IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingston-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3566:1" rel="noopener">Kingston Financial (1031 HK)</a> entered a trading halt pending an announcement under the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers on 14 October. The shares are at all-time lows. </li>
<li>It is likely that Pollyanna Chu Yuet Wah (CEO and co-founder), the largest shareholder representing 75.61% of ordinary shares (80.09% of diluted shares), is seeking to privatise Kingston.</li>
<li>As privatisation through a Bermuda scheme involves the headcount test, a decent premium is required - an offer at the 1-year average price of HK$0.33 implies a 63% premium.</li>
</ul>



Kingston Financial (1031 HK) entered a trading halt pending an announcement under the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers on 14 October. The shares are at all-time lows. 
It is likely that Pollyanna Chu Yuet Wah (CEO and co-founder), the largest shareholder representing 75.61% of ordinary shares (80.09% of diluted shares), is seeking to privatise Kingston.
As privatisation through a Bermuda scheme involves the headcount test, a decent premium is required - an offer at the 1-year average price of HK$0.33 implies a 63% premium.


Kingston’s All-Time Lows to Draw an Offer from Mrs Chu?

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China has drafted tough requirements that insurance companies would need to meet to participate in the state-backed personal pension scheme.</li><li>The China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC), the country’s top insurance watchdog, issued draft rules to nearly 100 life, health or pension insurers late last month.</li><li>The draft marks the latest step in fleshing out a framework released in April by the State Council, China’s cabinet, for a growing personal pension market.</li></ul>

China has drafted tough requirements that insurance companies would need to meet to participate in the state-backed personal pension scheme.The China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC), the country’s top insurance watchdog, issued draft rules to nearly 100 life, health or pension insurers late last month.The draft marks the latest step in fleshing out a framework released in April by the State Council, China’s cabinet, for a growing personal pension market.

China Drafts Tough Rules for Insurers to Join National Personal Pension Scheme, Sources Say

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.</li>
<li>Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.
Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.
Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

<ul>
<li>There are 24 adds and 14 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 518.</li>
<li>19 of the 24 HSCI inclusions will be added to Southbound Stock Connect, while 12 of the 14 HSCI deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>Five of the HSCI constituents could be removed from Southbound Stock Connect only since the average market cap over the last year is less than HK$5bn.</li>
</ul>


There are 24 adds and 14 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 518.
19 of the 24 HSCI inclusions will be added to Southbound Stock Connect, while 12 of the 14 HSCI deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.
Five of the HSCI constituents could be removed from Southbound Stock Connect only since the average market cap over the last year is less than HK$5bn.


HSCI Index Rebalance: 24 Adds, 14 Deletes & Changes to Stock Connect

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 141 stocks over the last week. The average A/H premium changed by -1.7ppt over the past one week.</li>
<li>A-H Premium decline was led by consumer discretionary, consumer staples, and real estates, offset by the A-H premium increase of health care sector.</li>
<li>We highlight changes in A-H premium for Angang Steel, Chongqing Ireon, China Merchants Securities, COSCO Ship Eng, Joinn Lab, Zoomlion, Shandong Xinhua, Zheshang Bank, Sinopec Shanghai Petrochem.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 141 stocks over the last week. The average A/H premium changed by -1.7ppt over the past one week.
A-H Premium decline was led by consumer discretionary, consumer staples, and real estates, offset by the A-H premium increase of health care sector.
We highlight changes in A-H premium for Angang Steel, Chongqing Ireon, China Merchants Securities, COSCO Ship Eng, Joinn Lab, Zoomlion, Shandong Xinhua, Zheshang Bank, Sinopec Shanghai Petrochem.


A-H Premium Weekly: Joinn Lab, Zoomlion, Shandong Xinhua, Zheshang Bank, Sinopec Shanghai Petrochem

China

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. provides securities services. The Company offers securities brokerage, securities investment consulting, securities underwriting, and other services. China Merchants Securities also operates investment management.

China Merchants Securities Co Ltd (H) (6099 HK)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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China Merchants Securities Co Ltd (H) (6099 HK)

Kingston’s All-Time Lows to Draw an Offer from Mrs Chu?

Mrs Chu (CEO and co-founder) is likely seeking to privatise Kingston. A decent premium is required as privatisation through a Bermuda scheme (most...

Arun George

China Drafts Tough Rules for Insurers to Join National Personal Pension Scheme, Sources Say

China has drafted tough requirements that insurance companies would need to meet to participate in the state-backed personal pension scheme.

Caixin Global

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

There could be 3 adds in December while there will be MANY more changes in March. The adds should outnumber the deletes, but there will be many...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance: 24 Adds, 14 Deletes & Changes to Stock Connect

There are 24 adds and 14 deletes for the HSCI at the September rebalance. 19 stocks will be added to Stock Connect and 12 will be removed. Some of...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly: Joinn Lab, Zoomlion, Shandong Xinhua, Zheshang Bank, Sinopec Shanghai Petrochem

A-H premium declined by 1.7ppt last week. We highlight changes in A-H premium for Joinn Lab, Zoomlion, Shandong Xinhua, Zheshang Bank, Sinopec...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)