asia

David Millhouse

Head of China Research - Forsyth Barr Asia

Forsyth Barr Asia

Macroeconomics

China’s RMB has just had its largest two-day loss since 2008, and has also fallen a recorddiscount to the central bank’s reference rate (1.89%, nearing the limit of its trading band of 2%). &nbsp;I have recieved several questions on the move in the past 24 hours, specifically around "could we see a material correction to the Rmb." Although&nbsp; i see further downside to the RMB (a further 2-3% against the USD)&nbsp;i do not believe the Chinese government will look to manage down the RMB aggressively.&nbsp;I beleive the government will employ&nbsp;other administrative tools to support the economy, and conceptually there are several reasons why they WOULD NOT want a significant correction from here. <span style='color: black; font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 14pt; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;'>Please see&nbsp;my Q&amp;A below, on the 10 major issues investors having being asking on the RMB outlook.

 China’s RMB has just had its largest two-day loss since 2008, and has also fallen a recorddiscount to the central bank’s reference rate (1.89%, nearing the limit of its trading band of 2%). &nbsp;I have recieved several questions on the move in the past 24 hours, specifically around "could we see a material correction to the Rmb." Although&nbsp; i see further downside to the RMB (a further 2-3% against the USD)&nbsp;i do not believe the Chinese government will look to manage down the RMB aggressively.&nbsp;I beleive the government will employ&nbsp;other administrative tools to support the economy, and conceptually there are several reasons why they WOULD NOT want a significant correction from here.   Please see&nbsp;my Q&amp;A below, on the 10 major issues investors having being asking on the RMB outlook.    

CHINA MACRO: My thoughts on the RMB move. Will we see a large correction??

China

China Railway Construction Corporation Ltd is a full service construction company.  The Company's services include construction operations, survey design and consulting. China Railway also has manufacturing operations, real estate operations, and logistics. The Company specializes in railway construction.

China Railway Construction Corp (1186 HK)

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52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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CHINA MACRO: My thoughts on the RMB move. Will we see a large correction??

China’s RMB has just had its largest two-day loss since 2008, and has also fallen a record discount to the central bank’s reference rate (1.89%,...

David Millhouse