Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

We have earlier argued that the current M&amp;A in the container shipping industry is about "Survival" and not "Growth". This morning from Japan, <blockquote>Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd., Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd., and Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha have agreed, after the resolution by the board of directors of each company held today, and subject to regulatory approval from the authorities, to establish a new joint-venture company to integrate the container shipping businesses (including worldwide terminal…</blockquote>

We have earlier argued that the current M&amp;A in the container shipping industry is about "Survival" and not "Growth". This morning from Japan, Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd., Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd., and Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha have agreed, after the resolution by the board of directors of each company held today, and subject to regulatory approval from the authorities, to establish a new joint-venture company to integrate the container shipping businesses (including worldwide terminal…

Container Shipping - "Survival" M&A In Full Swing, Japanese Big 3 Merge Container Operations

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Equity Bottom-Up

In line with September's macro numbers (see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-exports-fall-but-reforms-apace" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:6500">China: Exports Fall but Reforms Apace</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/chinese-trade-data-recap-it-isn-t-pretty" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:6443">Chinese Trade Data Recap: It Isn’t Pretty</a>), organic growth reported by the two largest Chinese port operators remained weak last month. In this note we quickly review September throughput numbers for both <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/15155" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15155:1">China Merchants Port Holdings Company Ltd. (144 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/360" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:360:1">COSCO Pacific Ltd (1199 HK)</a>. We point out that while organic growth at Chinese ports remains weak, the alternative to growing organically (ie, growth via…

In line with September's macro numbers (see China: Exports Fall but Reforms Apace and Chinese Trade Data Recap: It Isn’t Pretty), organic growth reported by the two largest Chinese port operators remained weak last month. In this note we quickly review September throughput numbers for both China Merchants Port Holdings Company Ltd. (144 HK) and COSCO Pacific Ltd (1199 HK). We point out that while organic growth at Chinese ports remains weak, the alternative to growing organically (ie, growth via…

Organic Growth at China Merchants Port, Cosco Shipping Ports Remains Weak. Acquisitions? Expensive!

Strong supply growth on account of high vessel deliveriesscheduled in FY16/FY17 will continue to keep the LPG shipping market in imbalance. On the demand side, with lower price of LPG in Asia, the propane trade has been hurt, and there has been no major driver of incremental demand to absorb the excess tonnage available. Freight rates across segments have dropped in the recent past, and we do not expect a meaningful recovery over the next 12 months, even thoughthere could be a short-lived…

Strong supply growth on account of high vessel deliveriesscheduled in FY16/FY17 will continue to keep the LPG shipping market in imbalance. On the demand side, with lower price of LPG in Asia, the propane trade has been hurt, and there has been no major driver of incremental demand to absorb the excess tonnage available. Freight rates across segments have dropped in the recent past, and we do not expect a meaningful recovery over the next 12 months, even thoughthere could be a short-lived…

DMER - LPG Shipping - Headwinds to Persist in FY17

In our earlier updates we looked at the macros of the Chinese port operators and key regional developments, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dmer-chinese-port-operators-avoid-bottom-fishing-in-troubled-waters" target="_blank">https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dmer-chinese-port-operators-avoid-bottom-fishing-in-troubled-waters</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dmer-chinese-port-operators-2-0-pearl-river-delta-yangtze-river-delta-and-bohai-rim-hk-update" target="_blank">https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dmer-chinese-port-operators-2-0-pearl-river-delta-yangtze-river-delta-and-bohai-rim-hk-update</a>. In this last update we look at the individual listed operators. <ul><li>Current valuations of Chinese operators are slow to reflect weak earnings, while the market has downshifted valuations of non-Chinese peers. Chinese operators stand to weaken further when deteriorating earnings momentum becomes apparent in upcoming results.</li><li>Chinese operators have improved their net gearing profiles in the past six months, adopting a more cautious approach to the balance sheet leveraging. With parental support and connection with strong affiliates, none of the Chinese operators falls under the High investment risk category. </li></ul>

In our earlier updates we looked at the macros of the Chinese port operators and key regional developments, https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dmer-chinese-port-operators-avoid-bottom-fishing-in-troubled-waters, https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dmer-chinese-port-operators-2-0-pearl-river-delta-yangtze-river-delta-and-bohai-rim-hk-update. In this last update we look at the individual listed operators. Current valuations of Chinese operators are slow to reflect weak earnings, while the market has downshifted valuations of non-Chinese peers. Chinese operators stand to weaken further when deteriorating earnings momentum becomes apparent in upcoming results.Chinese operators have improved their net gearing profiles in the past six months, adopting a more cautious approach to the balance sheet leveraging. With parental support and connection with strong affiliates, none of the Chinese operators falls under the High investment risk category. 

DMER - Chinese Port Operators 3.0 -Cosco Shipping Ports Our Top Pick, Dalian Port Least Favoured

In our update yesterday, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dmer-chinese-port-operators-avoid-bottom-fishing-in-troubled-waters," target="_blank">https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dmer-chinese-port-operators-avoid-bottom-fishing-in-troubled-waters,</a> we looked at the Chinese port on macro basis. We had cautioned against bottom-fishing based on past valuation multiples. Investors are more likely to pick up Chinese port operators with greater unrewarded risks than for the port companies overseas.In this update we highlight that there are little signs of green shoots for mainland Chinese operators with laggard throughput growth across the three economic regions: Pearl River Delta, Yangtze River Delta and Bohai Rim.

In our update yesterday, https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dmer-chinese-port-operators-avoid-bottom-fishing-in-troubled-waters, we looked at the Chinese port on macro basis. We had cautioned against bottom-fishing based on past valuation multiples. Investors are more likely to pick up Chinese port operators with greater unrewarded risks than for the port companies overseas.In this update we highlight that there are little signs of green shoots for mainland Chinese operators with laggard throughput growth across the three economic regions: Pearl River Delta, Yangtze River Delta and Bohai Rim.

DMER - Chinese Port Operators 2.0 - Pearl River Delta, Yangtze River Delta and Bohai Rim, HK Update.

Hong Kong

Shenzhen International Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides investment, construction, and operation of logistic infrastructure facilities, as well as offers value-added logistic services. Shenzhen International serves customers worldwide.

COSCO Shipping Ports Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides shipping container leasing services worldwide.  The Company also operates container terminals and provides container handling, storage, transportation and management services, as well as depot handling and stevedoring services.

COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd. provides shipping related services. The Company offers shipping, logistics, shipbuilding and ship repair services, ship trading agency services, marine insurance brokerage services, marine equipment and spare parts, coating products, and marine fuel and other related shipping products. COSCO International serves clients around the world.

Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd., through its subsidiaries, invests in, develops, operates, and manages toll highways, expressways, and bridges in China.

Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure (1052 HK)

Tianjin Port Development Holdings Limited operates container terminals in China.  The company provides container handling operations, stacking and warehousing services and non-containerized cargo services.

China Infrastructure & Logistics Group Ltd. provides port operation services. The Company offers port and warehouse leasing, container handling, cargo handling, and other services. China Infrastructure & Logistics Group also provides logistics, supply chain management, property management, and other services.

China Infrastructure & Logistics Group  (1719 HK)

Cathay Pacific Airways Limited operates scheduled airline services. The Company also provides related services, including airline catering, aircraft handling, and engineering.

SITC International Holdings Company Ltd. offers marine shipping services.  The Company offers container liner shipping, freight forwarding, customs clearance, shipping agency, and ship brokerage services.  SITC operates in Asia.

Orient Overseas International Ltd, through its subsidiaries, owns and leases ships, operates terminals, and provides freight forwarding and container transportation services.  The Company also develops and invests in properties, leases equipment, and invests in securities.

Kerry Logistics Network Limited provides logistics services in Asia and internationally. The Company offers integrated logistics services, as well as leases warehousing space in Hong Kong and provides international freight forwarding services.

Auckland International Airport Limited owns and operates the Auckland International Airport.  The Airport includes a single runway, an international terminal and two domestic terminals.  The Airport also has commercial facilities which includes airfreight operations, car rental services, commercial banking center and office buildings.

Qube Holdings Ltd. is a logistics company. The Group operates in divisions covering Automotive, Bulk and General Stevedoring, Landside Logistics and Strategic Development Assets.

Taiwan High Speed Rail Corporation operates the high speed railway system (HSR) in Taiwan, running 345 KM from Taipei to Kaohsiung.

Shandong Hi-speed Co Ltd. operates and maintains toll roads, bridges, tunnels, and other infrastructure facilities.  The Company operates the Jiqing Highway, the Taiqu Road, the Jinan-Huanghe Bridge, the Pingyin Bridge, and the Binzhou Bridge. Shandong Hi-speed also retails petroleum products.

Jiangsu Expressway Company Ltd. constructs, operates, manages and maintains expressways in China.  The Company also provides passenger transportation and other ancillary services along including fueling stations, restaurants, car maintenance and repair and advertising.

Atlas Arteria Limted operates as an infrastructure developer and operator. The Company constructs highways, roads, bridges, and tunnels. Atlas Arteria also collects toll. Atlas Arteria serves clients worldwide.

Qingdao Port International Co., Ltd. engages in providing a wide range of port related services, ranging from basic port services, such as stevedoring and  storage services, to ancillary and extended services such  as logistics service sand financing-related services.

Fraport AG Frankfurt Airport Services Worldwide offers airport services. The Company operates the Frankfurt-Main, the airport in Lima, Peru, and the international terminal in Antalya, Turkey. Fraport also provides services to domestic and international carriers including traffic, facility and terminal management, ground handling, and security.

Flughafen Zuerich AG operates the Zurich Airport.  The Company constructs, leases, and maintains airport structures and equipment.

Kobenhavns Lufthavne A/S (Copenhagen Airports A/S - CPH) owns and operates Kastrup, the international airport in Copenhagen, and Roskilde airport.  The Company provides traffic management, maintenance, and security services, as well as manages the Airport Shopping Center and airport projects.  Kobenhavns Lufthavne also has investments in airports in Mexico, England, and China.

China Merchants Holdings International Company Limited, through its subsidiaries and associated companies, operates container and cargo terminals, port transportation, and airport cargo handling.  The Company also manufactures containers, paint, and trailers as well as operates toll road, shipping, property, and dealing securities businesses.

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China Merchants Port (144 HK)

Container Shipping - "Survival" M&A In Full Swing, Japanese Big 3 Merge Container Operations

We have earlier argued that the current M&A in the container shipping industry is about "Survival" and not "Growth". This morning from...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Organic Growth at China Merchants Port, Cosco Shipping Ports Remains Weak. Acquisitions? Expensive!

In line with September's macro numbers (see China: Exports Fall but Reforms Apace and Chinese Trade Data Recap: It Isn’t Pretty), organic growth...

Daniel Hellberg

DMER - LPG Shipping - Headwinds to Persist in FY17

Strong supply growth on account of high vessel deliveriesscheduled in FY16/FY17 will continue to keep the LPG shipping market in imbalance. On the...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

DMER - Chinese Port Operators 3.0 -Cosco Shipping Ports Our Top Pick, Dalian Port Least Favoured

In our earlier updates we looked at the macros of the Chinese port operators and key regional developments,...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

DMER - Chinese Port Operators 2.0 - Pearl River Delta, Yangtze River Delta and Bohai Rim, HK Update.

In our update yesterday, https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dmer-chinese-port-operators-avoid-bottom-fishing-in-troubled-waters, we looked at the...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

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